Ian Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Who is this guy? And 973 is pretty extraordinary though. he works with JB at weatherbell.. makes the model images etc. it is pretty big tho it's also day 8-9.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 The duck is on somebody's plate. These runs are just brutal. Coastals with heavy rain and G/L lows making sure it's rain for us. Almost drought free in the MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 How does the 26th look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 How does the 26th look? i just looked at soundings...ouch... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 How does the 26th look?Possible some messy mix with the front end of the mw low but then another coastal develops and soaks us. Interestingly, the stacked 500 & 850 low kinda sit and spin and die over upstate ny. There is some dirty wrap around Wed-Thurs. Not a common evolution at all. I suppose a vort could rotate around the cyclonic flow and surprise us late next week. Then again, the solutions will change a couple hundred times before them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 i just looked at soundings...ouch... I'm not too hung up on soundings. I'm not saying I expect much but it's a very complicated evolution with secondary devlopment, strong mw low, damming hp to the north. It's a big mess that will probably drop a big mess of rain but who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 forget snow till March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 GGEM is trying to do something march 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 i just looked at soundings...ouch... Whole run looked like an abomination to me. Cold, but not cold enough. Awful late winter weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Possible some messy mix with the front end of the mw low but then another coastal develops and soaks us. Interestingly, the stacked 500 & 850 low kinda sit and spin and die over upstate ny. There is some dirty wrap around Wed-Thurs. Not a common evolution at all. I suppose a vort could rotate around the cyclonic flow and surprise us late next week. Then again, the solutions will change a couple hundred times before them. Friday afternoon looks decent? hour 57 is borderline snow at DCA...maybe sleet with warm nose up high.....any chance or will this fall apart?...cartopper? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 the 1993 superstorm is back on the 00z euro control and close call on the ECMWF OP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 if you guys saw the euro control maps for 198-240 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Friday afternoon looks decent? hour 57 is borderline snow at DCA...maybe sleet with warm nose up high.....any chance or will this fall apart?...cartopper? NAM has .25+ before a changeover DCA-north and west. Would look like sleet mostly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Friday afternoon looks decent? hour 57 is borderline snow at DCA...maybe sleet with warm nose up high.....any chance or will this fall apart?...cartopper? All comes down to rates. I think we gotta go another day or so and see if the the front end piece that breaks off from the primary has enough juice. If we get into a period of decent precip early then I think we all have a chance at something. If precip shield all ragged and broken up then we can put a fork in ourselves. At least the column will likely support frozen for a time early on. What falls in it is tough to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 If we can't get snow maybe we can get a crap load of rain to drown the new generation of stink bugs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 forget snow till March I think we have 3 shots in March. Around the 1-2 if the low over new england can get out of the way enough to let something develop south of us. THe next wave around the 6th and then probably one last chance around the 10th before the NAO breaks down. I think if DC is looking to break the 2" streak we have a decent chance of cashing in on one of those 3. I like the last 2 the best right now, the first may be suppressed, the last two might have more of a shot as the low over the northeast pulls away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 If we can't get snow maybe we can get a crap load of rain to drown the new generation of stink bugs. I've sort of considered making them our winter mascot, if not mantra Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 euro...inch of snow Friday morning...may be sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 the 1993 superstorm is back on the 00z euro control and close call on the ECMWF OP Dude, pull yourself together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 euro...inch of snow Friday morning...may be sleet? .14 at jyo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Dude, pull yourself together.easy for you to say. You've seen a ton of snow this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 He must be taking a beating from some DC folks today, so here is some fun with JB on Twitter: Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi So no misinterpretation.. I love the capital weather gang great for weather! I would ask them tho to go look at DC Feb/Mar snow against NAO Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi You will find your 'magic link" to big DC winters are usually the warm enso (86-87,02-03,65-66,09-10) and/or neg NAO Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi Neg NAO now for mid atlantic Dangerous since NAO Feb15-Apr strongest link to cold/snow with center in mid atl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 more brief snow tuesday morning for Ji Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 EURO lost the wave behind the Day6-7 ULL so there won't be any second storm like it had for day 9-10 last night.....meh continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 He must be taking a beating from some DC folks today, so here is some fun with JB on Twitter: Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi So no misinterpretation.. I love the capital weather gang great for weather! I would ask them tho to go look at DC Feb/Mar snow against NAO Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi You will find your 'magic link" to big DC winters are usually the warm enso (86-87,02-03,65-66,09-10) and/or neg NAO Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi Neg NAO now for mid atlantic Dangerous since NAO Feb15-Apr strongest link to cold/snow with center in mid atl Someone should tell JB this is a new phenomenon of the last 30 years....prior to that median and mean were much closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Maybe he will respond to Ian on Twitter. I don't believe I have ever once got a response from him. He's WAY to cool to talk to the common folks. i don't follow him. this was the only time i've mentioned him there: https://twitter.com/islivingston/status/287620310860189696 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 EURO lost the wave behind the Day6-7 ULL so there won't be any second storm like it had for day 9-10 last night.....meh continues. How can it lose the wave? It was a huge wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Talk about a big ol' bag of WTF at hour 192 on the Euro. About 5000 sq mile 1010 mb low... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Show every scenario, one might materialize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 How can it lose the wave? It was a huge wave My guess is it squashes it behind the monster low bombing into a PV over New England. Our best shot will be as that relaxes/retreats in the March 4-10 period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.