Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,589
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

February 2013 mid-long range disco thread Part 2


yoda

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.7k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

it is 6 days out, is a late developer, and the pattern is complex...I expect it will fluctuate greatly and I expect there is a good chance we will get screwed.

Solutions have already been all over the map.  But, the signal for a good-sized storm this weekend has been advertised by both globals for a few days already.  Seems our antecedent airmass will at least be better than what we'll have for Wednesday/Thursday.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Solutions have already been all over the map. But, the signal for a good-sized storm this weekend has been advertised by both globals for a few days already. Seems our antecedent airmass will at least be better than what we'll have for Wednesday/Thursday.

I am interested to be sure..the pattern is ripe...But there is even more reason than usual to ignore a day 6 solution

Link to comment
Share on other sites

it is 6 days out, is a late developer, and the pattern is complex...I expect it will fluctuate greatly and I expect there is a good chance we will get screwed.

Of course we will dude. BUt it's nice to dream. Look at the difference between 0z and this run. I can see 0z being the solution we end up with. Dry and partly sunny.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Post-PD3 storm screams "cutter", but it certainly is a potent s/w as modeled through 180.  

 

It does as is but there are plenty of features nearby that can get in the way. Considering post pd3 is using pd3's influence to get where it is there are more possibilities than letterman episodes. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

PD III can actually get better than the GFS has modeled. The h5 is still strung out and not consolidated. With the high lattitude blocking like we have, I expect more consolidation for the final solution. Could that mean an Apps runner? Yes. But it could also mean a high QPF,slow moving snow bomb up the entire east coast. Regardless of any individual model run, The overall players look great on the GFS, and i think thats all there is to take away at this point.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...