Ian Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 our KU storm is going to be a KU...very energetic southern stream and a 1040 high barreling down you need a tranquilizer to the face Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Looks great for the 22nd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 not true at all...you should of seem some of mine in early 2000's Well seeing as Americanwx is only a little more than 2 years old, i don't think that includes the early 2000's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Looks great for the 22nd. still not seeing it. that 500 pattern over the CONUS isn't giving us a snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Looks great for the 22nd. If you like storms over Michigan. Total cutter. Called it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 still not seeing it. that 500 pattern over the CONUS isn't giving us a snowstorm. It is amazing we are discussing a day 9 threat seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 no way that ULL would go that far north with the blocking. Euro is much more south than this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 If you like storms over Michigan. Total cutter. Called it! Yes, I wrote with extreme sarcasm. To be honest, who really cares what it shows for 9 days. Does anyone think it will actually be correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 no way that ULL would go that far north with the blocking. Euro is much more south than this the atlantic is pretty decent so it might get the old shunt south but we need a lot of work on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 no way that ULL would go that far north with the blocking. We had this discussion back in December. Didn't work out then, won't work out now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 everyone knows this is going to be another dc split to SNE HECS. next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 the atlantic is pretty decent so it might get the old shunt south but we need a lot of work on the gfs. Funny you said that, I was just thinking it wouldn't take much. And, for those who like torture, there's another spark later in the run. Seriously, we are still in a time period where we could rack up some big snow totals in a hurry. I'm just running out of energy. Who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 I'm not getting suckered by some 20-22nd deal. This is how it's gonna go. Ian will post a right on target sarcastic remark and be ridiculed for it. thanks deb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 its meteorologicaly impossible for the low to go that far north with the 550 heights over Greenland...and the blocking to the south of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 thanks deb Put the laser on it Bob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Put the laser on it Bob. I'm gonna let Ji handle this for a while. Apparently it's thermosoligallie impossible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 [DT]its terminologically impossible for the low to go that far north with the 550 heights over Greenland...and the blocking to the south of it. Stupid GOOFUS[/DT] How'd that work out 2 months ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 its terminologically impossible for the low to go that far north with the 550 heights over Greenland...and the blocking to the south of it. so the primary will run to our west sending us a nice dry slot as a secondary forms and clobbers boston. let's focus on the feb 30 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 How'd that work out 2 months ago? If a 9-10 threat that looks good always turns to guano isn't this right where we want it? This run is geometrically impassable anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 How'd that work out 2 months ago? How'd that work out 2 months ago? you mean when we had our best snowstorm of the year as the models kept pushing things south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 let's focus on the feb 30 storm. nevermind--hecs to the south then ots. or.. .right where we want it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 I'm not going to get too wrapped up in any threat until we are close an there is some good model agreement and even then bust potential is high..models havent been very good with forecasting actual storm occurrences...just threat windows....my attitude is we have 3 weeks - month to get accumulating snow in the city and immediate burbs...either it happens or it doesn't.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 nevermind--hecs to the south then ots. gfs_namer_336_precip_p36.gif or.. .right where we want it. hopefully that works out better than the Jan 32 threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Meh. Bring on the severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 not true at all...you should of seem some of mine in early 2000's I knew your jealousy would rear it's ugly head somewhere. I came up with Dr. No Beat that! And don't worry, you'll be canceling feb 22 by Saturday night once we get better sampling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Terminologically impossible y'all. Day 9 threats always work out. -deb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 I'm not going to get too wrapped up in any threat until we are close an there is some good model agreement and even then bust potential is high..models havent been very good with forecasting actual storm occurrences...just threat windows....my attitude is we have 3 weeks - month to get accumulating snow in the city and immediate burbs...either it happens or it doesn't.... Totally agree--threats are there, but details are obviously far from clear. This place is going to be hard to follow for the next few days. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Terminologically impossible y'all. Day 9 threats always work out. -deb terminologically ill.. we are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 everyone knows this is going to be another dc split to SNE HECS. next winter. Fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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