KEITH L.I Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Euro isn't going to be like the GFS for the 22nd -23rd. I believe it!!..has to go south with that high and blocking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Euro isn't going to be like the GFS for the 22nd -23rd. Any differences so far between the 00z run last night and the new run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Any differences so far between the 00z run last night and the new run? Nice block is still present on this run. The low is further north on this run compared to 0z . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Look at that energy dropping down through the back side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 A slightly stronger block on the euro and this is easily a mecs. Verbatim looks like snow to rain to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Another miller B this run on the Euro, you can see the storm redeveloping off the NC coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 It cuts into se mi. Then redevelops over Delmarva. We get front end snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 A slightly stronger block on the euro and this is easily a mecs. Verbatim looks like snow to rain to snow This has one of those looks where we could cash in on the over running snows before the actual coastal arrives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Look at that energy dropping down through the back side Man what a beautiful 50/50 low on that run! If it stays in place there's no way this storm cuts to our west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 It cuts into se mi. Then redevelops over Delmarva. We get front end snow Wrong, at hr 192 there is a 1016 mb low off the NC coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Looks like rain on this run. Nice setup though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 By 216 it's closed off NE of us. Run is actually worse for us than 00z but I wouldn't look too far into this right now. What a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Looks like rain on this run. Nice setup though. It's not going to rain unless the storm never transfers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 By hr 216 the trough is reloading in the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Looks like the parade of storms on the Euro continues after day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Wrong, at hr 192 there is a 1016 mb low off the NC coast. No it redevelops to late for us. I'm correct. And it is snow-rain Anthony is correct. Stop whishcasting a model run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 It's not going to rain unless the storm never transfers. Wrong it rains that run with a transfer. Plenty of wats to rain even with transfer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Wrong it rains that run with a transfer. Plenty of wats to rain even with transfer Not raining. These systems r gona run under block. Whatever is modeled now will verify further east. Nothing goin to Michigan w a block. You can always hav a centee come up just west but redevelop off NC. Gona see accumulating snow ths wknd and next. All yr euro day 8 that progged a system to lakes came under. So will ths Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 No it redevelops to late for us. I'm correct. And it is snow-rain Anthony is correct. Stop whishcasting a model run The coastal is there at hr 192, it just doesn't get going fast enough for us. It's called scientific analysis, not wishcasting. We don't want this setup anyway. We would be better off for a later phase which would allow the energy to dig deeper into the south and then come up the coast as a true miller A. These transfer storms always have screw zones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Wrong it rains that run with a transfer. Plenty of wats to rain even with transfer It's not going to transfer as late as what the Euro is showing. I'm also intruiged by the trough coming in behind this storm. Those two might be able to meet up. We're talking about an 8-10 day threat. A lot will change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 awful analysis-I'm confused, but too far out to care right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 The Euro ensembles look pretty strong with the blocking and CAD behind the 50/50 low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Very hard to envision all rain from a cutter in this pattern. The -NAO and 50/50 should force this storm underneath it in the end resulting in a winter storm for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 GFS is very nice for this system. Further south and colder than previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 GFS is very nice for this system. Further south and colder than previous runs. Yup, this run is probably a MECS especially for inland areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 If the storm cuts underneath the high/-NAO/50-50 low we could get quite a slow moving system in the area while also having an ample cold air supply. This could be the real deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingofQueens Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Euro doesn't look good for this event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Euro doesn't look good for this event Yes it does. The setup is excellent for snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Euro doesn't look good for this event It is colder then the GFS at the 850 level and slightly south with the secondary compared to the GFS..other then not having access to QPF maps..what looks bad about the setup? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Wow, so much wishcasting in this thread. Too much Modelogy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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