bluewave Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 it wasnt a blizzard for me or anyone west of me and I never "gave up" on the storm...i posted the map about the warm tongue and I was right there as well. Just from a snowfall standpoint, the storm last week was not all that memorable for our section of Western Nassau county. We can lump it in with numerous events over the years in the 9-12 inch range. This storm showed how impressive the dual pol technology is in quickly changing p-type events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 The NAM continues to hint at some light snow around the area on Friday night into Saturday morning. Some areas could actually see more snow out of this than tonight. Probably a 1-4" event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sampson Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Just from a snowfall standpoint, the storm last week was not all that memorable for our section of Western Nassau county. We can lump it in with numerous events over the years in the 9-12 inch range. This storm showed how impressive the dual pol technology is in quickly changing p-type events. Yes, but for some of us it was the second storm this year that totaled over 8 inches which I imagine isn't all that common. Certainly nothing from a historical perspective, but something we dont see every year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 The NAM continues to hint at some light snow around the area on Friday night into Saturday morning. Some areas could actually see more snow out of this than tonight. Probably a 1-4" event BL is very warm. It's rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 BL is very warm. It's rain. Yeah okay 850's are 100 miles offshore. One of those scenarios where it could be 35 degrees and still snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Yeah okay. 850's are 100 miles offshore. One of those scenarios where it could be 35 degrees and still snowing. yeah but you're not going to get 1-4" with light precip rates and 35 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 RAP Still precipitation falling at this timestamp as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 GFS anyone ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 GFS anyone ? Drier than the 6z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 yeah but you're not going to get 1-4" with light precip rates and 35 degrees But the precip actually looks moderate, especially west of the city. And I would expect that temperatures will be well below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Flurries on the GFS for here, what do we have to do to get an advisory event? Every single snow this year has been <1" or >18", can't we just get something in the middle, a normal snowstorm? How hard can it really be??? -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lisnow66 Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Hard to just discount the Euro. Looks minimal impact if any impact at all. Moving on but at least potential next 10 days. Makes fun for model watching as opposed to dec and jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Pay attention to models through 12z, but also take a look at the radar-snow seems to be making it a good way into IN when models had it dry not far from the Ohio River. Nowcasting becomes more important as we approach the event. This could still have some surprises when Atlantic moisture comes into play. Thank you this board makes me ill much of the time... 12 hours before an event which is already has advisory's "its over" "write it off" " Euro wins" "can we get an advisory event?" Wow what a bunch of model weenie suicide bunch... Do you think upton issues an advisory based on what the gfs does 12 hours out? (actually less!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 HRRR is going bonkers which is surprising for this model...It's one of my favorite short term models, I would still trust it more within 9-12 hours, but here it is...Shows like 3-6" for Philly. In fact it's showing 2"/hr snows! And based on its radar it would be close for NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 HRRR looks like its handling the precip nicely so IDK. 1-3" is a good bet for NYC area right now. Don't expect more, always expect less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 HRRR still not in its money zone, but still encouraging for snow lovers, it's a long shot but we'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ny747pilot Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 HRRR is going bonkers which is surprising for this model...It's one of my favorite short term models, I would still trust it more within 9-12 hours, but here it is...Shows like 3-6" for Philly. In fact it's showing 2"/hr snows! And based on its radar it would be close for NYC hrrr.png hrrr11.png Look back towards Missouri area and at the current radars towards the South and you may have an answer as to why its trending this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Look back towards Missouri area and at the current radars towards the South and you may have an answer as to why its trending this way. Huh? The radar presentation is horrific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Huh? The radar presentation is horrific. agree, it's a sheared out mess outside of a couple good bands one of them affecting cincy.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ny747pilot Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Huh? The radar presentation is horrific.my apologies I should clarify : look at the water vapor towards Missouri and the radar presentation by the gulf coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemurph44 Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 my apologies I should clarify : look at the water vapor towards Missouri and the radar presentation by the gulf coast this is not going to be enhanced by Gulf of Mexico moisture, maybe some Atlantic enhancement down in the Philly region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ny747pilot Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 this is not going to be enhanced by Gulf of Mexico moisture, maybe some Atlantic enhancement down in the Philly regionThe 15 hr hrrr forecast shows a link, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 my apologies I should clarify : look at the water vapor towards Missouri and the radar presentation by the gulf coast Water vapor loop is still meh. It shows how de-amplified the short wave really is. If the snow makes it to Binghampton I will start getting excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Despite having a low right off the coast, the new updgraded GGEM keeps most of us dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Despite having a low right off the coast, the new updgraded GGEM keeps most of us dry There's more after that panel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Apparently the Almighty Unquestionable Euro shifted north again this run. Now I guess we can all lock in a blizzard for tonight, as the trend is clear and Maximus Euro-stasius is on the move. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Apparently the Almighty Unquestionable Euro shifted north again this run. Now I guess we can all lock in a blizzard for tonight, as the trend is clear and Maximus Euro-stasius is on the move. It did? 0z euro had .11" for NYC 12z euro has .10" 0z euro had .13" for Philly 12z euro has .15" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 It did? 0z euro had .11" for NYC 12z euro has .10" 0z euro had .13" for Philly 12z euro has .15" less at bdr to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 It did? 0z euro had .11" for NYC 12z euro has .10" 0z euro had .13" for Philly 12z euro has .15" The slp and qpf field on SV maps looks further north than 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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