Ian Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 I expect solutions to fluctuate a lot more than usual looks pretty awesome.. should lock it in. euro is going to have partly cloudy skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 1" QPF, all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Somebody better get the defibrillator out for CHill, JI and winterwxlvr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 1" QPF, all snow And total powder at that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Epic run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Because I'm a glutton for punishment...48 hour precip @ 150 hours....ALL SNOW......booyah? boom? Maybe on of these? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 it is 6 days out, is a late developer, and the pattern is complex...I expect it will fluctuate greatly and I expect there is a good chance we will get screwed. Solutions have already been all over the map. But, the signal for a good-sized storm this weekend has been advertised by both globals for a few days already. Seems our antecedent airmass will at least be better than what we'll have for Wednesday/Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Somebody better get the defibrillator out for CHill, JI and winterwxlvr Looks like I'll test my limits. 45 minutes of sleep in 7 days.... I guess I won't drink this week except for a gallon sized jug of 5 hr energy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 it is 6 days out, is a late developer, and the pattern is complex...I expect it will fluctuate greatly and I expect there is a good chance we will get screwed. Of course we will dude. BUt it's nice to dream. Look at the difference between 0z and this run. I can see 0z being the solution we end up with. Dry and partly sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Hey guys this mornings run of the euro was it just very flat or did it not even have anything whatsoever? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 itchy trigger fingers this morning Two years. It has simply been too long and this area needs something. Badly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 another vort diggin on the heels with what looks like a timed 50-50 + -nao. heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Two years. It has simply been too long and this area needs something. Badly. It had a sharp trough from the n pole to the equator about the width of a hotdog and not a single drop of precip anywhere around. Looked like ocean effect snow off the coast of pensacola though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 The Mid Atlantic angst is fundamentally structured in our DNA. We will worry, fret, punt and repunt cancel repunt an average of 2.4 times between us all on any given storm. That's just how it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 ive been telling you guys for a week to punt VD and focus on PDIII which i said was 100% guaranteed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 A storm this weekend coincides nicely with well-agreed model indices for max west-base -NAO and -AO. Can't see the panels yet for 12z from Huffman's site, but this time I'm interested... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 GFS looks like it's trying to reload... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Post-PD3 storm screams "cutter", but it certainly is a potent s/w as modeled through 180. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 this is what a decent PAC and a modeled -NAO can do bump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Post-PD3 storm screams "cutter", but it certainly is a potent s/w as modeled through 180. It does as is but there are plenty of features nearby that can get in the way. Considering post pd3 is using pd3's influence to get where it is there are more possibilities than letterman episodes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Post-PD3 storm screams "cutter", but it certainly is a potent s/w as modeled through 180. Yeah, the last panel definitely looks cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 PD III can actually get better than the GFS has modeled. The h5 is still strung out and not consolidated. With the high lattitude blocking like we have, I expect more consolidation for the final solution. Could that mean an Apps runner? Yes. But it could also mean a high QPF,slow moving snow bomb up the entire east coast. Regardless of any individual model run, The overall players look great on the GFS, and i think thats all there is to take away at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Glad we're always looking for a HECS. Keeps things sane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Glad we're always looking for a HECS. Keeps things sane. Sometimes it seems that odds for one are about the same as the odds for a "normal" snow. Looks like some decent chances though. Some of the best we've had in a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 PD III can actually get better than the GFS has modeled. The h5 is still strung out and not consolidated. How do you figure? Looks to me like the s/w's phase around 144hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Glad we're always looking for a HECS. Keeps things sane. Go broke or go home, that is the MA's new theory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Yeah, the last panel definitely looks cutter i dont think that storm will be a cutter by the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 of course the JMA sniffed this one yesterday. JMA is like the JB. IT seems to always see the big storms first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 i dont think that storm will be a cutter by the way. Well, there is a nice HIgh in place with a strong CAD signal..but looks like it will go way west of us.....I wish it were charging up the e TN valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 And btw, this is a model discussion thread. I don't think it's wrong to discuss and analyze with the model is showing. THe problem comes if anybody is making a forecast based on a 140 hour prog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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