DopplerWx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 hi res nam simulated radar @13hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Wow, look at the sim radar in NW SC at hr 21! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Liberty Restaurant in High Point. I'll be going back. Not if it's closed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ColdRainsStr8cashhomey Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Not gonna lie when I say burrel2 and oconeexman deserve a good snowfall. They've been shafted for too long. got that right brother Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Hi-Res NAM puts .5 of accum. qpf from Gastonia to CLT and south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Still pretty dry for wNC as compared to the GFS. Still lacking a good consensus up here. Ya the NAM has not looked good at all here but the GFS looks real good for the mountains. We shall see how it plays out. I really do not trust the NAM at all. The last several little events it has not done that well on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Not if it's closed! Go to banter and tell me what you mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 18 vs 0z, 24hr QPF prior to the stamp, not much difference... axis a hair further west That 40 mile shift is huge out here. Went from almost zilch to .25+. Impossible to know where the sharp cutoff will set up until now cast but in my area it's gonna be feast or famine across someone's county. Still liking the potential for northern coastal plain. Maybe clouds will hold off for you guys and fill in fast furious by sunrise. Noticed RWI cooling rapidly. Of course they sit in a prime spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Eh CAE looks to be all snow at the start on hi res nam. 00z that can cause major differences in following moisture. that happend in 2010. heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 That 40 mile shift is huge out here. Went from almost zilch to .25+. Impossible to know where the sharp cutoff will set up until now cast but in my area it's gonna be feast or famine across someone's county. Still liking the potential for northern coastal plain. Maybe clouds will hold off for you guys and fill in fast furious by sunrise. Noticed RWI cooling rapidly. Of course they sit in a prime spot. I haven't been outside but it must have clouded over. I'm up 2º to 44º. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Eh CAE looks to be all snow at the start on hi res nam. 00z that can cause major differences in following moisture. that happend in 2010. heh Haven't you been done with this storm like 10 times now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Haven't you been done with this storm like 10 times now? I'd like to think 3. But now it looks like CAE may get a nice rain shower at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I haven't been outside but it must have clouded over. I'm up 2º to 44º. Yea need to go on ahead and root for the wind shift to get on in so CAA can get underway before we have to battle the big orange ball that will be on the other side of our clouds tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 looks to start as snow for most areas, maybe a brief changeover period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Still pretty dry for wNC as compared to the GFS. Still lacking a good consensus up here. Ya the NAM has not looked good at all here but the GFS looks real good for the mountains. We shall see how it plays out. I really do not trust the NAM at all. The last several little events it has not done that well on. Yea, hoping the GFS keeps us in the 1-3" range. Right now NAM is a dusting at best. I agree, and stated it earlier in the thread, NAM pretty much awful the last 8-12 weeks. Not just snow forecasts, but rain and QPF too. Terrible job as of late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Down to 36.3° in Weaverville with very & I mean very, light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Grass and roads turning white above 3000 feet in the county now. Getting reports called into me right now. 31 F and light snow here in the northern mtns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Be interesting to see where, and if, that band sets up across central Ga. The earlier Nam had a thin band of frozen on the northern edge, and the late run has the precip a county south of me, lol. If it's cold enough I'd expect to see some onset sleet, and that'd be worth staying up for..if it's cold enough, and dry enough up there to cool the column. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Yea, hoping the GFS keeps us in the 1-3" range. Right now NAM is a dusting at best. I agree, and stated it earlier in the thread, NAM pretty much awful the last 8-12 weeks. Not just snow forecasts, but rain and QPF too. Terrible job as of late. Yep I 100 percent agree! I think we will be ok. I think the GFS is handeling this system much better than the NAM. Still snowing here at work right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Not gonna lie when I say burrel2 and oconeexman deserve a good snowfall. They've been shafted for too long. Why thank you blue kazoo..I expect nothing more than a flizzard while everyone east of us including the friggin beaches get an inch or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 One trend from the RAP's last two runs is delaying the onset of precip. The 21z run at 15 hours had a nice stripe (up to .05-.1 an hour) breaking out over the I-85 corridor in SC and up through Charlotte. The 1z RAP at 10 hours (same time frame) has virtually nothing, save for one little spot of .01-.03 in east Georgia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 One trend from the RAP's last two runs is delaying the onset of precip. The 21z run at 15 hours had a nice stripe (up to .05-.1 an hour) breaking out over the I-85 corridor in SC and up through Charlotte. The 1z RAP at 10 hours (same time frame) has virtually nothing, save for one little spot of .01-.03 in east Georgia. You talked about BL issues earlier tonight. Would a later onset of precip lessen the BL issues if there are any? More time before precip would mean more time for CAA to come in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 31 F and light snow here in the northern mtns Nice; this should be a good little storm for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Something going on with RAP QPF output. Here is 3 hours worth of NAM QPF, valid 12z Saturday. Now here is the same three hour period on the most recent 1z RAP I swear I've looked at this 100 times making sure I have apples to apples. The thing is, the 700 rh looks great on the RAP. I know its precip is notoriously unreliable -- this just seems odd. It's also a big delay/reduction from RAP runs just a few hours ago. Hopefully not sniffing something out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I can't help but get a little excited looking at the latest RAP and Hi-Res NAM. Both of them dead center the lee-side trowel over mby. I'm gonna temper my expectations and assume the trowel sets up further east. I've been burned by this same type setup a few times in the late 90's/early 2000's. I do feel confident that some one in the upstate who maximizes their qpf from the leeside trough will get a quick 2 or 3 inches of snow. If I had to guess, my money would be somewhere between southern greenville and Union counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Boom goes the dynamite on the last frame of the RAP!!! 500mb map looks awesome too, it's has a nice bundle of energy rounding the negatively tilting trough just to the south of the upstate. This is a best case scenario for the upstate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Hmmm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Boom baby! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 i have not been following this system much....anyone know avg accumulations for the charlotte area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 This is getting closer and closer to a big event for CLT...just need a tiny shift east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.