Chicago WX Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 My hawkeye jackpot call for our subforum is looking decent. Dryslot. Daddylonglegs, gosaints, prinsburgh have better potential I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 around a foot and a half for , DLL. ouch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Dryslot. Daddylonglegs, gosaints have better potential I think. My pick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 My pick I like it, right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 It'll flop back tonight when the models trend S, lol. Good lord we are still 5-6 days out. Normally it is not even thread worthy until tomorrow or so, and we have been bitching about it for 3 days already. It can only go so far NW and it will start trending back S - like always happens this far out in time. Lol, this storm could be back south of I-70 in a couple runs, for all we know! I would think that the storm would want to go more ENE than anything with the high to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I like it, right now. Yeah which means it will change 15 more times between now and then lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Looking forward to an inch or two of sleet topped with a ZR coating. Hopefully we get a couple hours of snow to help get to that all white look topped with sleet or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Hot off the presses...12z Ukie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Hot off the presses...12z Ukie. 2:16 12z UK 120.gif 2:16 12z UK 144.gif GFS is a bit stronger/South early on, and a touch further East later on, but pretty much the same idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 12z Canadian 4D-VAR effort... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 GEM looks good for here. Good 18hrs of snow. Would think dry air might eat away some precip early on. Can kind of see that in the precip plots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Gem = and and some more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Screw it. I'm not even going to bother tracking this one until the 00z Tuesday runs come in. Need to get Monday's mess out of the way and the models will have a better handle. I don't have the will to ride the model fantasy storm emotional roller-coaster. I'm already annoyed that the Monday storm is looking warmer and warmer. The snowpack has taken a serious beatdown now after yesterdays torch. There won't be anything left here after mid 40s on Monday. Whatever falls late next week will come on top of bare ground it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 LOCK IT IN: TURN THE MODELS OFF, WE ARE DONE HERE FOLKS...THIS IS THE WINNING SOLUTION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 LOCK IT IN: TURN THE MODELS OFF, WE ARE DONE HERE FOLKS...THIS IS THE WINNING SOLUTION. The weather gods will require a human sacrifice to grant that wish. Any volunteers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Plenty of tropical storm force gusts across the Aleutian Islands as the cyclone pushes towards mainland Alaska. Model projections should become more accurate as more of the cyclone moves over the US/Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 GEM at 120hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 GEM at 120hr. gem 120.png Wall of thump. Probably a good time to lock hands and hope the GGEM has a clue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Wall of thump. Probably a good time to lock hands and hope the GGEM has a clue. The GFS is still showing what would be by far my biggest hit of the season. With 100+ hrs to go, I'm sure there are plenty of surprises on deck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Our biggest "sweating issue" will be actual moisture/precipitation, IMO. What a screwy storm, as presented on the models right now. We're kinda in a tough spot. If we want significant snow, we're probably going to need a quick occlusion, but that would also probably cut down on the amount of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 GFS Ensemble Mean: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 GFS Ensemble Mean: very nice, pretty juicy for an ensemble mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 12z Euro back south. 996mb in southern/central KS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I'm getting hammered...every run now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Move northeast from there over SLN then to DSM at 144hr. Euro has more of a NW/SE oriented "wall" of snow where the GFS/GEM is more E-W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 12z Euro results look awfully similar to what the 0z run presented. Though, maybe this run is juicier with the QPF...and warmer for the LAF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 We're kinda in a tough spot. If we want significant snow, we're probably going to need a quick occlusion, but that would also probably cut down on the amount of precip. I think signs point to us needing to punt the siggy snow idea. Be happy with our front end bag of crap...and move on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I think signs point to us needing to punt the siggy snow idea. Be happy with our front end bag of crap...and move on. Significant snow has been here or close by on many runs of many models. I understand the pessimism though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Significant snow has been here or close by on many runs of many models. I understand the pessimism though. I think we end up with quite a bit of ice and a couple inches of snow. Either way, looks like enough for WSW criteria Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I think we end up with quite a bit of ice and a couple inches of snow. Either way, looks like enough for WSW criteria Not gonna throw out amounts but one thing that has been very consistent is that there's enough cold air on the front end to cause problems. As csnavy mentioned, temps might go above freezing but maybe not until the tail end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.