Stebo Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Thanks chief but there isn't a storm thread for Feb 16th.... and the context of the post I was replying to was about crappy models and upgrades. Sorry if it derailed your thoughts....please, carry on. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 The thread has bomb in the title maybe we should rename it the bowling bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Nice rain storm on the gfs...looks like the 12z European model.....stupid phase.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Nice rain storm on the gfs...looks like the 12z European model.....stupid phase.. Wrong storm/thread.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 0z GFS going to be another big big system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 00z GFS looks really wrapped up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Start it... Its just weather. Not a big deal. +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 00z GFS looks really wrapped up. biggest run yet. Wave goes neg tilt then moves east. central NE to Chicago north of 80 buried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Like I said, a high impact storm for the region is a lock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Dec 11-13th 2000 Similarities or am I on the crack-cocaine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Insane LLJ on the 00z GFS between 186 and 192 hrs...90 to over 100 kts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Dec 11-13th 2000 Similarities or am I on the crack-cocaine? I had to do a drivers ed road test during that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Very interesting evolution on the 00z GFS (and prior runs too). Snowing in LAF at 192 hours with a 980 mb low in southern IA is probably not something that happens very often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Really nice setup for the Plains. To tough right now whether this will impact greatly further east or not. Justin mentioned why it will impact further East, it was a page or 2 back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Like I said, a high impact storm for the region is a lock. Why do you think it is a "Lock"? I mean, the odds look really good, but things could change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Very interesting evolution on the 00z GFS (and prior runs too). Snowing in LAF at 192 hours with a 980 mb low in southern IA is probably not something that happens very often. With high over Quebec at the same time funneling down the cold air there is one concern I would have, ice vs snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 With high over Quebec at the same time funneling down the cold air there is one concern I would have, ice vs snow. Ya, with that bowling ball effect rather than high amplitude sw/ne progression and climo this time of year I am always worried about ice somewhere in this region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Very interesting evolution on the 00z GFS (and prior runs too). Snowing in LAF at 192 hours with a 980 mb low in southern IA is probably not something that happens very often. It's a solution the GFS has been hinting at several times now, this one is just stronger but it's shown good snows east and even ESE of the sfc low. I've seen a few setups like this but can't remember the dates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 It's a solution the GFS has been hinting at several times now, this one is just stronger but it's shown good snows east and even ESE of the sfc low. I've seen a few setups like this but can't remember the dates. Yeah, it happens...having some antecedent cold to play with and the system occluding when it does are what's making it possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Yeah, it happens...having some antecedent cold to play with and the system occluding when it does are what's making it possible. looks like it's vertically stacked for a good duration as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2013&model_mm=02&model_dd=14&model_init_hh=00&fhour=192¶meter=SNOWIN&level=SURFACE&unit=none&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false Bazinga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 This is pretty phenomenal for 7 and a half/8 days out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Great for Iowa with a couple feet+ of snow for some places, nothing special other thn that....Dry slots most of us...but its still in fantasy, this storm could end up a clipper lol...Who remember that triple phaser back in the day? Watched it for so long, ended up a dud... What are you looking at. I mean seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 What are you looking at. I mean seriously. Maybe he got confused at the snow map posted because it goes out to 192 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 What are you looking at. I mean seriously. The storm dies heading east man..I dont see what you are looking at? At least on this run dont see nothing special for the G/L /O/V region....everything comes together perfectly WEST OF US.....Perfect for Minnesota/Iowa... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Maybe he got confused at the snow map posted because it goes out to 192 hours. No.....on twisterdata the maps are actually fairly accurate....Try going beyond 192, and tell me if you see anything special? http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2013&model_mm=02&model_dd=14&model_init_hh=00&fhour=228¶meter=SNOWIN&level=SURFACE&unit=none&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 The storm dies heading east man..I dont see what you are looking at? At least on this run dont see nothing special for the G/L /O/V region....everything comes together perfectly WEST OF US.....Perfect for Minnesota/Iowa... Because it goes post-truncation on the GFS, for one. Are you not seeing the antecedent cold air mass over the eastern part of the region that would likely get snow on the front side of the storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 The storm dies heading east man..I dont see what you are looking at? At least on this run dont see nothing special for the G/L /O/V region....everything comes together perfectly WEST OF US.....Perfect for Minnesota/Iowa... It doesn't die it moves East. Sure there are going to be winners with this, but to say it is nothing special with the amount of moisture and the strength of the system is just tomfoolery. Might be best if you just checked out of this thread now so we don't have to read 7 days of this kind of nonsense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 It doesn't die it moves East. Sure there are going to be winners with this, but to say it is nothing special with the amount of moisture and the strength of the system is just tomfoolery. Might be best if you just checked out of this thread now so we don't have to read 7 days of this kind of nonsense. Once again I"M NOT talking about Minnesota/Iowa whatever, I'm talking about US the LOSERS in East Michigan HAHA....Nothing special for US, at least ATM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Complaining about getting thumped with snow when such a strong surface low goes over or north of you? Really? I'd be happy with what I get in that setup as rain is normally a major concern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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