Thundersnow12 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 One of the things I like most with this storm. For days the models have advertised a huge swath of snow. Nice to see after several systems this winter that had narrow snow swaths. I think I'd rather be where I am then gamble with that sharp southern gradient across KS/MO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 16, 2013 Author Share Posted February 16, 2013 00z GGEM is way north/stronger. Below may explain why the 00z runs seem "beefier" than the last couple of runs. http://flightaware.com/live/flight/NOAA49/history/20130215/1934Z/PHIK/PHIK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 We are damn near seasonal average here so another 6-10" would be awesome... Would also be nice to be able to take accurate measurements without all the wind! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 00z GGEM is way north/stronger. Below may explain why the 00z runs seem "beefier" than the last couple of runs. http://flightaware.com/live/flight/NOAA49/history/20130215/1934Z/PHIK/PHIK Yep, they've been doing flights for the past 5 days on this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 GGEM maintains good strength up until this timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 GEM is really amped, wow. 988mb in OK PH. Look how slow it moves from 120-132hr. All that time for the LLJ to bring all that higher theta-e air up and over the front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I think I'd rather be where I am then gamble with that sharp southern gradient across KS/MO. And I'd rather be where you are so I don't have to gamble with ptype so much. Almost feels like this area is destined to be sweating ptype until the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 From what it looks: About 1.00" for Dubuque, 0.75-.80" for Chicago on the GGEM. 0.85-0.88" for Milwaukee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Since I'm stuck inside on a Friday night with a stomach flu, I might as well join the discussion, haha. The Ukie is even farther north than the GGEM at 144, though a bit weaker. (996 mb on the UK vs 992 mb on the GEM) Compared to last night's meh-tastic suite, this suite so far is a nice change back towards the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 GFS and the GGEM are both much better tonight, starting to feel like last nights runs were an aberration and that we will be seeing better runs going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Since I'm stuck inside on a Friday night with a stomach flu, I might as well join the discussion, haha. The Ukie is even farther north than the GGEM at 144, though a bit weaker. (996 mb on the UK vs 992 mb on the GEM) Compared to last night's meh-tastic suite, this suite so far is a nice change back towards the right direction. The further South this storm can get the more it will dig and end up stronger out in the Plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 From what it looks: About 1.00" for Dubuque, 0.75-.80" for Chicago on the GGEM. 0.85-0.88" for Milwaukee. Hugging 20 mm (0.79") at Chicago. Even IND does well this run, compared to previous runs. ~11 mm (0.44") on SN before ~7 mm (0.28") of IP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 This thread is getting very moody. Sent from my Galaxy Nexus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 GFS and the GGEM are both much better tonight, starting to feel like last nights runs were an aberration and that we will be seeing better runs going forward. Yeah, it seems to be common the models tend to prog weaker for a day or so on threats. Not sure why that happens, just an observation. Sent from my Galaxy Nexus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 We are damn near seasonal average here so another 6-10" would be awesome... Would also be nice to be able to take accurate measurements without all the wind! Pretty much the same sentiment here. AT THIS POINT "run-of-the-mill" advisory or warning criteria snowstorm seems much more likely here than a big bomb, but by the day its looking more and more like DTW has an above-average snow season in the making. May very well already be there by March 1st. STILL 6 days out though, lots of changes will come, probably some good some bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I'm hoping this becomes a good snow maker as we are starting to run out of options as spring comes closer and closer for central illinois, especially east central illinois in areas that have gotten less than 4-5" all winter like here in Charleston, if we don't get a lot of snow and pretty soon you can say hello bad crop moisture levels this summer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Total qpf for the GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Total qpf for the GGEM. Colors look great but mm is greek to me lol. Wish they'd post the inch bar conversion right next to the mm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Colors look great but mm is greek to me lol. Wish they'd post the inch bar conversion right next to the mm. Haha. Several classes in physics and certain field classes will get you used to the metric scale fast! 20mm = 0.80" 25mm = 1.00" 30mm = 1.20" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 0z Euro like the GFS with more seperation between systems at 114hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Wow Euro looks sub 990mb moving out of eastern CO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Way NW, 996mb south of OAX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Way NW, 996mb south of OAX Disaster for most in this sub forum especially the further east you go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 well that sucked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Sounds like a mess. High pressure to strong out for the system to head east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Looks like it is in almost the same exact position as the UKMET at 144, a tad stronger. Lock that placement in, not because I want it, it probably will be close though. I trust a UKMET/Euro agreement, even 144 hrs out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Looks like it is in almost the same exact position as the UKMET at 144, a tad stronger. Lock that placement in, not because I want it, it probably will be close though. I trust a UKMET/Euro agreement, even 144 hrs out. keep that on accuweather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Looks like it is in almost the same exact position as the UKMET at 144, a tad stronger. Lock that placement in, not because I want it, it probably will be close though. I trust a UKMET/Euro agreement, even 144 hrs out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Looks like it is in almost the same exact position as the UKMET at 144, a tad stronger. Lock that placement in, not because I want it, it probably will be close though. I trust a UKMET/Euro agreement, even 144 hrs out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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