psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 NAM is torching at the surface even up here, the cold comes in after the wave, its around 47 at onset of precip and around 36 at the end. Next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 59.2 for the high so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Funny thing is the south and east of the big cities have a better shot at something meaningful than north and west...the world is upside down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Funny thing is the south and east of the big cities have a better shot at something meaningful than north and west...the world is upside down. Sent from my DROIDX using Tapatalk 2 Thats been happening for three years now. Nothing new there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 What's the Euro say for tomorrows storm? I'd be happy if I were in SE VA. 0.25 - 0.5 QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 15, 2013 Author Share Posted February 15, 2013 I'd be happy if I were in SE VA. 0.25 - 0.5 QPF Nothing up by DCA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Nothing up by DCA? looks pretty bad overall.. guess the .25" SE VA is closer to that than .5.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 The area with the higher QPF is also going to have some sfc issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 looking at the Euro txt output the area that has the best precip is torching at the surface. There is a very narrow area where some precip and surface temps of 33-34 intersect that perhaps an inch or two is possible across the eastern shore and up into extreme eastern NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 looking at the Euro txt output the area that has the best precip is torching at the surface. There is a very narrow area where some precip and surface temps of 33-34 intersect that perhaps an inch or two is possible across the eastern shore and up into extreme eastern NJ. snow map has pretty much everyone in that stripe around 1" except maybe the shore of md/de with 2" right at the coast... and then SNE with a good bit more. nothing in most of our area for the whole period through the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 If there is any coastal then as portrayed there is great promise. No real suppressive high and a low trying to crank up rapidly which almost always means a further west move.-10 850's would wipe out any surface warmth in steady snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 If there is any coastal then as portrayed there is great promise. No real suppressive high and a low trying to crank up rapidly which almost always means a further west move.-10 850's would wipe out any surface warmth in steady snowfall. I could understand why having a suppressive high would be an issue if our problem was getting this storm to come north. It seems to me the issue here is the trough axis being too far east, once this storm develops it is going to pull north, its just too far east. What does having a high, or not, have to do with that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I could understand why having a suppressive high would be an issue if our problem was getting this storm to come north. It seems to me the issue here is the trough axis being too far east, once this storm develops it is going to pull north, its just too far east. What does having a high, or not, have to do with that? Perhaps our methods of assessment differ somewhat. Beyond that I do not feel the need to explain myself to you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Perhaps our methods of assessment differ somewhat. Beyond that I do not feel the need to explain myself to you.This post told him absolutely nothing. Your analysis of the surfacw features is essentially lacking scientific background, the simple truth lies in PSU's post, the base is too far east and we lack a negative tilt to bring it back enough. Thus, your reasoning about the storm going west because of no high is not only incorrect in this instance, but in more instances than not. Next time, it won't hurt to explain yourself. Knowledgeable people are here to teach something... If thats the demographic you are supposed to fall into. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 A few of the NMM members give us over .5 and one is over .75 with the wave, compared to what we will likely get that is going nuts IMHO. I didn't see that on the maps... I saw .25 contour max on any of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 LWX has 1-2" for my area tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 rain has commenced. My skies are still blue and I got up to 59.2 today. I'm waiting for my rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Perhaps our methods of assessment differ somewhat. Beyond that I do not feel the need to explain myself to you. PSU is one of the decent more knowledgeable non-mets on this board who goes out of his way quite often to help explain things to those of us that do not understand. To have you cop an attitude with him because he had the audacity to ask why you felt a suppressive high would be beneficial is just plain ridiculous when I am sure most of the posters on this board wondered the same exact thing including myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 This post told him absolutely nothing. Your analysis of the surfacw features is essentially lacking scientific background, the simple truth lies in PSU's post, the base is too far east and we lack a negative tilt to bring it back enough. Thus, your reasoning about the storm going west because of no high is not only incorrect in this instance, but in more instances than not. Next time, it won't hurt to explain yourself. Knowledgeable people are here to teach something... If thats the demographic you are supposed to fall into. Showmethesnow, exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 60.7 for the high /troll ob Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Snowing nicely per the traffic cam in Monterey County. I have no idea the elevation of that camera though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Snowing nicely per the traffic cam in Monterey County. I have no idea the elevation of that camera though. Good tool just to have around in general! http://www.daftlogic.com/sandbox-google-maps-find-altitude.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 18z NAM says we shall enjoy our quarter inch of rain and no coastal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 18z NAM says we shall enjoy our quarter inch of rain and no coastal But we still get snow showers on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 18z NAM says we shall enjoy our quarter inch of rain and no coastal i say it was so nice outside today i almost don't even care anymore. significant storm or bust! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 My skies are still blue and I got up to 59.2 today. I'm waiting for my rain. I was surprised at how warm it was today. I didn't need a jacket! This certainly doesn't help when you're on the cusp of a remote chance of the white stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Funny that the LWX radar on weatherunderground shows all precip currently in the area to be snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Good tool just to have around in general! http://www.daftlogic.com/sandbox-google-maps-find-altitude.htm Appreciate that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Funny that the LWX radar on weatherunderground shows all precip currently in the area to be snow It's trying. We are a long way from proper temps but still getting gloppy rain drops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.