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February 2013 mid-long range disco thread Part 2


yoda

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Hell...my newborn daughter probably won't see a winter like that one, either.

well, I was thinking the same thing but didn't want the "youngsters" on the board to get bummed

how's that girly-girl doing? a relative of mine just had a boy a few weeks ago and all he does is eat and grow; none of the newborn stuff fit him when he was born and now he's maxed out with the 3 month stuff in < 1 month!

anyway, I hate newborn babies because they all have more hair than I do   :violin:

 

 

<kidding>

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well, I was thinking the same thing but didn't want the "youngsters" on the board to get bummed

how's that girly-girl doing? a relative of mine just had a boy a few weeks ago and all he does is eat and grow; none of the newborn stuff fit him when he was born and now he's maxed out with the 3 month stuff in < 1 month!

anyway, I hate newborn babies because they all have more hair than I do   :violin:

 

 

<kidding>

 

She's great!  She eats and grows like a weed, too, but she was so small when she came out that she looks like she's only a couple weeks old ;)  And she has more hair than most grown men do - she was born with a serious mop on her head!

 

On-topic post: I'm not getting sucked into any of the long-range stuff.  We've seen it come and go all winter, and despite there being STJ involvement, I won't bite outside of two days unless the enlightened do so first...

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On-topic post: I'm not getting sucked into any of the long-range stuff.  We've seen it come and go all winter, and despite there being STJ involvement, I won't bite outside of two days unless the enlightened do so first...

 

that's how i feel at this pt.. and i think how many feel. models have little to no skill past d7-10 when it comes to specifics yet we spend the majority of our wx board lives in that range these days. we need a good storm and then some headed into mar. that's probably all i'll say for now.. im going to try not to even talk about that period till it's closer ... waste of time.

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EURO is doing the March 4-6 2001 "wiggle" I call it, except it's doing it WAY too far west. We need the initial low to be farther east like GFS. 

what are you looking at. At 168...the ULL that would create the storm is still near Cali

 

 

f168.gif

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BOth options are believable, the models are not going to get the details that will determine the exact storm track right at this range.  But the signal for a storm is there.  Of course given the seasonal trend its best to go in expected our area to get screwed somehow, but at least its one last thing to track. 

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BOth options are believable, the models are not going to get the details that will determine the exact storm track right at this range.  But the signal for a storm is there.  Of course given the seasonal trend its best to go in expected our area to get screwed somehow, but at least its one last thing to track. 

euro also has a powerful low at 240 in the desert S/w. Maybe that is our storm in the 28th storm is just an appetizer

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