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V-day snow threat (THE GAINES BOMBER) ( Forecast/ Model/Discussion thread)


Mitchell Gaines

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Anyone see Upton? They already have a snowmap out for NYC with the region getting a general 4-6." Tony are you guys gonna put a map out with the afternoon package?

..yeah..i did (i live on LI)..got me @ 5"(east end)..thats crazy.

its too soon and too high..little premature to put out a map..

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Anyone see Upton? They already have a snowmap out for NYC with the region getting a general 4-6." Tony are you guys gonna put a map out with the afternoon package?

Mt holly afd going a few inches from Phl point north into central nj. Thinking we start off as rain during the afternoon

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Gotta think that those south of Philly will have some issues with the BL.  This could change a lot in 48 hours given it's synoptic and a dynamic event...if the phase is not perfect you're going to get a 12z type solution where everyone gets an inch or two of slop with elevation winners.

 

Too strong a solution and the folks south of the city will be treading a very thin, fine line between snow and no.

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Hey there  :snowing:

 

18zgfssnowdepth066.gif

 

 

Can we finally get a Villanova/SE PA jackpot storm? Feel like we haven't seen one of those since the 2009-10 winter. Sick of seeing New England and NJ jackpot while I'm here. I'm thinking 3-6" is a virtual lock at this point for us, with potential for 6"+.

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Can we finally get a Villanova/SE PA jackpot storm? Feel like we haven't seen one of those since the 2009-10 winter. Sick of seeing New England and NJ jackpot while I'm here. I'm thinking 3-6" is a virtual lock at this point for us, with potential for 6"+.

Is there such thing as a lock 48hrs out?...

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Is there such thing as a lock 48hrs out?...

 

 

Well the pattern right now doesn't support suppression, and even if we trend further north, I think the s/w is juicy enough to produce 3" at minimum. Temperatures are entirely dynamically driven, and the model solutions w/ stronger vv's will obviously mean less BL problems.

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