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ORH_wxman

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Verbatim how bad is the GFS Scott/Phil etc?  What are we looking at for winds?  Trying to make the decision on a generator right now.  I can't do 3 days without power again.

 

 

The snow looked like it would not be nearly as wet. maybe gusts to 50 or so? I mean if the other models are right, it's easy street.

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GGEM wants nothing to do with this. WTF.  I'm still not buying the GFS.

 

Which is probably logical until it gets any other model's support.

 

Again, outlier in guidance. Ride the consensus unless there's something close to a realistic split in guidance.

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Again.llllast nights euro was similar.

 

Exactly.  Take a look on Wunder.  The Euro/GFS at 0z were dead ringers/as close as they are going to get by 36 hours (24 hours now) at 500 and at the surface.  What happened is the 12z GFS took it a step further and organized the "mess" that the other models had into a closed 500mb contour etc.   It's basically just a continuation of what they were doing last night.

 

If the Euro holds serve, toss everything else.  The UKMET IMO is horrible more than half the time, and the GGEM/RGEM were both updated on 2/13.  That could be part of their "issue" who knows.

 

But by default if you want to call the GFS garbage you're calling the Euro garbage too because they're very similar.

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