burgertime Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 SV snow map puts a little dot of 2-4 right around Columbia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Weenie snowfall map drops 4" just east of RDU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 This is a good trend! Hopefully when I wake up the 6z will have more fun in store. We still have hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Well, Well, Well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Interesting...just south of CLT to CAE gets around .25...then east of CLT up to RDU gets around .25 with just east of RDU getting .50 24 hour accumulated precip at hour 54: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 RWI >0.5", tail hook into the upstate, southern foothills, slp develops closer to the coast, better axis, better moisture return inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 GFS clown maps show widespread 2+ inches for that swath I mentioned -- including GSP. GFS has our 850's between -8 and -12 we might eek out an inch out of this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 This setup reminds me of a storm with a deep trough where all the models kept developing the surface low to far east...I won't speak that storms name. I know that wont happen, but it has some similarities. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 What did I tell you guys yesterday? I knew the storm would come back and sure enough it did. Maybe we had to sacrifice a UNC victory over Duke, but if that's what it takes, I'll settle for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 What did I tell you guys yesterday? I knew the storm would come back and sure enough it did. Maybe we had to sacrifice a UNC victory over Duke, but if that's what it takes, I'll settle for it. Oh, that was no sacrifice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Oh, that was no sacrifice. That's how I spin it so that I don't have to cry as much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 This setup reminds me of a storm with a deep trough where all the models kept developing the surface low to far east...I won't speak that storms name. I know that wont happen, but it has some similarities. :-) I know what you're alluding to. I have a feeling the precip shield is going to move a little farther west, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 This setup reminds me of a storm with a deep trough where all the models kept developing the surface low to far east...I won't speak that storms name. I know that wont happen, but it has some similarities. :-) Bingo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 This setup reminds me of a storm with a deep trough where all the models kept developing the surface low to far east...I won't speak that storms name. I know that wont happen, but it has some similarities. :-) My avatar greets you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossthread Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Local Mets are talking light flurries possible here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 That's a big hole from the triad to Wilkesboro. Ughhhh TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 While we are on a high, I present you the 02z RAP at 18 hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 My avatar greets you. Was I that obvious! :-))) If you look at the maps of that unnamed storm it is interesting, lightning never strikes twice in the same place, but.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossthread Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Short term /6 am Friday morning through Saturday night/...as of 230 PM Thursday...a middle and upper trough will begin to digacross the MS valley Friday then shift across the eastern UnitedStates by Saturday afternoon and night. At the surface...a coldfront will shift off the coast during Saturday. 850 mb temperatures becomequite cold as the trough moves through...but moisture availabilityis in question to support some light precipitation. Latest GFSimplies there may be a slight chance of flurries along with a chanceof light rain. Given the westerly trajectory the GFS may beoverdone...thus the drier NAM is preferred at the moment with aslight chance of rain or sprinkles with very little to no quantitative precipitation forecast.Latest European model (ecmwf) has some light quantitative precipitation forecast Saturday...and cold temperatures moving inat 850 mb...however surface temperatures remain above 40f as the best(albeit limited) moisture treks through. Still need to keep an eyeon this...especially if positive vorticity advection maximum can move overhead versus skirting bythe forecast area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I told you guys earlier that this has the possibility of Jan2000 written all over it! Even the Gfs snowfall map shows theNW foothills getting o big ole goose egg of no snow. Get ready for some cliff diving! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 What did I tell you guys yesterday? I knew the storm would come back and sure enough it did. Maybe we had to sacrifice a UNC victory over Duke, but if that's what it takes, I'll settle for it. The reason it came back is because you started acting like normal Widre last night instead of that other guy you were acting like on Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Lol at the qpf hole over KILM. Hopefully that will fill out. I like the way this is going. Who said last night that he would wait to put the nail in the coffin until the 00z suite tonight? Good call . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 This setup reminds me of a storm with a deep trough where all the models kept developing the surface low to far east...I won't speak that storms name. I know that wont happen, but it has some similarities. :-) C Crusher? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 That's a big hole from the triad to Wilkesboro. Ughhhh TW Most of us get 0.10-0.25" QPF. I suppose that rates aren't high enough to overcome warm BL temps, but I'm not sure. I'm not sure if I've ever seen a situation where E NC got snow while we got rain, though. And with 850s near -10C, I'm just not sure if I can buy torching BL temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 This setup reminds me of a storm with a deep trough where all the models kept developing the surface low to far east...I won't speak that storms name. I know that wont happen, but it has some similarities. :-)[/quote E neg tilt 3-6 hou Funny thing is if you look at the frames past 54 the storm really goes to town. The only thing preventing a repeat scenario would be to get the negative tilt 3-6 hours earlier. This would help cyclogenesis occur quicker and we would all get a decent event . Not gonna get some big pivot like we did with the 2000 storm, but it would give all of us what we desperately need, more qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 The reason it came back is because you started acting like normal Widre last night instead of that other guy you were acting like on Tuesday. Probably. I promise never to be optimistic again. I want to see the 00z Canadian and Euro lock on to the trend as well. 12z tomorrow will be the tell-tale run. This may just be a blip and the most we'll get is flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 What did I tell you guys yesterday? I knew the storm would come back and sure enough it did. Maybe we had to sacrifice a UNC victory over Duke, but if that's what it takes, I'll settle for it. Hey, if Clemson can get a win on the road, anything is possible! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 0z RGEM -- pretty nice precip field -- all the green is .1 or higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I'll be happy if I get an inch out this...2 inches and I'll be doing cartwheels! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Holy crap, look at the 3z RAP, guys... Hr 18 and much stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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