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ORH_wxman

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Rap is not impressive. Like all the other meso type models it has every cook in the kitchen.

Either the gfs/euro are onto something because they're not having process issues due to all the s/w energy or the other way around. They normally are both superior to the mesos at 500mb which tend to muddy the water aloft....but would go with a gefs/euro blend ftm to be safe which yields a similar outcome before jumping with the gfs 6z.

The low developing west on the gfs/euro isn't convective feedback. It develops out under the nose of the s/w now sharpening. The question is are the other models right in muddying the waters out east with a huge weak broad area of low pressure in response to multiple vorticity centers ejecting in advance or are they failing for that very reason. I'd go with even earlier development jmho.

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Rap is not impressive. Like all the other meso type models it has every cook in the kitchen.

Either the gfs/euro are onto something because they're not having process issues due to all the s/w energy or the other way around. They normally are both superior to the mesos at 500mb which tend to muddy the water aloft....but would go with a gefs/euro blend ftm to be safe which yields a similar outcome before jumping with the gfs 6z.

The low developing west on the gfs/euro isn't convective feedback. It develops out under the nose of the s/w now sharpening. The question is are the other models right in muddying the waters out east with a huge weak broad area of low pressure in response to multiple vorticity centers ejecting in advance or are they failing for that very reason. I'd go with even earlier development jmho.

 

There will be a broad low which is the issue. Lots of weak lows until the one off of HSE bombs.

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I read it wrong. He's got 3 back to the river not 6

And that map is just for this morning into Sun morning. But it is from yesterday anyway.

 

I doubt I get another 3" later, but I don't hold him accountable for SNE

 

RI to Phil to Cweat to Scooter should get the goods - 3-6" even up into Cape Ann.  Downeast Maine will get croaked

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