Buddy1987 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 That area of energy diving out of the Dakotas area is more pronounced this run as well don't know if that will show anything down the road here but.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 I'm more interested to see what that energy behind it does now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 @54 that energy diving into OK is really juicing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 NAM looks promising, cmon throw us a bone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 This could get interesting @57 precip is starting to show over OK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 The model runs today are disappointing as hell. The NAM can show what it wants, but I won't hang my hat on it. It's toast. Also, hoping that going back to my normal negativity won't jinx our last chance at winter weather like my unfounded optimism of yesternight did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Wow yea 54 0z has it entering northern OK where as Nam 18z at 60 had it over southern NE and th trough axis was different looking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 lol PA really gets snowed over on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 The model runs today are disappointing as hell. The NAM can show what it wants, but I won't hang my hat on it. It's toast. Also, hoping that going back to my normal negativity won't jinx our last chance at winter weather like my unfounded optimism of yesternight did. and see you're back to negative and the NAM is showing some promise...but yes it's the NAM past 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 NAM is still a swing and a miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 and see you're back to negative and the NAM is showing some promise...but yes it's the NAM past 48 hours. The NAM is only slightly better. There's still no SLP at 66 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 They must be freaking in the NE forum -- that low up there shifted about 200 miles south between 18z and 0z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Hi-Res NAM has some good returns making it over the mountains so we might end up with some flizzards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 This is such a bummer so much energy upstairs but nothing to show at the surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 NAM brings some precip close to the nc/sc coast this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Beautiful snowstorm for Buoy 2130. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Looks like the mountains could see an advisory event with this though. Looking better and better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Well if anything the northern stream energy at the 48 hr timeframe if it were to come a little south could make some Virginians happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 The trough need only shift about 150 miles further west to turn this into something worthwhile. Sigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 0z NAM drives the 850 mb 0C line down nearly to Key West at hr 84. -10C is down to the FL/GA border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 There WERE big changes upstream -- the Valentines 18th/19th low looked totally different. Maybe that will translate downstream in subsequent runs. The trough need only shift about 150 miles further west to turn this into something worthwhile. Sigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 A few more trends in the right direction and the coasts could see some flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 48 hr GFS has the northern piece of energy much weaker dropping down from the Dakotas/NE area comparing to the Nam at the same timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Also has a nice area of pretty good precip come right thru my area around the 51 hr frame more south of where the Nam had it for PA and MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Northern NC is very close to a moderate event with that precip that heads through VA this run. Maybe 1-2" at the border counties, verbatim.The models are converging and confidence is building for a flizzard here in 48-54 hours or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 0z GFS....trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 48 hr GFS has the northern piece of energy much weaker dropping down from the Dakotas/NE area comparing to the Nam at the same timeframe. But a lot stronger at 60 than the 12z. It's nearly a different picture over southern Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 sunday 00z on the gfs compared to 18z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Trends are slightly better, but it's going to take more than some token tweaks to bring our storm back. I'll wait till 00z tomorrow night to throw in the towel utterly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 You did something wrong. Those aren't the same times. really? it's the same time for me, maybe my cookies are outdated or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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