wxmeddler Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Composite Reflectivity will be the death of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Composite Reflectivity will be the death of you. I'm not the best at reading 500's but this would be supportive wouldn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Got another .3" of snow out of a .25" QPF storm. Winter fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I'm not the best at reading 500's but this would be supportive wouldn't it? Here, this does better justice, this is just the change from 04z to 05z RAP. 04z 05z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 The latest RAP is a cruel prank being played on die-hard weenies to make them even more sleep deprived... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nor Easter Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 If this is correct that band indicates the storm has gone Negative and pushed to the band back NW so much so the Cape Hatt is dry slotting....lol a full fledged EC snowstorm.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 If this is correct that band indicates the storm has gone Negative and pushed to the band back NW so much so the Cape Hatt is dry slotting....lol a full fledged EC snowstorm.... While I could see precip being bullish for sure, can the RAP's track really be THAT far off? I honestly haven't paid much attention to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 From the NOAA site "When accurate and timely weather modeling is needed most, the new Rapid Refresh model delivers," said Louis Uccellini, Ph.D., director, NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Prediction, a part of NOAA's National Weather Service. "This new tool ensures that forecasts are the best they can be by using the latest science and computer techniques in an effort to create a more Weather-Ready Nation." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Best thing about the RAP....... You have to wait a whole 15 minutes for it to run again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I just want to point this out for those using the composite reflectivity... ITS A TRAP! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 When the RAP was still the RUC it pulled this crap all the.time. Useless model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I am just using QPF wxmeddler, not comp rad for any guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I am just using QPF wxmeddler, not comp rad for any guidance. I'm just throwing it out there, not pointing at any fingers or anything. It's a good lesson for those new to the forums. Don't want the weenies to get too riled up do we now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Looking at PSU's obs from Manchester earlier this evening it is interesting, in a depressing way, what an extra 400-450ft in elevation can mean when it comes to these marginal events. While he reported 3+ inches, only 10 miles up the road in Hanover, we have zilch. Went to bed at 8:30 last night with it still raining with the occasional icy rain drop mixed in while he had been reporting sn+ for quite awhile by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 No surprises with the 06Z NAM. Slightly SE as well as a touch more consolidated with the low compared to the 00Z. The run does pull the better rates closer to the coast where another 50 miles would potentially put them into a moderate event if temps cooperate. Edit: No major changes with the 06Z GFS compared to the 00Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Pretty good slug of wet snow (not accumulating) moving thru at 6am. Temp 33.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Looking at PSU's obs from Manchester earlier this evening it is interesting, in a depressing way, what an extra 400-450ft in elevation can mean when it comes to these marginal events. While he reported 3+ inches, only 10 miles up the road in Hanover, we have zilch. Went to bed at 8:30 last night with it still raining with the occasional icy rain drop mixed in while he had been reporting sn+ for quite awhile by then.I can confirm. Drove to pa last night after the snow. Going northeast to York good snow along the higher terrain through lineboro and Glenn rock (800-1000 ft). Then when I came down into York suddenly just wet. No snow the rest of the way up to pine grove just rainExcept on ridges. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMW550i Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Wet snow in western Chesterfield County. Nice flakes. Hopefully more to come later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Demeter Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Currently fat flakes in Richmond(Henrico), VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Wet snow in western Chesterfield County. Nice flakes. Hopefully more to come later. Yeah, just started snowing here in Richmond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Light snow in Westminster this morning. We recieved about 2" but snow has melted from roads. Whats the model concensus? This coastal trending west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Huge flakes just pouring snow grass turning white Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Light snow in Westminster this morning. We recieved about 2" but snow has melted from roads. Whats the model concensus? This coastal trending west? No. Might wanna head to the beaches if you wanna see 2 more inches today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Nice morning. 29.7F with a snow shower moving through. 0.3" was the total in Clarksburg yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I hate sat pics sometimes and this is one of them a lot of weenie hallucinations and dreams in this one http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/displaySat.php?region=US&itype=wv&size=large&endDate=20130216&endTime=-1&duration=5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Woke up to a nice snow shower. Moderate snow and big flakes, wonderful scene outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Woke up to a nice snow shower. Moderate snow and big flakes, wonderful scene outside. I woke up to grass with sleet falling I'm used to this winter at this point, so I guess that's good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Current snowshower has much drier flakes than the 6am snowshower, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I can confirm. Drove to pa last night after the snow. Going northeast to York good snow along the higher terrain through lineboro and Glenn rock (800-1000 ft). Then when I came down into York suddenly just wet. No snow the rest of the way up to pine grove just rain Except on ridges. Total elevation event. This is why even in larger events we seem to jackpot sometimes due to ratios being better. Just an amazing micro climate around the Mason Dixon line due to elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Total elevation event. This is why even in larger events we seem to jackpot sometimes due to ratios being better. Just an amazing micro climate around the Mason Dixon line due to elevation. Yep, for the V day storm I drove up a hill that was only 300ft tall they had 2 inches to my dusting at 50 ft. Amazing. It doesn't take much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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