WinterWxLuvr Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 thanks deb Put the laser on it Bob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Put the laser on it Bob. I'm gonna let Ji handle this for a while. Apparently it's thermosoligallie impossible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 [DT]its terminologically impossible for the low to go that far north with the 550 heights over Greenland...and the blocking to the south of it. Stupid GOOFUS[/DT] How'd that work out 2 months ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 its terminologically impossible for the low to go that far north with the 550 heights over Greenland...and the blocking to the south of it. so the primary will run to our west sending us a nice dry slot as a secondary forms and clobbers boston. let's focus on the feb 30 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 How'd that work out 2 months ago? If a 9-10 threat that looks good always turns to guano isn't this right where we want it? This run is geometrically impassable anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 How'd that work out 2 months ago? How'd that work out 2 months ago? you mean when we had our best snowstorm of the year as the models kept pushing things south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 let's focus on the feb 30 storm. nevermind--hecs to the south then ots. or.. .right where we want it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 nevermind--hecs to the south then ots. gfs_namer_336_precip_p36.gif or.. .right where we want it. hopefully that works out better than the Jan 32 threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Meh. Bring on the severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 not true at all...you should of seem some of mine in early 2000's I knew your jealousy would rear it's ugly head somewhere. I came up with Dr. No Beat that! And don't worry, you'll be canceling feb 22 by Saturday night once we get better sampling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Terminologically impossible y'all. Day 9 threats always work out. -deb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 I'm not going to get too wrapped up in any threat until we are close an there is some good model agreement and even then bust potential is high..models havent been very good with forecasting actual storm occurrences...just threat windows....my attitude is we have 3 weeks - month to get accumulating snow in the city and immediate burbs...either it happens or it doesn't.... Totally agree--threats are there, but details are obviously far from clear. This place is going to be hard to follow for the next few days. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Terminologically impossible y'all. Day 9 threats always work out. -deb terminologically ill.. we are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 everyone knows this is going to be another dc split to SNE HECS. next winter. Fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 everyone knows this is going to be another dc split to SNE HECS. next. That's what I fear. It does look like the storm should track to at least the OH valley before reforming and despite Ji's protests, if the models have a solution it is not meteorologically impossibly. We're talking 9 days out, lots of solutions are still possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 What was the measured snow total for DCA last winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 What was the measured snow total for DCA last winter? -4 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 How'd that work out 2 months ago? 2 months ago was such a fake "block" though. There was 0 cold air in canada to block up and it was essentially above normal heights in eastern canada that gave the appearance of a -nao..those waves gladly amplified and cut into the midwest as a result. This is quite different as it looks like we are building a legitimate -nao here with better cold air to situate in se canada. There is a very nice signal for strong high in se canada too ahead of the friday potential system. With that being said, it is DC and somethign can always go wrong.. I agree completely with Wes here as far as his thoughts go for the region. Really impressive signal this far out for a major winter storm affecting a large area of the country late next week...hopefully the mid-atl can end up on the good side of it, but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Terminologically, metaphysically, psychadelically, impossible. We might have some new words to replace the currently trendy "punt". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 2 months ago was such a fake "block" though. There was 0 cold air in canada to block up and it was essentially above normal heights in eastern canada that gave the appearance of a -nao..those waves gladly amplified and cut into the midwest as a result. This is quite different as it looks like we are building a legitimate -nao here with better cold air to situate in se canada. There is a very nice signal for strong high in se canada too ahead of the friday potential system. With that being said, it is DC and somethign can always go wrong.. I agree completely with Wes here as far as his thoughts go for the region. Really impressive signal this far out for a major winter storm affecting a large area of the country late next week...hopefully the mid-atl can end up on the good side of it, but we'll see. 3 of the 4 analogs that offered snow were 2 inches or less which makes me think the snows were mostly miller bs, I'm guessing the 5 non snow analog periods featured cutters of some sort, sort of like the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Whenever I hear the term "meteorologically impossible" floating around here, I always think of Dan Dierdork and his overuse of the word "cerebral." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Watch this threat for next week end up being rain for I-95 and 2 feet in the mountains... That would just go to show how winter goes around here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Just read this on twitter from Bastardi. Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi JMA/UKMET has the east coast snowstorm on weekend.. CMON ecmwf, will ya. Fla freeze threat too,but the bigger the ne storm, less the chc Seriously? Anyone see the JMA or UKMET to confirm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Just read this on twitter from Bastardi. Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi JMA/UKMET has the east coast snowstorm on weekend.. CMON ecmwf, will ya. Fla freeze threat too,but the bigger the ne storm, less the chc Seriously? Anyone see the JMA or UKMET to confirm? JMA @ 96. First purple is .50. And with the jma that means .05. Gotta add a decimal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 And jb should be ashamed of himself using ukmet/jma in the same sentence without gfs/euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 If the Euro goes for a storm this weekend we should be hearing from Matt, Ian or Midlo shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 If the Euro goes for a storm this weekend we should be hearing from Matt, Ian or Midlo shortly. you won't hear from them. Practically not a single drop of precip in the entire conus @ 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 And jb should be ashamed of himself using ukmet/jma in the same sentence without gfs/euro. He was rooting for the EURO to come on board. I doubt it happens, but we can all dream still... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 you won't hear from them. Practically not a single drop of precip in the entire conus @ 84. So you get the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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