Geos Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 18z GFS would be a kick in the nuts for here. Better precip skirts north and south of LAF. Any who, previously mentioned...but the 144 hour map of the 12z Euro ensemble mean is quite interesting. Surface map has the look of being "boxed in", looking up north...while the 500 maps have the "squeezed look". Strange storm. Aren't those maps showing the "bowling ball" look? This is what we got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Nah, Toronto is the new snow magnet . How much snowdepth left? One hit in half a decade. Even Fayetteville, AR does better I think. Have more than 5" of solid glacier left here. Snowpiles are still impressive despite the mild week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Precip type at 147 hour on the 18z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Pretty quiet in here http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=mkx&storyid=92587&source=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 No more threads for you Powerball.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Pretty quiet in here http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=mkx&storyid=92587&source=0 The funeral started with last night's Euro run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 eh, even as currently depicted, this will be a decent event for a lot of us in here. May not be a blizzard but should be a nice swath of moderate snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 not sure why everyone got so down after last night's run. The storm isn't even in range. Let's wait until Sunday to start worrying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 16, 2013 Author Share Posted February 16, 2013 eh, even as currently depicted, this will be a decent event for a lot of us in here. May not be a blizzard but should be a nice swath of moderate snow. Yep. Even at this point, a reasonably-sized storm is still expected to hit the region and all of us will be impacted by it to some extent. But I guess slamming the OP of the storm thread, the thread itself and the storm is everyone's "special" way of melting down. It's one thing to b**ch and moan about the horrible winter season overall or the lack of a monster snowstorm in your backyard, but it's an enterily different thing to call a formidable threat a failure because the forecast models all of a sudden stopped showing end of the world solutions 6 days out. And yes, feel free to consider this the first meltdown of the storm if it makes you happy. But rest assured, this is silly putty in comparison to the meltdown that will commence in the unlikely event that absolutely nothing comes out of this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Yep. Even at this point, a reasonably-sized storm is still expected to hit the region and all of us will be impacted by it to some extent. But I guess slamming the OP of the storm thread, the thread itself and the storm is everyone's "special" way of melting down. It's one thing to b**ch and moan about the horrible winter season overall or the lack of a monster snowstorm in your backyard, but it's an enterily different thing to call a formidable threat a failure because the forecast models all of a sudden stopped showing end of the world solutions 6 days out. And yes, feel free to consider this the first meltdown of the storm if it makes you happy. But rest assured, this is silly putty in comparison to the meltdown that will commence in the unlikely event that absolutely nothing comes out of this event. I was wrong but that's one checked out. Should of knocked out worst meltdown too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Yep. Even at this point, a reasonably-sized storm is still expected to hit the region and all of us will be impacted by it to some extent. But I guess slamming the OP of the storm thread, the thread itself and the storm is everyone's "special" way of melting down. It's one thing to b**ch and moan about the horrible winter season overall or the lack of a monster snowstorm in your backyard, but it's an enterily different thing to call a formidable threat a failure because the forecast models all of a sudden stopped showing end of the world solutions 6 days out. And yes, feel free to consider this the first meltdown of the storm if it makes you happy. But rest assured, this is silly putty in comparison to the meltdown that will commence in the unlikely event that absolutely nothing comes out of this event. It's cool, Powerball. I hope you enjoy tracking the storm over the next several days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 even Skilling sounds somewhat less excited about the storm's potential. When he loses excitement you know things are going bad.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 even Skilling sounds somewhat less excited about the storm's potential. When he loses excitement you know things are going bad.. Social media has changed him. Never before would he show GFS and Euro snow amounts for the northern IL sector like he did tonight. I've never seen him do that 6 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 even Skilling sounds somewhat less excited about the storm's potential. When he loses excitement you know things are going bad.. I mentioned the other day that I was surprised he was hyping as early as he was. Perhaps Skilling is even anxious for Chicago to get something substantial snow-wise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Social media has changed him. Never before would he show GFS and Euro snow amounts for the northern IL sector like he did tonight. I've never seen him do that 6 days out. Beat me to it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 We might see a good run with the GFS. A good bit more of seperation between ours and the first one at a 114hr compared to the 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Yep. Even at this point, a reasonably-sized storm is still expected to hit the region and all of us will be impacted by it to some extent. But I guess slamming the OP of the storm thread, the thread itself and the storm is everyone's "special" way of melting down. It's one thing to b**ch and moan about the horrible winter season overall or the lack of a monster snowstorm in your backyard, but it's an enterily different thing to call a formidable threat a failure because the forecast models all of a sudden stopped showing end of the world solutions 6 days out. And yes, feel free to consider this the first meltdown of the storm if it makes you happy. But rest assured, this is silly putty in comparison to the meltdown that will commence in the unlikely event that absolutely nothing comes out of this event. As modeled this could still be a lesser version of December 19, 2008, the other bowling ball type storm many have mentioned. In fact, yesterday's 12z GFS weenie run looked similar in terms of track and snowfall stripe to that one, though a bit wider snowband at the time n-s and higher amounts. That one had a stripe of 6-12" across most of S Wisconsin (nearly a foot here). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 GFS looks wetter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 GFS looking better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 As modeled this could still be a lesser version of December 18, 2008, the other bowling ball type storm many have mentioned. In fact, yesterday's 12z GFS weenie run looked similar in terms of track and snowfall stripe to that one, though a bit wider snowband at the time n-s and higher amounts. That one had a stripe of 6-12" across most of S Wisconsin (nearly a foot here). 11.6" here with that storm. GFS looks stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2013021600&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=159 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2013021600&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=159 Looks pretty sassy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Best run snow wise for Northern Indiana so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 More snow east of the miss. river this run. What a wide swath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 More snow east of the miss. river this run. What a wide swath. USA_ASNOWI72_sfc_162.gif One of the things I like most with this storm. For days the models have advertised a huge swath of snow. Nice to see after several systems this winter that had narrow snow swaths. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 About 10" here this go around. 12" into Rockford. Congrats Cyclone! and Hawkeye, Turtle, and even Andy is close to 12" this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 One of the things I like most with this storm. For days the models have advertised a huge swath of snow. Nice to see after several systems this winter that had narrow snow swaths. Yeah, really. Hopefully many of us will have this same feel of breathing room come Wednesday and Thursday and not have to pin our concerns down on little shifts or changes in the reality of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Not much in the way of ZR on the 0z run. Let's hope that is the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Yeah, really. Hopefully many of us will have this same feel of breathing room come Wednesday and Thursday and not have to pin our concerns down on little shifts or changes in the reality of the storm. Certainly has the look of one of the classic snowstorms that dump moderate to heavy amounts over a huge area. The large scale of the storm system may be why the guidance (relatively speaking) has been pretty consistent with certain aspects of this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 About 6 to 7 inches for me, Hoosier, and ChicagoWx. I think we will take it and run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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