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ORH_wxman

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It closes off H5 quicker which means better WAA and ATL inflow.

 

You and Phil have had good thoughts with this. Hopefully the rest of guidance falls into place...if it does...then I was too poo poo. We'll see.

 

Eh, the caution flags are warranted.  I freaked pre-GFS run as always.  I'm like you, hard to believe the RGEM/NAM can be this bad although the NAM is having some hints.  I wonder if the RGEM was changed this week as well and not just the GGEM?

 

Anyway, we will need to monitor closely to make sure this isn't feedback related.  Seems implausible, and does seem to me like the meso's are probably choking for the reasons Tip mentioned in terms of common sense...lows probably not going to try to form hundreds of miles east of the best baroclinic zone. 

 

 

Watching scud race SW off the ocean already.   Winds picking up.  This is going to be pretty nasty.

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Hi guys I saw the 12z GFS and figured I'd drop in to hand out cyanide capsules for later this evening.

 

Jerry; I'm not caught up on the Euro... what's its deal?

Kind of Ike 4-6/8 for us. 0.5 qpf to BOS. More similar to gfs than othe rguidance but obviously not so insane. Gfs/euro now the most bullish. Strange bedfellows.

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Been watching this since I woke up this morning. This area has been expanding NW and cloud tops have been rapidly cooling, further west than progged. i think the GFS has picked up on this and is further west. My guess is the Euro comes west stronger earlier too. It sure is a classic bomb setup no matter.

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Been watching this since I woke up this morning. This area has been expanding NW and cloud tops have been rapidly cooling, further west than progged. i think the GFS has picked up on this and is further west. My guess is the Euro comes west stronger earlier too. It sure is a classic bomb setup no matter.

 

Funny you mentioned this steve as i was going to comment that the precip field on radar looked like it was expanding down south but did not want to get weenied..........lol

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Funny you mentioned this steve as i was going to comment that the precip field on radar looked like it was expanding down south but did not want to get weenied..........lol

I could care less about getting weenied, this is exciting especially for the CC Boston Folks, I tell ya I want to here a big boy crying for his Momma in Boston. Cripple Logan for days would be cool. Happy P day vacation lol, j/k

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I could care less about getting weenied, this is exciting especially for the CC Boston Folks, I tell ya I want to here a big boy crying for his Momma in Boston. Cripple Logan for days would be cool. Happy P day vacation lol, j/k

 

Not funny..lol. I'm not on the desk for terminals, but this is not good. People are fooked if the GFS happens.

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I could care less about getting weenied, this is exciting especially for the CC Boston Folks, I tell ya I want to here a big boy crying for his Momma in Boston. Cripple Logan for days would be cool. Happy P day vacation lol, j/k

 

We will know around 1:00 pm if the gfs is right or wrong, I think the Euro holds serve or ticks NW

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