cast4 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 those new totals make it a 1-3 event IMBY and the NAM does overdo precip sometimes, could it be even less I think we should at least wait for the rest of the suite before getting worried about one NAM run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 those new totals make it a 1-3 event IMBY and the NAM does overdo precip sometimes, could it be even less So far this is all I've said to people back home: "Yeah there can be more snow back home Wednesday evening. Probably only a couple of wet slushy inches. Will update this tomorrow." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 it looks like the gfs should come in further south this run. The northern stream isn't digging as much as 18z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 the vort track looks favorable for central/s nj imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 It's also slower than the 18z run, which would probably help since it would start later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 0z takes a sub 1000mb low off se va and crosses the most southern tip of delmarva. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 looks like i78 south .25+ phl south and east .5+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted February 12, 2013 Author Share Posted February 12, 2013 Slower timing is good since I have two tours Wednesday at our office Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Very similar to the NAM. A little bit warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted February 12, 2013 Author Share Posted February 12, 2013 Snowfall rates in South NJ near 1 inch per hour 03-06 Z Thursday on the 00z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 sv snow maps have phl as center point for 2-4 then go 40 miles either side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Gfs try's to extend some enhancement back towards Monmouth county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 A little further south and cooler. That seems to be the trend tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 IF SNJ gets jackpotted again, ill..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 IF SNJ gets jackpotted again, ill..... I don't know about you but I need some redemption after the Nemo Storm. Even this storm will not be enough to fully repair the damages. Will need PD3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 IF SNJ gets jackpotted again, ill..... going off soundings on the gfs if it's snow its very marginal...milville is at 35 degrees hr 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted February 12, 2013 Author Share Posted February 12, 2013 IF SNJ gets jackpotted again, ill..... VAY special ! Maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 tombo, do you mind giving readings for LNS and MDT? As always your pbp is appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 tombo, do you mind giving readings for LNS and MDT? As always your pbp is appreciated. obviously all snow...both over .25 prob like .3-.4.. lns would probably do better in qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 sv snow maps have phl as center point for 2-4 then go 40 miles either side. I thought you said it was .5+? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I thought you said it was .5+? I guess it's figuring in less than 10:1 and mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I thought you said it was .5+? they probably waste some qpf on non sticking snow/rain at the beginning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 obviously all snow...both over .25 prob like .3-.4.. lns would probably do better in qpf Thanks, sir. Saw temps were good but couldn't read qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 IF SNJ gets jackpotted again, ill..... Dude...you live on a hill according to your profile....yet you envy us? Lol...lets root for rates/vv for us all to win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Dude...you live on a hill according to your profile....yet you envy us? Lol...lets root for rates/vv for us all to win LOL, a hill... Thats 200' in elevation. I was being satirical with my comment. Just trying to keep the mood light, thats all. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 So.....How bad does it look down here?? Sounds like serious BL issues....so far I've been writing this one off as a slopfest at best and focusing on PDIII... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 So.....How bad does it look down here?? Sounds like serious BL issues....so far I've been writing this one off as a slopfest at best and focusing on PDIII... Looks marginal but worth looking at if you don't mind 1-2" of wet snow. NAM is colder than the GFS in some respects. Precip rates will be key. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Thanks. Obviously we need need the thump all around or we are screwed.....if only there was a HP in Quebec... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 euro is weak sauce. Maybe .1-.25" from lanco- reading points SE.... ocean county- point norris to shore points .25"-.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 How do temps look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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