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WidreMann told us it was gonna snow thread


LithiaWx

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This is getting closer and closer to a big event for CLT...just need a tiny shift east. 

Hopefully it'll stay right there and just expand to encompass both us. :pimp:

 

I'm nervous though about the always possible bubble of warmth at 925-950 mb for my area. Robert talked about this on his facebook page.

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SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE
NWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS COLLEGE PARK MD
0303Z SAT FEB 16 2013

THE 00Z GFS MODEL HAS STARTED AND IS RUNNING ON TIME.
OBSERVATIONS AVAILABLE FOR MODEL INGEST INCLUDED 16 DROPSONDES
COURTESY OF A NOAA G-IV WINTER STORM RECONNAISSANCE MISSION OVER
THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...BETWEEN KAUAI AND THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN.

HANDEL/SDM/NCO/NCEP

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I'm not too concerned about if snow will reach the ground.  Temps are basically at or below  freezing at about 950mb's and up for everyone in our area.  From 950mb to the ground is only 500  feet or so.  Flakes  won't have a problem making it that distance especially considering how cold the air is in the higher layer's.  The boundary layer will be a problem for accumulations though.  I think the lee trough band that sets up can over come that though and give somebody a quick 2 or 3 inches, but who knows??

Hopefully it'll stay right there and just expand to encompass both us. :pimp:

 

I'm nervous though about the always possible bubble of warmth at 925-950 mb for my area. Robert talked about this on his facebook page.

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It would really surprise me if CAE puts wwa's out for here(Lexington/Calhoun/Richland Co) before any snow accumulates 

 

I just loaded up the 00z NAM in Bufkit, and it looks a bit more ominous for KCAE and I believe we will be just a tad colder here around Lexington.  So...  who knows.

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