Shawn Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Very cool thanks, I'm liking that it's showing at least some snow for us. How do you find that on the web though? I'm willing to pay if necessary! I wonder if it would be possible to find one for KSOP, it's a much smaller airport but IMBY lol. I'm certainly liking the look of the 00z GFS though. I wish that low would go a bit farther west I'm just worried about the temps. Is it really going to snow at 35F? Why would it snow at 35, but on 1.25.13 it was ip and zr only at 26 for a high? You can use this site: http://wxcaster.com/models_text.htm put in your station id such as: kfay the ones she posted were the nam sfc parameters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Very cool thanks, I'm liking that it's showing at least some snow for us. How do you find that on the web though? I'm willing to pay if necessary! I wonder if it would be possible to find one for KSOP, it's a much smaller airport but IMBY lol. I'm certainly liking the look of the 00z GFS though. I wish that low would go a bit farther west I'm just worried about the temps. Is it really going to snow at 35F? Why would it snow at 35, but on 1.25.13 it was ip and zr only at 26 for a high? Depends on temps upstairs. It quite cold aloft looking at the KFAY soundings.. only the surface is above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Very cool thanks, I'm liking that it's showing at least some snow for us. How do you find that on the web though? I'm willing to pay if necessary! I wonder if it would be possible to find one for KSOP, it's a much smaller airport but IMBY lol. I'm certainly liking the look of the 00z GFS though. I wish that low would go a bit farther west I'm just worried about the temps. Is it really going to snow at 35F? Why would it snow at 35, but on 1.25.13 it was ip and zr only at 26 for a high? I've watched it snow at 40 and have had freezing rain with temps in the teens Here's a link to help you learn http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/forum/30-meteorology-101/ SOP... Station ID: KSOP Lat: 35.23 Long: -79.40 NAM Model Run: 0Z 16FEB 2013 HR Valid 2m Tmp 2m Dpt 10m Dir 10m Spd TPrcp CPrcp 1000-500 500mb 850mb 500mb MSLP TCC PRS WX Tot Snowfall Vis Deg F Deg F deg kt in. in. Thk GPH Tmp Tmp mb % TEXT Clouds in SM 0 02/16 00Z 49 32 194 2 0.00 0.00 543 555 2.5 -20.7 1014 0 CLR 0.0 15.1 3 02/16 03Z 47 34 195 3 0.00 0.00 540 552 2.8 -22.5 1013 0 CLR 0.0 15.0 6 02/16 06Z 44 35 4 8 0.00 0.00 538 549 1.9 -23.9 1014 42 060SCT107 0.0 15.0 9 02/16 09Z 41 32 355 11 0.00 0.00 534 547 0.5 -25.2 1015 87 -RA 044BKN135 0.0 15.5 12 02/16 12Z 35 32 5 11 0.02 0.00 532 543 -1.1 -26.9 1014 92 -SN 036BKN160 0.2 12.6 15 02/16 15Z 34 32 358 9 0.08 0.00 529 541 -6.1 -29.3 1015 100 SN 005OVC183 0.8 2.6 18 02/16 18Z 34 31 5 6 0.14 0.00 526 537 -6.3 -29.1 1014 100 -SN 004OVC210 1.4 1.6 21 02/16 21Z 36 31 357 5 0.04 0.00 523 532 -7.6 -31.3 1011 100 012OVC192 0.1 15.0 24 02/17 00Z 34 29 291 5 0.00 0.00 518 528 -8.3 -35.4 1012 72 034BKN088 0.0 13.6 27 02/17 03Z 34 28 311 9 0.00 0.00 515 526 -8.7 -38.2 1013 94 052BKN140 0.0 15.1 30 02/17 06Z 30 21 308 10 0.00 0.00 512 524 -10.8 -37.4 1016 78 149BKN205 0.0 15.0 33 02/17 09Z 25 18 291 11 0.00 0.00 510 523 -12.5 -37.1 1017 8 172FEW220 0.0 15.0 36 02/17 12Z 23 13 294 12 0.00 0.00 510 525 -14.5 -34.8 1019 4 053FEW108 0.0 15.0 39 02/17 15Z 29 9 308 15 0.00 0.00 513 530 -15.4 -31.9 1021 0 CLR 0.0 15.0 42 02/17 18Z 36 11 292 16 0.00 0.00 518 535 -12.9 -29.6 1021 34 045SCT066 0.0 15.1 45 02/17 21Z 37 12 297 16 0.00 0.00 523 540 -11.2 -26.9 1021 66 109BKN118 0.0 15.1 48 02/18 00Z 29 10 300 8 0.00 0.00 526 545 -11.6 -26.0 1024 34 081SCT138 0.0 15.1 51 02/18 03Z 27 10 302 3 0.00 0.00 529 550 -10.0 -23.9 1026 0 CLR 0.0 15.0 54 02/18 06Z 27 11 207 3 0.00 0.00 532 554 -7.4 -23.8 1027 0 CLR 0.0 15.1 57 02/18 09Z 27 13 213 4 0.00 0.00 534 555 -6.7 -24.1 1027 1 CLR 0.0 15.0 60 02/18 12Z 28 15 217 3 0.00 0.00 536 559 -4.9 -23.2 1029 0 CLR 0.0 15.1 63 02/18 15Z 42 19 219 8 0.00 0.00 538 562 -2.9 -22.7 1029 0 CLR 0.0 15.1 66 02/18 18Z 49 24 231 9 0.00 0.00 541 563 -0.9 -21.0 1027 0 CLR 0.0 14.9 69 02/18 21Z 50 30 213 11 0.00 0.00 543 564 0.5 -20.4 1025 3 054FEW076 0.0 15.1 72 02/19 00Z 43 32 198 8 0.00 0.00 544 565 2.5 -20.5 1026 1 128FEW188 0.0 15.1 75 02/19 03Z 37 30 203 8 0.00 0.00 544 566 2.8 -21.4 1027 0 CLR 0.0 15.1 78 02/19 06Z 34 29 206 10 0.00 0.00 544 565 3.2 -20.7 1025 0 CLR 0.0 15.0 81 02/19 09Z 33 29 207 9 0.00 0.00 545 564 3.8 -21.1 1024 0 CLR 0.0 15.0 84 02/19 12Z 32 31 214 9 0.00 0.00 546 564 3.7 -20.9 1023 5 225FEW226 0.0 6.8 http://68.226.77.253/text/NAMSFC/NAM_KSOP.txt <---- just change the ID Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Just a note,this isn't as strong as a cold pool as most of you think.Here in Nashville we was suppose to drop into the 30's by 5 from our disco,it never happened,we was still above 50 at 5,food for the brain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 well, time to get some sleep before the big day tomorrow, hopefully i wake up to even better nowcast trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Columbia won't update their forecast discussion.. lol. Surely they aren't waiting on the Euro this close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Predicting Raleigh snowfall limits for this sysem using climo: 0.5-2" is probably a pretty reasonable prediction at RDU as of now. It could, of course, end up being less than 0.5". Could it be more? I suppose but I highly doubt this can end up as a major (5"+) based on the climo of no Gulf low and KATL expecting next to no measurable liquid. I'm bringing this up because I thought I saw some posts referencing a model or models that may suggest close to 0.50" liquid/ 5" snow there. I looked back at the 15 major S/IP at RDU since 1974: 1) This low isn't progged to be much of anything in the GOM. 14 of the 15 were Gulf/Gulf coast surface lows at some point. I found only one that was never centered along the Gulf coast or further south: the one that produced the 2/16-17/1987 5.0" snow. Still, that low picked up a lot of gulf moisture as it traversed the inland SE US (KATL got 0.52" of rain). 2) 14 of the 15 produced 0.30+" of liquid equivalent at KATL. Only one produced less: 0.08"at KATL regarding the 2/5-6/1984 RDU 6.9" snow. That one still that had some weak Gulf aspect to it. 3) So, with the weekend system not progged to be a Gulf/Gulf coast low per se/not progged to do much til it is off the SE coast and with KATL progged to get hardly any precip. (quite possibly not measurable), climo says this has only a very remote chance of producing 5"+ of snow at RDU. I'd say 2-3" on the high end and 1/2-2" as the most likely interval. I'd say that any model that is spitting out 5"+ of snow at RDU is very likely out to lunch. I have no change in my earlier thinking (see above quote). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 You can use this site: http://wxcaster.com/models_text.htm put in your station id such as: kfay the ones she posted were the nam sfc parameters Awesome, thanks for the link Depends on temps upstairs. It quite cold aloft looking at the KFAY soundings.. only the surface is above freezing. So that;s what I need to look for in soundings...I know what I'm looking AT when I see sounding, I just don;t know what I'm looking FOR when snow is in the picture. Isn't the surface temps what really matter though? I've watched it snow at 40 and have had freezing rain with temps in the teens Here's a link to help you learn http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/forum/30-meteorology-101/ SOP... Station ID: KSOP Lat: 35.23 Long: -79.40 NAM Model Run: 0Z 16FEB 2013 HR Valid 2m Tmp 2m Dpt 10m Dir 10m Spd TPrcp CPrcp 1000-500 500mb 850mb 500mb MSLP TCC PRS WX Tot Snowfall Vis Deg F Deg F deg kt in. in. Thk GPH Tmp Tmp mb % TEXT Clouds in SM 0 02/16 00Z 49 32 194 2 0.00 0.00 543 555 2.5 -20.7 1014 0 CLR 0.0 15.1 3 02/16 03Z 47 34 195 3 0.00 0.00 540 552 2.8 -22.5 1013 0 CLR 0.0 15.0 6 02/16 06Z 44 35 4 8 0.00 0.00 538 549 1.9 -23.9 1014 42 060SCT107 0.0 15.0 9 02/16 09Z 41 32 355 11 0.00 0.00 534 547 0.5 -25.2 1015 87 -RA 044BKN135 0.0 15.5 12 02/16 12Z 35 32 5 11 0.02 0.00 532 543 -1.1 -26.9 1014 92 -SN 036BKN160 0.2 12.6 15 02/16 15Z 34 32 358 9 0.08 0.00 529 541 -6.1 -29.3 1015 100 SN 005OVC183 0.8 2.6 18 02/16 18Z 34 31 5 6 0.14 0.00 526 537 -6.3 -29.1 1014 100 -SN 004OVC210 1.4 1.6 21 02/16 21Z 36 31 357 5 0.04 0.00 523 532 -7.6 -31.3 1011 100 012OVC192 0.1 15.0 24 02/17 00Z 34 29 291 5 0.00 0.00 518 528 -8.3 -35.4 1012 72 034BKN088 0.0 13.6 27 02/17 03Z 34 28 311 9 0.00 0.00 515 526 -8.7 -38.2 1013 94 052BKN140 0.0 15.1 30 02/17 06Z 30 21 308 10 0.00 0.00 512 524 -10.8 -37.4 1016 78 149BKN205 0.0 15.0 33 02/17 09Z 25 18 291 11 0.00 0.00 510 523 -12.5 -37.1 1017 8 172FEW220 0.0 15.0 36 02/17 12Z 23 13 294 12 0.00 0.00 510 525 -14.5 -34.8 1019 4 053FEW108 0.0 15.0 39 02/17 15Z 29 9 308 15 0.00 0.00 513 530 -15.4 -31.9 1021 0 CLR 0.0 15.0 42 02/17 18Z 36 11 292 16 0.00 0.00 518 535 -12.9 -29.6 1021 34 045SCT066 0.0 15.1 45 02/17 21Z 37 12 297 16 0.00 0.00 523 540 -11.2 -26.9 1021 66 109BKN118 0.0 15.1 48 02/18 00Z 29 10 300 8 0.00 0.00 526 545 -11.6 -26.0 1024 34 081SCT138 0.0 15.1 51 02/18 03Z 27 10 302 3 0.00 0.00 529 550 -10.0 -23.9 1026 0 CLR 0.0 15.0 54 02/18 06Z 27 11 207 3 0.00 0.00 532 554 -7.4 -23.8 1027 0 CLR 0.0 15.1 57 02/18 09Z 27 13 213 4 0.00 0.00 534 555 -6.7 -24.1 1027 1 CLR 0.0 15.0 60 02/18 12Z 28 15 217 3 0.00 0.00 536 559 -4.9 -23.2 1029 0 CLR 0.0 15.1 63 02/18 15Z 42 19 219 8 0.00 0.00 538 562 -2.9 -22.7 1029 0 CLR 0.0 15.1 66 02/18 18Z 49 24 231 9 0.00 0.00 541 563 -0.9 -21.0 1027 0 CLR 0.0 14.9 69 02/18 21Z 50 30 213 11 0.00 0.00 543 564 0.5 -20.4 1025 3 054FEW076 0.0 15.1 72 02/19 00Z 43 32 198 8 0.00 0.00 544 565 2.5 -20.5 1026 1 128FEW188 0.0 15.1 75 02/19 03Z 37 30 203 8 0.00 0.00 544 566 2.8 -21.4 1027 0 CLR 0.0 15.1 78 02/19 06Z 34 29 206 10 0.00 0.00 544 565 3.2 -20.7 1025 0 CLR 0.0 15.0 81 02/19 09Z 33 29 207 9 0.00 0.00 545 564 3.8 -21.1 1024 0 CLR 0.0 15.0 84 02/19 12Z 32 31 214 9 0.00 0.00 546 564 3.7 -20.9 1023 5 225FEW226 0.0 6.8 http://68.226.77.253/text/NAMSFC/NAM_KSOP.txt <---- just change the ID Ooooh you've just woken up the weenie in me...potential for 2.5 inches of snow? I'll take it! Sounds a lot better than weather.com or accuweather's forecasts lol Thanks for the links everybody, trying to teach this stuff to myself through the internet...and this site is amazing, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I have no change in my earlier thinking (see above quote). How much did Atlanta get in the Jan 25,2000 storm? If my memory serves me correct, that storm completely missed them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Triad area peeps and anyone else along the I-85 corridor from GSO to CLT might want to take a peek at the 04z RAP. I'm not sure what the QPF is, but it's a solid 9+ hours of precip all the way through the end of the run. EDIT: Here we go. I'm sure it won't verify, but WOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 http://68.226.77.253/text/1DegGFS/GFS_kcub.txt GFS is showing 0.0 VIS at KCUB tomorrow with snow at hour 24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 http://68.226.77.253/text/1DegGFS/GFS_kcub.txt GFS is showing 0.0 VIS at KCUB tomorrow with snow at hour 24. It has 0.0 & 0.5 for KCAE also. .49 of snow.. wow 18 02/16 18Z 36 35 35 7 0.23 0.00 529 540 -3.9 -28.6 1012.5 97 -SN 027BKN106 112BKN182 221FEW240 41 36 0.5 24 02/17 00Z 34 33 3 8 0.26 0.01 518 530 -7.6 -36.3 1014.0 96 -SN 019BKN108 113BKN183 218FEW240 37 34 0.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 KRDU NAM forcast 3.6" Station ID: KRDU Lat: 35.87 Long: -78.78 NAM Model Run: 0Z 16FEB 2013 HR Valid 2m Tmp 2m Dpt 10m Dir 10m Spd TPrcp CPrcp 1000-500 500mb 850mb 500mb MSLP TCC PRS WX Tot Snowfall Vis Deg F Deg F deg kt in. in. Thk GPH Tmp Tmp mb % TEXT Clouds in SM 0 02/16 00Z 49 33 178 2 0.00 0.00 542 553 2.6 -21.7 1013 0 CLR 0.0 15.1 3 02/16 03Z 45 34 226 2 0.00 0.00 539 550 2.7 -23.1 1013 20 114FEW150 0.0 15.0 6 02/16 06Z 42 33 350 10 0.00 0.00 536 548 1.7 -25.0 1014 52 065BKN120 0.0 15.0 9 02/16 09Z 40 32 346 12 0.00 0.00 534 546 -0.6 -26.3 1015 95 032BKN162 0.0 14.9 12 02/16 12Z 35 33 350 9 0.08 0.00 531 543 -4.9 -28.3 1015 98 -SN 007OVC168 0.9 4.5 15 02/16 15Z 36 33 356 9 0.08 0.00 528 541 -6.9 -29.5 1015 100 -SN 007OVC187 0.8 6.7 18 02/16 18Z 34 31 353 4 0.11 0.00 526 537 -7.3 -29.4 1013 100 -SN 005OVC207 1.1 5.4 21 02/16 21Z 35 32 297 6 0.05 0.00 523 532 -7.7 -31.0 1011 100 -SN 004OVC204 0.5 14.8 24 02/17 00Z 35 31 322 7 0.02 0.00 518 528 -8.2 -35.5 1011 98 -SN 017OVC095 0.2 9.7 27 02/17 03Z 34 29 333 8 0.01 0.00 515 525 -9.4 -38.7 1013 97 -SN 021BKN148 0.1 12.8 30 02/17 06Z 31 22 312 10 0.00 0.00 512 523 -10.7 -38.4 1014 90 110BKN158 0.0 15.5 33 02/17 09Z 27 18 292 11 0.00 0.00 509 521 -12.3 -37.9 1015 24 253FEW298 0.0 15.0 36 02/17 12Z 25 13 296 13 0.00 0.00 508 522 -14.4 -36.5 1017 15 089FEW128 0.0 15.0 39 02/17 15Z 29 7 307 18 0.00 0.00 510 526 -16.0 -34.6 1020 1 CLR 0.0 15.0 42 02/17 18Z 34 8 300 17 0.00 0.00 514 530 -13.9 -31.7 1020 24 046FEW068 0.0 15.1 45 02/17 21Z 35 9 299 16 0.00 0.00 519 535 -12.2 -29.1 1020 94 050BKN068 0.0 15.1 48 02/18 00Z 29 9 309 8 0.00 0.00 522 541 -12.6 -27.5 1023 56 075BKN075 0.0 15.1 51 02/18 03Z 26 10 288 6 0.00 0.00 526 546 -11.8 -25.4 1026 0 CLR 0.0 15.0 54 02/18 06Z 25 12 266 4 0.00 0.00 529 551 -9.3 -24.6 1027 0 CLR 0.0 15.1 57 02/18 09Z 25 14 233 3 0.00 0.00 532 553 -7.4 -24.9 1027 0 CLR 0.0 15.0 60 02/18 12Z 26 16 230 4 0.00 0.00 534 556 -6.5 -23.7 1028 0 CLR 0.0 15.1 63 02/18 15Z 39 18 238 7 0.00 0.00 536 560 -4.3 -22.9 1029 0 CLR 0.0 15.1 66 02/18 18Z 48 23 224 9 0.00 0.00 540 562 -1.9 -21.7 1027 0 CLR 0.0 14.9 69 02/18 21Z 49 29 211 10 0.00 0.00 543 563 0.4 -20.8 1025 6 163FEW168 0.0 15.1 72 02/19 00Z 42 31 198 8 0.00 0.00 543 564 2.7 -20.5 1025 4 068FEW123 0.0 15.1 75 02/19 03Z 37 30 206 9 0.00 0.00 543 565 3.3 -21.7 1026 0 CLR 0.0 15.1 78 02/19 06Z 33 29 205 9 0.00 0.00 543 563 3.8 -21.3 1025 0 CLR 0.0 15.0 81 02/19 09Z 32 28 210 10 0.00 0.00 544 563 4.0 -21.2 1023 0 CLR 0.0 15.1 84 02/19 12Z 32 30 215 9 0.00 0.00 545 563 3.3 -21.2 1022 0 CLR 0.0 11.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 So that;s what I need to look for in soundings...I know what I'm looking AT when I see sounding, I just don;t know what I'm looking FOR when snow is in the picture. Isn't the surface temps what really matter though? To me, an ideal sounding for snow would be the entire column below freezing, but you can still get snow to accumulate even with above freezing surface temps; If it's falling heavy enough, it'll accumulate. As for surface temps, it really depends on what type of precip you're looking for. Simply put, if it's warm aloft (~850mb) and below freezing at the surface, you'll most likely be having freezing rain. Sleet is usually a result of warming just above freezing roughly around 850mb. Refer to these graphics to see what I'm trying to explain: Sleet: Freezing Rain: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Wow... Just caught up on about five pages of great disco! Looking for to watching for this lee side development tomorrow Good luck all!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Buckeye, I've never seen NOAA change the forecast so many times. One second it's slight chance snow for Lexington.. then its rain/snow. then back and forth.. never ends.. now it says possibly snow 10pm til midnight for us in this area in the wording sat night. EDIT: The euro goes neg around al/ga from what i see on free maps.. so.. it caved. model consensus is pretty much reached now. whew! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 For those that don't have it, this is an amazing hdef radar from penn state for the Southeast! http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/WXTYPE/loop25se.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 The HRRR looks AMAZINGG! http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRRsubh/jsloopLocalDiskDateDomain.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr_jet_subh:&runTime=2013021603&plotName=cref15min_t6sfc&fcstInc=15&numFcsts=61&model=rr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=t6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 RAP finally agrees with you,good luck The HRRR looks AMAZINGG! http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRRsubh/jsloopLocalDiskDateDomain.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr_jet_subh:&runTime=2013021603&plotName=cref15min_t6sfc&fcstInc=15&numFcsts=61&model=rr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=t6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 RAP finally agrees with you,good luck do you have a link to the RAP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 do you have a link to the RAP? http://ruc.noaa.gov/RUC/from_jet/ruc_jet/2013021605/full/vort_500_f12.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 do you have a link to the RAP? http://ruc.noaa.gov/RUC/Welcome.cgi its the RAP,this is the 24 hrs,believe i posted the wrong link,my bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 The HRRR looks AMAZINGG! http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRRsubh/jsloopLocalDiskDateDomain.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr_jet_subh:&runTime=2013021603&plotName=cref15min_t6sfc&fcstInc=15&numFcsts=61&model=rr&ptitle=HRRR Model Fields - Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=t6'>http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRRsubh/jsloopLocalDiskDateDomain.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr_jet_subh:&runTime=2013021603&plotName=cref15min_t6sfc&fcstInc=15&numFcsts=61&model=rr&ptitle=HRRR Model Fields - Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=t6 The Carolina's have seen some of their best snows from this kind of lee side developments. Lets hope this comes to fruition. Thanks for sharing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 NWS-GSP updated their FD at 1:07 am and are thinking around an inch for upstate sc to CLT (I-85 corrider). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 NWS-GSP updated their FD at 1:07 am and are thinking around an inch for upstate sc to CLT (I-85 corrider). 70% chance of nothing here according to NWS Raleigh. If it does, less than 1/2 inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 NWS-GSP updated their FD at 1:07 am and are thinking around an inch for upstate sc to CLT (I-85 corrider). That's still the same snowfall map from earlier this evening. The forecast is still the same one from 9:30pm.They just issued a synopsis tidbit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 70% chance of nothing here according to NWS Raleigh. If it does, less than 1/2 inch possible. Any word from the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Frank Strait's video blog is kinda funny. He says something along the lines of: "warmer bl temps, no predicting a huge storm" "but if this heavier band sets up it could be really heavy and it scares us and could break the forecast" "dont be surprised to go to bed, wake up, and think about having to shovel the half inch to inch" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ColdRainsStr8cashhomey Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 brad p saying there is a possibility for thundersnow as well. if i experience thundersnow i may have to be revived. for the love of Pete... highly doubtful I'm all about snow and understand the minimal conditional instability of the trowel, but let's be realistic here... we're not dealing with a powerhouse upper level low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 for the love of Pete... highly doubtful I'm all about snow and understand the minimal conditional instability of the trowel, but let's be realistic here... we're not dealing with a powerhouse upper level low Radar beginning to light up....already showing returns in the upstate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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