CT Rain Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 10:33 PM, powderfreak said: Yeah that means you better get into banding if you are on the western flank of this as that dry air will continually try to eat away at the weaker returns. Could see something where not much is happening at 20-25dbz composite, but 30dbz+ is like a switch was flipped and its steady 1/4-1/2sm SN. You can actually see the 850mb RH fields on the robust GFS are pretty meh back this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 10:33 PM, Ginxy said: Visible Satellite is just full of awesomeness from the Great Lakes to Florida The IR off the Southeast coast is really just about textbook for cyclogenesis right now. Diffluence aloft doing serious work in generating convection over the Gulf Stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 winds which had been NNW all day have switched to NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 10:35 PM, OceanStWx said: The IR off the Southeast coast is really just about textbook for cyclogenesis right now. Diffluence aloft doing serious work in generating convection over the Gulf Stream. yea that is fantastic, also there are some great Squalls in the GL. Love winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 10:26 PM, bboughton said: Tip, what are your thoughts for BOS area? 0 to 30 at this point - I don't feel any longer that we are analyzing science, but some super natural being's tormented pleasure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2013 Author Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 10:37 PM, Typhoon Tip said: 0 to 30 at this point - I don't feel any longer that we are analyzing science, but some super natural being's tormented pleasure Its a good thing you are a strong believer in detaching emotion and meteorology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 10:34 PM, CT Rain said: You can actually see the 850mb RH fields on the robust GFS are pretty meh back this way.Ill take the over on your dusting lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 A lot of lightning is seen off the coast of SC, I think this is the development of our CCB. These thunderstorms are rotating to the north and northwest up the coast. More lightning strikes with our main vort lobe over central SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 10:36 PM, Ginxy said: winds which had been NNW all day have switched to NE I think you get a nice surprise. I think west of you will really struggle, but if I was forecasting I'd say that current linear band of echos is in the furthest westward spot that the more serious banding from the coastal low will make it. Just a hunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 10:38 PM, ORH_wxman said: Its a good thing you are a strong believer in detaching emotion and meteorology. lol...makes me laugh every time. If only the heavens would stop tormenting everyone else...he's detached. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 10:40 PM, powderfreak said: I think you get a nice surprise. I think west of you will really struggle, but if I was forecasting I'd say that current linear band of echos is in the furthest westward spot that the more serious banding from the coastal low will make it. Just a hunch. Whoever is just NW of that dry slot is going to get smoked, man wish there was a block in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 10:38 PM, CT Blizz said: Ill take the over on your dusting lol I could see 1" for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I wonder if this thing ends up being like the February 25-26 Snow Storm for the Cape Cod and Providence/Boston area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 LOL no virga here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 10:34 PM, CT Rain said: You can actually see the 850mb RH fields on the robust GFS are pretty meh back this way. The sun was out in Northampton late this afternoon with the thicker clouds being held off to the S & E like a wall so I'm anticipating no moisture getting inland here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 10:43 PM, CT Rain said: I could see 1" for you. Where in Harwinton does the guy live that only reported 3"? You should find a new spotter. I was in West Hartford last night, tried to get a hold of you to say hey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 10:44 PM, Ginxy said: LOL no virga here. Yeah not to the east but for places like IJD and FOK it's vriga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 10:43 PM, CT Rain said: I could see 1" for you.I like 2-4. Prob 3 if gun to knee. Box map looks pretty spot on . Even 1-3 for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 10:34 PM, CT Rain said: You can actually see the 850mb RH fields on the robust GFS are pretty meh back this way. Someone on the western edge will be in for a painful night of watching the next county over rack up inches at 1/2sm while they are dusting the ground with hours of 3-7sm -SN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 10:45 PM, ChrisM said: Where in Harwinton does the guy live that only reported 3"? You should find a new spotter. I was in West Hartford last night, tried to get a hold of you to say hey. I was up in NH. Not sure where he lives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 10:46 PM, CT Blizz said: I like 2-4. Prob 3 if gun to knee. Box map looks pretty spot on . Even 1-3 for you I doubt that for my backyard. I think it's a tight gradient. I could see like 4" for Ginx and a trace for you to be honest. I don't think BOX's map accurately captures how tight it will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 12z euro is >.9" at CHH and >.8" at HYA. majority of that is during the day tomorrow. good times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 10:38 PM, ORH_wxman said: Its a good thing you are a strong believer in detaching emotion and meteorology. Wha hut ? no dude it has nothing to do with emotion, and everything (for me) to do with wanting to have a f clue what is going on. Yeah, if you call THAT emotion - fine! But I won't be disappointed and it won't affect my mood otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 There will be some interior folks tonight excited by the look of the radar yet they will keep waiting and waiting for the snow to come... Hope you folks to the E get ripped. May your advisories become warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 10:47 PM, CT Rain said: I doubt that for my backyard. I think it's a tight gradient. I could see like 4" for Ginx and a trace for you to be honest. I don't think BOX's map accurately captures how tight it will be. i've been trying to say that all along but he just thinks i'm trolling him. or he just gives me one of these Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 10:47 PM, CT Rain said: I doubt that for my backyard. I think it's a tight gradient. I could see like 4" for Ginx and a trace for you to be honest. I don't think BOX's map accurately captures how tight it will be.A blend of Euro Srefs and Gfs gives you their map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 10:48 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: i've been trying to say that all along but he just thinks i'm trolling him. or he just gives me one of these Your final call here was 1-2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 10:49 PM, CT Blizz said: A blend of Euro Srefs and Gfs gives you their map Meteorology not modelology Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 My jackpot would be somehwere in the cape elbow to Rollowinski, 10-14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Have your thoughts changed Phil at all since yesterday for Cape Cod, MA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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