sussexcountyobs Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 snowing in highland lakes too!Im 5 minutes south of you down Canistear Rd.. Barry lakes, Highland Lks,, Laurel Lk, Cliffwood Lk, we're the snow capital of NJ.YesHigh Point and Sunrise Mt. are higher, but vertually no one lives there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemurph44 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Im 5 minutes south of you down Canistear Rd.. Barry lakes, Highland Lks,, Laurel Lk, Cliffwood Lk, we're the snow capital of NJ.YesHigh Point and Sunrise Mt. are higher, but vertually no one lives there.i remember driving through colesville a couple of years ago when I went to see my cousin, talk about a small town lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Im 5 minutes south of you down Canistear Rd.. Barry lakes, Highland Lks,, Laurel Lk, Cliffwood Lk, we're the snow capital of NJ.YesHigh Point and Sunrise Mt. are higher, but vertually no one lives there. Dude..why are your snow totasl snow much higher on average it seems? J/k I got 1.2 the other night and I saw you reported 2. The dump the other weekend was nice. I looked at a few homes in the Barry Lakes area, but decided to buy in Highland Lakes. Barry Lakes in north by around 3-5 miles. Is that where you report from? Hoping to get get one more decent dump this year. Hopefully a late season elevation storm. Br, Matt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 My temp is rising actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Dude..why are your snow totasl snow much higher on average it seems? J/k I got 1.2 the other night and I saw you reported 2. The dump the other weekend was nice. I looked at a few homes in the Barry Lakes area, but decided to buy in Highland Lakes. Barry Lakes in north by around 3-5 miles. Is that where you report from? Hoping to get get one more decent dump this year. Hopefully a late season elevation storm. Br, Matt 1.2" to 2" is not a big differance in a event like that. Iits where the very localized banding set up. Western Passaic Co. had the same obs. Sometimes being 5 miles south of u works out, sometimes it dont.Lol! In the end it usially evens itself out. Comin down god right now. Driveway getting white. Same by you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 1.2" to 2" is not a big differance in a event like that. Iits where the very localized banding set up. Western Passaic Co. had the same obs. Sometimes being 5 miles south of u works out, sometimes it dont.Lol! In the end it usially evens itself out. Comin down god right now. Driveway getting white. Same by you? Mt Holly just upped the game 3-4 possible tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 The RGEM from 24-36 appears to put down close to .20 into WRN-CNTRL LI and nearly 0.50 by Montauk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Light to moderate snow for NYC and moderate to heavy snow for LI with the coastal on the RGEM http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 The RGEM from 24-36 appears to put down close to .20 into WRN-CNTRL LI and nearly 0.50 by Montauk How does that compare to the previous run? 12z was very dry, this is a huge improvement even down here....looks too dry up in New England. It gets kicked out quite fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Mt Holly just upped the game 3-4 possible tonight Really? That would be nice. How long have you lived up here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 About 13 hours of light snow with some moderate bands on the RGEM for NYC. Heavier towards LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Really? That would be nice. How long have you lived up here? A few months in Highland Lakes, They recently issued a snow adv for Morris, Sussex and Pocono counties. 1 inch valleys, 3-4 higher terrain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Maybe I was wrong the arctic front is moving slower so as the storm intensities the moisture runs up further west and the storm tracks a little further west. I am thinking of adding some snow to my forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Maybe I was wrong the arctic front is moving slower so as the storm intensities the moisture runs up further west and the storm tracks a little further west. I am thinking of adding some snow to my forecast. The disturbance tonight possibly being weaker would have impacts too, the weaker this disturbance the more likely we may see the trough pushed further offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 A few months in Highland Lakes, They recently issued a snow adv for Morris, Sussex and Pocono counties. 1 inch valleys, 3-4 higher terrain Your a newbie! Lol! In time yoou will be shocked by the micro clime on this mt.. You'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lisnow66 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Hey PT/WXOUTLOOKS, if you are around, can you give your thoughts as to whether this coastal tomorrow backs in from the East and surprises us. If the storm takes a more negative tilt, wouldn't the precip head back west from the ocean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 The disturbance tonight possibly being weaker would have impacts too, the weaker this disturbance the more likely we may see the trough pushed further offshore. I don't really understand this post. Wouldn't a weaker shortwave keep the baroclinic zone closer to the coast and keep the trough axis more west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Heavy snow falling right now! 32.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Lolz at the 0z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sn0w Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Lolz at the 0z GFS. What about it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Cape Cod gets a nice storm on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 What about it? It somehow bypasses NYC and dumps on New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 It somehow bypasses NYC and dumps on New England. It needs to go negative sooner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 It needs to go negative sooner. I don't think this is the correct solution, it may come another 25 miles west. The shortwave over Texas is pretty decent. Could just mean a closer miss but a major system for Eastern LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 It somehow bypasses NYC and dumps on New England. Like late-bloomer storms of this type are supposed to do. This isn't a storm that favors us in any way. There's no reason to get excited unless you live on the eastern New England coast and inland maybe to Providence or Worcester. Time to move on-this isn't our storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Like late-bloomer storms of this type are supposed to do. This isn't a storm that favors us in any way. There's no reason to get excited unless you live on the eastern New England coast and inland maybe to Providence or Worcester. Time to move on-this isn't our storm. I remember when a lot of people were loving this storm for the area. One run of the GFS was close with a MECS. Everyone was talking about a possible triple phasing storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I don't think this is the correct solution, it may come another 25 miles west. The shortwave over Texas is pretty decent. Could just mean a closer miss but a major system for Eastern LI. Maybe I could see the Twin Forks getting some of it but no further unfortunately. The body of the trough is just too far east for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Maybe I could see the Twin Forks getting some of it but no further unfortunately. The body of the trough is just too far east for us. Looks good down here actually, i'm only expecting 1-3". SE VA could get 3-6" if their BL isn't very warm. The only people that care about it are in this sub-forum so that's why i'm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Maybe I could see the Twin Forks getting some of it but no further unfortunately. The body of the trough is just too far east for us. Based on the latest guidance, I think we are looking at 4 to 10 inches of snow from Islip east and near blizzard conditions setting in towards Saturday afternoon with strong northerly winds, very cold temperatures, and considerable blowing and drifting snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemurph44 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 How many more model runs is it going to take for some folks on here to realize that outside of New England and eastern Long Island that this is not going to be a snowstorm for the NYC metro area? I mean seriously, this is making some people look silly now, it's not happening, we are beating a dead horse. Let's move on if you don't live in eastern Long Island or New England and talk about tonight's event or next week's threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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