NCSU2005 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Anyone in Fuquay-Varina? Radar looks intersting over that way. We have had moderate snow in holly springs for about 45 mins...fuquay had not changed over to all snow as of about 20 mins ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Even though it's still snowing, it's not heavy enough to maintain the paltry accumulations we've already gotten. The timing of this system is about the worst we could have possibly had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Finally back home. Rain/snow mix at 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steven_1974 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 This was a nice surprise this morning. Looks great to see snow falling. Still it's a shame that some of you can't be happy with what we're seeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 This was a nice surprise this morning. Looks great to see snow falling. Still it's a shame that some of you can't be happy with what we're seeing. I'd like to see one inch of a accumulation again. That'd be nice. I mean, token flakes are okay, but can we get more than glorified dusting for once? Something to look at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Even though it's still snowing, it's not heavy enough to maintain the paltry accumulations we've already gotten. The timing of this system is about the worst we could have possibly had.and when it stops it all melts quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 MHX toying with the kiss of death... Snowy 46 here, clouds are just starting to move in, darker off to the west. .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...AS OF 1000 AM SATURDAY...NO CHANGES TO CURRENT HEADLINES BUT WEARE GIVING CAREFUL CONSIDERATION TO UPPING PORTIONS OF THEADVISORY TO A WARNING AND INCREASING SNOWFALL TOTALS. IF WE DECIDETO DO THIS WE LIKE TO DO IT AROUND OR BEFORE THE 1 PM UPDATE IFPOSSIBLE.LOOKS LIKE WE ARE IN STORE FOR A QUICK HITTING POSSIBLY HIGHIMPACT EVENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A POWERFUL DEEPUPPER TROUGH WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT. THIS WILLLEAD TO RAPID CYCLOGENESIS OFF OF THE NC COAST THIS EVENING. THELOW INITIALLY WILL BE IN A FAVORABLE LOCATION FOR WINTRYPRECIPITATION ACROSS EASTERN NC. ALL OF THE GUIDANCE IS INDICATINGVERY RAPID COOLING OF THE COLUMN BETWEEN 21Z AND 00Z AND THIS ISSUPPORTED BY THE 12Z UPPER AIR ANALYSIS WHICH INDICATE LOW LEVELCOLD AIR SWEEPING INTO NORTH CAROLINA THIS MORNING. THE TOP DOWNMETHOD INDICATES SATURATION AND LIFT IN THE DENDRITE GROWTHAREA WITH MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATING ALL SNOW UNTIL200-400 FT ABOVE THE SURFACE. CONSIDERING THAT >200 METER 24 HOURHEIGHT FALLS ARE FORECAST VALID 12Z SUNDAY...THERE SHOULD BE VERYSTRONG ASCENT AND THAT IS PRECISELY WHAT THE MODELS AREFORECASTING WITH EXTREME VALUES OF 15-20 MICROBARS INDICATED BY00Z. THUS WE ARE EXPECTING THE PRECIPITATION TO START OUT AS RAINBUT QUICKLY CHANGEOVER TO SNOW (BEFORE 00Z) ACROSS A LARGE PORTIONOF EASTERN NC DUE TO DYNAMIC COOLING. BANDED (HEAVIER)PRECIPITATION IS ALSO POSSIBLE AS FRONTOGENETIC FORCING VALUESBECOME IMPRESSIVE BY EARLY EVENING. MAIN QUESTIONS REVOLVE AROUNDQPF AMOUNTS AND AMOUNT OF MELTING DUE TO WARM GROUND (UPPER 40S)AND MARGINAL SURFACE TEMPERATURES WITH READINGS IN THE LOWER TOMIDDLE 30S EXPECTED DURING THE PEAK OF THE EVENT. IN THE VERYSHORT TERM WE HAVE SPED UP SLIGHTLY THE CHANGEOVER AND CHANGE TOSNOW BUT WILL NOT CHANGE THE SNOWFALL AND QPF FORECASTS UNTIL WECAN GET A QUICK PEEK AT THE 12Z MODEL RUN. reading that almost brought a tear to my eye, some pretty strong wording starting to think 6" is doable.....pretty optimistic its gonna be sledding time in the morning it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Light snow. Still NO accumulation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Greenville and Elizabeth City getting a ton of snow while the Triangle gets shafted again? Where have I heard this story before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hugo Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 So that I can have a post to bump as needed: To everyone talking about how it looks like this precip won't last long as this daytime stuff is going to be it, models have consistently suggested and forecasters are still predicting more development from the west that will move over these same areas later. A lot of this stuff sticking now will burn off, but it's the secondary precip that should move through after dark and give you some decent accumulations (by SC/NC standards). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 from gsp.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Thanks -- looks like some redevelopment happening over Catawba/Burke/N. Cleveland as well as Henderson counties. Hopefully the start of something good. RAP is not enthused. Has the redevelopment weaker and farther east. From your location to Charlotte still might be ableto eek out something, but it's not as promising as it looked late last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 So that I can have a post to bump as needed: To everyone talking about how it looks like this precip won't last long as this daytime stuff is going to be it, models have consistently suggested and forecasters are still predicting more development from the west that will move over these same areas later. A lot of this stuff sticking now will burn off, but it's the secondary precip that should move through after dark and give you some decent accumulations (by SC/NC standards). Yes, but all of that will be in the coastal plain. So for folks like me, this really is pretty much it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmh90 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 reading that almost brought a tear to my eye, some pretty strong wording starting to think 6" is doable.....pretty optimistic its gonna be sledding time in the morning it appears. Same here. I'm going to try to remain somewhat pessimistic just in case Washington gets shafted somehow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 RDU reporting SN/Fog at 10:51am with vis down to 1/2 mile, so much for a 0z changeover IT APPEARS THAT THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL REMAINTOO WARM THROUGH ~00Z THIS EVENING FOR A CHANGEOVER TO OCCUR INMOST LOCATIONS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCWeSU Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Very heavy snow now. At least half an inch on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Western Wake County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowacane Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Snow is increasing again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Holding out hope here ! Thanks 12Z RUC showing nice RH and Omega at 700 mb for 19Z for the foothills of NC: Here's the simulated radar at the same time: This seems to match well with what Brad P was saying earlier. Oh, and by the way, nice snow showers now occurring in Hickory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Even though it's still snowing, it's not heavy enough to maintain the paltry accumulations we've already gotten. The timing of this system is about the worst we could have possibly had. Spot on. I've noticed out my window we hit lulls on and off but recently the clouds look like they do when you see thunder showers coming and going. I have a great vantage point out over the uwharrie mountains. Wondering if some folks get some convective type bands this afternoon as round 2 unfolds. Currently just started snow showering lightly. Haven't seen anything like the burst earlier this a.m. Thinking 4:00 ish will be my best shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Very light snow just started up again here in Kernersville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I wouldn't call what I'm seeing in the Triad anything more than flurries. It would have to be 10 degrees colder for this to stick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Latest GFS is also encouraging for CLT area and points east of RDU. I think CLT members will really like this. I'm hoping to get a little lucky up here in HKY. Here's the 6-hour precip totals from 12 hours out: And, here's the associated 6-hour snowfall map for the same time period: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Light rain/snow mix here S of CAE. Buckeye you seeing it yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Snowing again in kvegas. Super fine wet flakes. They melt the split second they touch anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I just woke up and it is flurrying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rikiswims115 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Light snow. Still NO accumulation I very rarely post anything on this forum, because I like reading the forecasts instead. You've had some great insights for the forecasts, as had everyone else; however, I ask everyone to please stop worrying about accumulation, and enjoy the snow. I just took a 45 minute walk out in hillsborough with my dog, and it was absolutely beautiful. You won't change whether or not it's going to accumulate by complaining, and acting like the weather gods are screwing you over. Enjoy the cards you've been dealt, because at the latest by 4 am or so the storm will be out of here. Also: we weren't even supposed to switch over to snow until 3pm or so. In Raleigh, the hourly forecast said 42F for 11am and light rain. It's 35 at my house, and with beautiful snow. It's not accumulating much, but I personally think we're ahead of where we were supposed to be at this point. With that said, we might end up with nothing accumulating at the end, but please enjoy what we have, and stop worrying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLO Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 So everyone but CAE is getting snow. Awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowinnc Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Weird. It was moderate/heavy accumulating snow in North Raleigh but at 540/I-40 five miles northwest of there it's light snow with nothing on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCWeSU Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Sticking to the roads here now. Unbelievable. Was not expecting this at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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