WinterWxLuvr Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Where's all the talk about next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Woah...lot of snow per 6z Gfs. 4-5 inches?? Considering that we are now within 24 hours we can expect the NAM and GFS to cut that down by at least 50% if not 75%. So, 1-2 inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Where's all the talk about next week? In the midwest forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Can never read those dam things. What's it showing? +.25 for the 95 corridor? similar to NAM/GFS we need to hope models are a hair warm like last night for Fri/Sat because verbatim much that falls is rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Woah...lot of snow per 6z Gfs. 4-5 inches?? Surface is warm. QPF is good but how much sticks initially is suspect as it stands with the latest runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 similar to NAM/GFS we need to hope models are a hair warm like last night for Fri/Sat because verbatim much that falls is rain Seemed that the GFS/NAM verified well on the surface but with how quickly everybody switched over to snow, if not starting as snow, I am thinking their BL profiles were to warm by a decent bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Anybody know what the 0Z Euro said about this Friday event? Haven't seen any posts about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 The surface is iffy on this little surprise event but seems to be closer to snow to start with than this last one. There is also more cold air right behind it. We'll have to work on that timing in the next 40 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 The surface is iffy on this little surprise event but seems to be closer to snow to start with than this last one. There is also more cold air right behind it. We'll have to work on that timing in the next 40 hours. we WANT the GFS! here's 6z for mtn lots of snow over the weekend http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=Kmtn NAM is warm, but I'd prefer the GFS be on our side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Anybody know what the 0Z Euro said about this Friday event? Haven't seen any posts about it. Believe I read somewhere that precip is very light and that it is basically a non-event on the Euro. Does this sound familiar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 we WANT the GFS! here's 6z for mtn lots of snow over the weekend http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=Kmtn NAM is warm, but I'd prefer the GFS be on our side Yeah, looks better than this last turd. At least the upper levels are plenty cool. This would be a more traditional wet snow scenario. Funny how the forum exhausted itself to such a degree tracking the VD abomination that they are too tired to care about this much better looking event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Just saw it elsewhere too, it seems like it just has one small line of rain/snow showers and is basically a non-event. But then again, yesterday was going to be a non event too. Believe I read somewhere that precip is very light and that it is basically a non-event on the Euro. Does this sound familiar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Yeah, looks better than this last turd. At least the upper levels are plenty cool. This would be a more traditional wet snow scenario. Funny how the forum exhausted itself to such a degree tracking the VD abomination that they are too tired to care about this much better looking event. to be fair, it really just popped up on last night's 0z runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 I've got my fingers crossed that the models have just caught on to a PD weekend event that gets bigger on today's model runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Anybody know what the 0Z Euro said about this Friday event? Haven't seen any posts about it. Euro shows nothing at all. Precip breaks out in NJ and moved up through NE sat-sun but it's at odds with the gfs/nam irt our yards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 I've got my fingers crossed that the models have just caught on to a PD weekend event that gets bigger on today's model runs Considering how quickly this popped up you have to wonder if we might see the solution evolve even more. Maybe for the better? PD3? Bah!!!!! Knowing this winter this will be gone come the 12Z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 to be fair, it really just popped up on last night's 0z runs GFS was hinting at it on tues evening. Preip was very light here but was painting .1 down st mary's county way. Then the bullseye kept getting closer and wetter. Skepticism meter should be high on this one. I would be fitting if DCA breaks its streak with a fluke the size of a donut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Euro shows nothing at all. Precip breaks out in NJ and moved up through NE sat-sun but it's at odds with the gfs/nam irt our yards. You, PSU. GFS, Euro. Round 2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 GFS was hinting at it on tues evening. Preip was very light here but was painting .1 down st mary's county way. Then the bullseye kept getting closer and wetter. Skepticism meter should be high on this one. I would be fitting if DCA breaks its streak with a fluke the size of a donut. I dare you call anything positive a fluke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 GFS was hinting at it on tues evening. Preip was very light here but was painting .1 down st mary's county way. Then the bullseye kept getting closer and wetter. Skepticism meter should be high on this one. I would be fitting if DCA breaks its streak with a fluke the size of a donut. If I remember correctly 1 of the Mets a couple of days ago had mentioned that the Euro ensemble was showing a phantom precip shadow at this time period in the mid atlantic region and he speculated that it may have signified 1 or a couple of members having a solution with a storm in this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 You, PSU. GFS, Euro. Round 2? If the euro is right I'll always say it. I'm not a gfs "hugger" at all. Snow weenies better be huggin the gfs/nam on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 If the euro is right I'll always say it. I'm not a gfs "hugger" at all. Snow weenies better be huggin the gfs/nam on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 If the euro is right I'll always say it. I'm not a gfs "hugger" at all. Snow weenies better be huggin the gfs/nam on this one. They better be hugging the GFS as the NAM is warm. I should sit this out as to me yesterday was a non event and seems many here viewed it as a win. My perspective is too different than the majority. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 If the euro is right I'll always say it. I'm not a gfs "hugger" at all. Snow weenies better be huggin the gfs/nam on this one. You know I am just ribbing you don't you? This winter has been so dismal and the boards so depressing I am just trying to lighten the mood. Besides as I said before I hug the model that gives me the most snow. So as of now. USA!!!!!!! USA!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 They better be hugging the GFS as the NAM is warm. I should sit this out as to me yesterday was a non event and seems many here viewed it as a win. My perspective is too different than the majority. Weenies and mets definitely view things differently. The only thing we felt good about was changing quicker because of heavy rates. I figured I was in a shutout situation yesterday morning but got into a nice band for 20 mins. Got maybe a 1/2 inch and its still in the yard this morning because I got down to 30 last night. It's a really small win. Like pre-season NBA small. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 You know I am just ribbing you don't you? This winter has been so dismal and the boards so depressing I am just trying to lighten the mood. Besides as I said before I hug the model that gives me the most snow. So as of now. USA!!!!!!! USA!!!!!!!! I know you were. There are a lot of people on here who read and I don't want the bob/gfs against psu/euro becoming the new trend because that's silly. We're going to agree to disagree on last night and move on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Sure would be nice for the surprise to be legit, because it is a cutter-fest (per the modeling) after that. Repeatedly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Not really within the usefulness of the ensembles but you have to like the fact that every single member is now showing this storm from out of nowhere with a hand full potentially being fairly major events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Yeah, looks better than this last turd. At least the upper levels are plenty cool. This would be a more traditional wet snow scenario. Funny how the forum exhausted itself to such a degree tracking the VD abomination that they are too tired to care about this much better looking event. Well, to be fair....it's hard to go whole hog considering the precip shield is the size of a peanut m&m. Somebody can rip a fart and blow this thing into ne leaving us with a T or less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 we WANT the GFS! here's 6z for mtn lots of snow over the weekend http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=Kmtn NAM is warm, but I'd prefer the GFS be on our side DCA: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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