CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 8:35 PM, MaineJayhawk said: What is the over/under for how many times Rollo mentions the possibility of buying a generator? I think he said it about 5 times. So 15? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 This is cool, by the way good snows here, front buckling NW south of LI. SC radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Satellite imagery looks good, that vorticity lobe over SC is really strong and quite the convection producer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 8:32 PM, weathafella said: Nam has .41 qpf BOS per FOUS including the .04 progged the first 6 hours. vs. 0.01 qpf BOS on 12z Nam... I can't remember a winter when it's been this frequently so bad in < 24 hrs I think your 4-8 call is a good one here. GFS keeping me on edge for higher... baroclinic zone per 850 temps is further west than progged on NAM, and we who the hell knows how the too-many-chefs plays out off the Carolinas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Welp ... the first part of my evil theory is working out.. The frontal boundary where would serve as the kink point for cyclogenesis is west of any guidance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 why do i have returns for last hour but nothing falling....just N of boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 8:35 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Woa woa - let's be fair. If for some miraculous convenience to those that want a big event, this thing becomes a bigger impact than currently forecast, no model is doing particularly well - You know ... this bang-up on the NAM act really strikes me as the scape-goat phenomenon. It's just so popular to blame and admonish the model, people (not necessarily you per se) knee jerk react against it when it really isn't fair to do so. It gives the DGEX a break from bashing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Airmass here is quite damp and cool, but not too cold upper 30s here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 8:39 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Welp ... the first part of my evil theory is working out.. The frontal boundary where would serve as the kink point for cyclogenesis is west of any guidance! True tip, and it bends back to the NW at the coast of SC, you could most definitely be on to something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 8:37 PM, Ginxy said: This is cool, by the way good snows here, front buckling NW south of LI. SC radar Yeah that one is the winner. This is going to be a bad storm. I hate throwing out numbers but nerf to head I think 10-12+ here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 8:35 PM, MaineJayhawk said: What is the over/under for how many times Rollo mentions the possibility of buying a generator? On 2/16/2013 at 8:37 PM, CoastalWx said: I think he said it about 5 times. So 15? LMAO! i'll take the over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 8:39 PM, cpick79 said: why do i have returns for last hour but nothing falling....just N of boston because the ULLR hates you and is punishing you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 8:39 PM, cpick79 said: why do i have returns for last hour but nothing falling....just N of boston Stop using composite radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Commence short-term hallucinations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 8:43 PM, CoastalWx said: Stop using composite radar. what should we use? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Btw nstar crews positioning already. About 25 trucks at Home Depot. Smart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 8:43 PM, CoastalWx said: Stop using composite radar. not so much it's base Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 8:43 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: Commence short-term hallucinations Already started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 8:39 PM, cpick79 said: why do i have returns for last hour but nothing falling....just N of boston mid level drying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 8:45 PM, Bostonseminole said: what should we use? On 2/16/2013 at 8:46 PM, cpick79 said: not so much it base Base reflectivity, but 8DBZs and drier air advecting in will eat up the returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 8:41 PM, Rollo Tomasi said: Yeah that one is the winner. This is going to be a bad storm. I hate throwing out numbers but nerf to head I think 10-12+ here Usually you're conservative, so you must feel pretty confident. Snow should be dryer this time around so hopefully the area is spared extensive outages Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 8:46 PM, Rollo Tomasi said: Btw nstar crews positioning already. About 25 trucks at Home Depot. Smart. Thankfully this will not compare to last week in that regard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 8:46 PM, CoastalWx said: Base reflectivity, but 8DBZs and drier air advecting in will eat up the returns. Thanks, I was using that, and I've been under the "snow" and have not seen a flake in 2 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 TZ008-011-012-NYZ079-081-170445- /O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0005.130217T0100Z-130217T1600Z/ NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON- NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- 336 PM EST SAT FEB 16 2013 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS...NEW LONDON COUNTY...EASTERN SUFFOLK COUNTY...AND SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX COUNTY. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES. * WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 20S. * VISIBILITIES...THE STRONG WINDS COULD CREATE PERIODS OF NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO ONE-QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. * TIMING...THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND SOME BLOWING SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVELING DIFFICULT AT TIMES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 8:46 PM, CoastalWx said: Already started. But the convection in SC looks so amazing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 On 2/16/2013 at 8:15 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: Snowing and starting to stick here in mashpee one of my friends just moved there , left work here and now working for the Mashpees and a teacher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Fascinating situation and one typically that fails but I suspect not this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Snow has really picked up here, you can tell from the posts who is not getting a great storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Will NWS BOX wxa be upgraded for mby in the afternoon package? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 WWA vs. WSW map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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