J.Spin Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Event totals: 7.0” Snow/0.32” L.E. I was up to take a midnight reading off the snowboard, but there really wasn’t much snow during the overnight period. I’ve got the latest BTV maps and text below; we’ll need another pulse of moisture in our area to get to the 8-10”/10-14” that the forecast map has us in, although it sounds like there might be something in the afternoon today. WWUS41 KBTV 210841 WSWBTV URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 341 AM EST THU FEB 21 2013 VTZ003-006-008-016>018-211700- /O.CON.KBTV.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130221T2100Z/ ORLEANS-LAMOILLE-WASHINGTON-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN- EASTERN ADDISON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWPORT...JOHNSON...STOWE... MONTPELIER...ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL... RIPTON 341 AM EST THU FEB 21 2013 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON CONTINUES THE WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE GREEN MOUNTAINS AND THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF ORLEANS...LAMOILLE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. * HAZARD TYPES...MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 16 INCHES OF DRY FLUFFY SNOW WITH 10 TO 20 INCHES EXPECTED ALONG THE WEST SLOPES OF THE GREEN MOUNTAINS. * MAXIMUM SNOWFALL RATE...1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR AT TIMES. * TIMING...MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW CONTINUES THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF. * IMPACTS...DIFFICULT TRAVEL DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS...REDUCED VISIBILITIES...AND BLOWING SNOW CAUSING DRIFTING. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES IN MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS ALONG THE WEST SLOPES OF THE GREEN MOUNTAINS AND IN NORTH CENTRAL VERMONT SHOULD BE AWARE THAT HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY RESULTING IN DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. LOW VISIBILITIES AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL ALSO COMPLICATE TRAVEL. TAKE THE NECESSARY ACTIONS WHEN DEALING WITH THIS STORM. && $$ EVENSON Details from the 12:00 A.M. and 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations are below: 12:00 A.M. New Snow: 2.3 inches New Liquid: 0.05 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 46.0 Snow Density: 2.2% H2O Temperature: 22.3 F Sky: Cloudy Snow at the stake: 12.0 inches 6:00 A.M. New Snow: 0.1 inches New Liquid: Trace Temperature: 11.1 F Sky: Light Snow (1 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 10.0 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Nice--congrats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Well, it took a while but the orographic stuff finally spilled over this far east. Nothing like you spine-folk though: 1.3" so far and still snowing lightly. Still looks nice though. Holy smokes at the Jay pic. I really should skip work today and go skiing.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 21, 2013 Author Share Posted February 21, 2013 We had an inch overnight. Only came in 28" behind Westfield (to the east of Jay Peak). http://www.erh.noaa.gov/btv/spotterReports/ ..CHITTENDEN COUNTY... 3 SE WEST BOLTON 8.0 801 AM 2/21 BOLTON VALLEY RESORT UNDERHILL CENTER 4.0 723 PM 2/20 TRAINED SPOTTER 1 E NASHVILLE 3.0 641 PM 2/20 NWS EMPLOYEE 4 NNE UNDERHILL 2.5 700 AM 2/21 COCORAHS JONESVILLE 2.0 500 AM 2/21 NWS EMPLOYEE 1 NE SOUTH BURLINGTO T 733 AM 2/21 NWS OFFICE ...FRANKLIN COUNTY... MONTGOMERY CENTER 16.0 800 AM 2/21 TRAINED SPOTTER ENOSBURG CENTER 16.0 345 AM 2/21 DEPT OF HIGHWAYS 1 NW RICHFORD 13.1 1200 AM 2/21 TRAINED SPOTTER ...LAMOILLE COUNTY... 1 SSE SMUGGLERS NOTC 11.0 758 AM 2/21 STOWE RESORT BELVIDERE CENTER 8.0 709 PM 2/20 TRAINED SPOTTER 3 NE HYDE PARK 7.2 630 AM 2/21 COCORAHS STOWE 6.2 900 PM 2/20 TRAINED SPOTTER 1 WNW CAMBRIDGE 5.0 759 PM 2/20 TRAINED SPOTTER 1 NW SOUTH CAMBRIDGE 4.5 814 PM 2/20 TRAINED SPOTTER ...ORLEANS COUNTY... 1 WNW WESTFIELD 29.0 740 AM 2/21 COCORAHS 4 WSW JAY 21.0 708 AM 2/21 JAY PEAK TROY 13.0 345 AM 2/21 DEPT OF HIGHWAYS CRAFTSBURY 7.0 735 AM 2/21 BROADCAST MEDIA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
j24vt Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Added another 1.4" overnight for a storm total of 6.9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 7" total. Over a foot at 3K. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sampson Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 We had an inch overnight. Only came in 28" behind Westfield (to the east of Jay Peak). http://www.erh.noaa.gov/btv/spotterReports/ ..CHITTENDEN COUNTY... 3 SE WEST BOLTON 8.0 801 AM 2/21 BOLTON VALLEY RESORT UNDERHILL CENTER 4.0 723 PM 2/20 TRAINED SPOTTER 1 E NASHVILLE 3.0 641 PM 2/20 NWS EMPLOYEE 4 NNE UNDERHILL 2.5 700 AM 2/21 COCORAHS JONESVILLE 2.0 500 AM 2/21 NWS EMPLOYEE 1 NE SOUTH BURLINGTO T 733 AM 2/21 NWS OFFICE ...FRANKLIN COUNTY... MONTGOMERY CENTER 16.0 800 AM 2/21 TRAINED SPOTTER ENOSBURG CENTER 16.0 345 AM 2/21 DEPT OF HIGHWAYS 1 NW RICHFORD 13.1 1200 AM 2/21 TRAINED SPOTTER ...LAMOILLE COUNTY... 1 SSE SMUGGLERS NOTC 11.0 758 AM 2/21 STOWE RESORT BELVIDERE CENTER 8.0 709 PM 2/20 TRAINED SPOTTER 3 NE HYDE PARK 7.2 630 AM 2/21 COCORAHS STOWE 6.2 900 PM 2/20 TRAINED SPOTTER 1 WNW CAMBRIDGE 5.0 759 PM 2/20 TRAINED SPOTTER 1 NW SOUTH CAMBRIDGE 4.5 814 PM 2/20 TRAINED SPOTTER ...ORLEANS COUNTY... 1 WNW WESTFIELD 29.0 740 AM 2/21 COCORAHS 4 WSW JAY 21.0 708 AM 2/21 JAY PEAK TROY 13.0 345 AM 2/21 DEPT OF HIGHWAYS CRAFTSBURY 7.0 735 AM 2/21 BROADCAST MEDIA Impressive totals!! Congratulations to all of you...I love it when ski country gets smacked. 29" is just pure insanity, though. Enjoy the turns! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 BTV sounding a little more positive about something this weekend .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...AS OF 359 AM EST THURSDAY...FOR THE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAYTIME FRAME THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR COASTAL STORM TO IMPACT OURFORECAST AREA. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW TWO SEPARATE AREAS OF LOWPRESSURE...ONE NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES AND A STRONGER LOW OFFTHE MID ATLANTIC COAST. BOTH LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL TRACKNORTHEASTWARD. THERE ARE STILL SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES AS FAR ASTHE TRACK OF THE COASTAL LOW GOES. LATEST ECMWF CAME IN WITH THELOW PASSING OUTSIDE OF THE BENCHMARK SUNDAY MORNING. GFS HAS THELOW A BIT CLOSER TO CAPE COD...AND THE NAM BRINGS THE LOW ACROSSCAPE COD. NORTHERN STREAM LOW WILL WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS TOWARD OURFORECAST AREA. RIGHT NOW LOOKS LIKE OUR FORECAST AREA WILL HAVESOME SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM...BUT AMOUNTS ARE DIFFICULTTO FORECAST AT THIS TIME DUE TO UNCERTAINTY WITH TRACK OF STRONGCOASTAL LOW. THERE MAY BE SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION AT THE ONSETSATURDAY NIGHT UNTIL COLD AIR WORKS INTO THE AREA. LOW MOVES AWAYFROM THE REGION SUNDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SOME NORTHWEST FLOWWRAPAROUND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.BTV sounding a little more optimistic for something this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 BTV sounding a little more positive about something this weekend Yeah, I would say unless there are some hefty changes in things either direction, we're in the game for at lest a medium sized event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Just disgustingly good skiing right now. Pics are going to be awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 14" at 3000ft. 48 hour total of 18" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Just disgustingly good skiing right now. Pics are going to be awesome. Yeah-yeah-yeah, as I sit at my desk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Great discussion out of BTV... "either way, Jay Peak will hit the jackpot" lol. Well, that was a quote from four days ago, so how does one rate that call from the BTV folks? Let’s use the north to south listing of storm totals from the Vermont ski areas below. I think the Burke number speaks volumes about being on the spine: Jay Peak: 27” Burke: 3” Smuggler’s Notch: 12” Stowe: 18” Bolton Valley: 15” Mad River Glen: 16” Sugarbush: 12” Pico: 7” Killington: 7” Okemo: 6” Bromley: 8” Stratton: 6” Mount Snow: 7” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 21, 2013 Author Share Posted February 21, 2013 Some updated totals http://www.erh.noaa.gov/btv/spotterReports/ ...CALEDONIA COUNTY... PEACHAM 1.0 913 AM 2/21 PUBLIC ...FRANKLIN COUNTY... BAKERSFIELD 24.0 859 AM 2/21 PUBLIC ENOSBURG CENTER 16.0 345 AM 2/21 DEPT OF HIGHWAYS MONTGOMERY CENTER 16.0 800 AM 2/21 TRAINED SPOTTER 1 NW RICHFORD 13.5 1030 AM 2/21 TRAINED SPOTTER ...LAMOILLE COUNTY... EDEN 24.0 858 AM 2/21 PUBLIC WATERVILLE 18.0 856 AM 2/21 PUBLIC 1 SSE SMUGGLERS NOTC 11.0 758 AM 2/21 STOWE RESORT BELVIDERE CENTER 8.0 709 PM 2/20 TRAINED SPOTTER 3 NE HYDE PARK 7.2 630 AM 2/21 COCORAHS STOWE 6.9 914 AM 2/21 PUBLIC 5 N JEFFERSONVILLE 5.5 730 AM 2/21 CO-OP OBSERVER 1 WNW CAMBRIDGE 5.0 759 PM 2/20 TRAINED SPOTTER 1 NW SOUTH CAMBRIDGE 4.5 814 PM 2/20 TRAINED SPOTTER ...ORLEANS COUNTY... 1 WNW WESTFIELD 29.0 740 AM 2/21 COCORAHS JAY PEAK 22.0 600 AM 2/21 CO-OP OBSERVER 4 WSW JAY 21.0 708 AM 2/21 JAY PEAK TROY 13.0 345 AM 2/21 DEPT OF HIGHWAYS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 I just saw the updated storm total snow forecast map from BTV, which certainly shows how totals are expected to be quite high near the northern tier: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Big upslope event brought me my 1/4" overnight. Don't like the trend for the weekend storm. At least Vermont gets upslope and SNE gets their storms! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Stowe had about 0-12 inches over the trails. Some places were blown clean. Some knee deep. Though I'm sure PF's boards are accuate. Decent snow too despite the slight wind affected flake structure. Some serious wind slab cracking however. I'd let the alpine sit a day or too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 GFS doing its rollercoaster with qpf (though I've not seen 12z run.) 2-3 days back, it had AUG progged for about 0.1" this weekend. By 18z yest AUG was up to 1.2", this morning back under 0.5". Usually it waits until inside 48 hr before starting the downward slide. GYX also said in AM AFD that the storm would approach the BM then head east, or even south of east. Gives us a sniff then runs away (though even the 06z run would be 4-6", which would be nice after totaling 1.0" from the last two events.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 GFS doing its rollercoaster with qpf (though I've not seen 12z run.) 2-3 days back, it had AUG progged for about 0.1" this weekend. By 18z yest AUG was up to 1.2", this morning back under 0.5". Usually it waits until inside 48 hr before starting the downward slide. GYX also said in AM AFD that the storm would approach the BM then head east, or even south of east. Gives us a sniff then runs away (though even the 06z run would be 4-6", which would be nice after totaling 1.0" from the last two events.) Model shuffle at its finest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Trends are pretty bad this morning. Great for SNE, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Trends are pretty bad this morning. Great for SNE, lol. All winter, Just not this storm, Really the only one that moved favorably was the Blizz, And it still left some on the outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 All winter, Just not this storm, Really the only one that moved favorably was the Blizz, And it still left some on the outside 2/26 looks good though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 All winter, Just not this storm, Really the only one that moved favorably was the Blizz, And it still left some on the outside Yup. Except for the bliz, it's like the Route 2 snow shield has moved down to 43N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 2/26 looks good though. Give it a few days, It will be CT jackpot................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Yup. Except for the bliz, it's like the Route 2 snow shield has moved down to 43N. I look outside at my snow pack if you want to call it that and i can taste puke in my mouth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 I look outside at my snow pack if you want to call it that and i can taste puke in my mouth 12z gfs drops AUG to under 0.3" qpf. Still time for backtracking, but this is beginning to resemble last weekend more than blizz weekend. And the copious qpf for 26-27 now looks more wet than white. I should stop looking at KevInMA's snow table, where I'm currently 26th, trailing 12 entries from CT (some by 18"+) along with several from RI/MA plus all those from VT and all others from Maine. Looks like that will only become more depressing soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 12z gfs drops AUG to under 0.3" qpf. Still time for backtracking, but this is beginning to resemble last weekend more than blizz weekend. And the copious qpf for 26-27 now looks more wet than white. I should stop looking at KevInMA's snow table, where I'm currently 26th, trailing 12 entries from CT (some by 18"+) along with several from RI/MA plus all those from VT and all others from Maine. Looks like that will only become more depressing soon. I did not like the look of the 27th as depicted by the 12z GFS this go round, I have bad visions of the storm, That reminded me of the one 2 days ago as it looked similar and my results were very wet and not white, Its getting pretty late now in the season down this way as temps are above freezing during the day for the most part and cold at night to retain the snow pack, I have a paultry 6" left and usually we would be between 18-24" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 I did not like the look of the 27th as depicted by the 12z GFS this go round, I have bad visions of the storm, That reminded me of the one 2 days ago as it looked similar and my results were very wet and not white, Its getting pretty late now in the season down this way as temps are above freezing during the day for the most part and cold at night to retain the snow pack, I have a paultry 6" left and usually we would be between 18-24" Only with about 3x the qpf. A 1.5"+ RA could end the timber harvest season for our West and East Regions (North would survive, especially since gfs gives them a moderate snowfall) and probably set up some serious ice jam flooding on the Sandy, which has residual jams from 1/31. My avg snowpack ("regressed" using a running 15-day mean) peaks at 20-21" from Feb 20 thru Mar 10, and is currently at 11". Snomo trails are scratchy at best until one gets into the mts. (Trail on my woodlot takes a turn for the worse today, as the fellow doing my timber harvest just moved onto the small block where he'll have to skid on that trail for about 900'. Maybe it's a good thing the sledding is mediocre - he won't discomfit many riders.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Snow is starting to increase again at the mountain and westward. Blocked flow right now and you can see it well on radar. Only a few flurries to the east in Stowe Village now. Should be interesting to see how this plays out as moisture is definitely increasing from the north again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 A very interesting upslope event... just crushing the far northern Greens. It looks like here in Stowe I ended up with 7" this morning (might have been some compaction overnight) but seems right in line with the other 6.9" observation from CoCoRAHS down in the Lower Village. You can tell as you head south in the RT 100 corridor, amounts drop to 4-5" even a few miles south of here. Looks nice to have a low-end warning criteria snowfall to freshen everything up...town looks beautiful today. But wow at the totals up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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