navywxman Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 If anyone wants to really torture yourself go look at the nogaps. Yea it has a huge storm but it evolves almost identical to the past storm. Hour 108 is almost the same as a map from Friday. Ends up totally missing dc again but this time getting even closer and hitting from just north of Balt northeast just to torment. Luckily it's all crap on the nogaps anyways but I found it ironic. I wouldn't totally disregard the NOGAPS model...it has been upgraded recently and is performing better now than it has in the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Accuweather still talking up the threat. I guess if they talk up every one they'll be right occasionally.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 It's been there the whole time but it never gets closer than 240 hours. Actually, I think that the GFS has had less 10 day fantasy storms than in past years. This one could be the real deal. Maybe you should trade in Plato and switch to Sir Isaac Newton (much more relevant to the weather world). MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Some changes in that trough orientation on the NAm from 12z to 18z to now. Looks better, but prob still not good enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Nice +10c line showing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Nice +10c line showing up. eh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 eh? I was at like 66 hours when I wrote that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 you guys really looking at the nam for the weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 you guys really looking at the nam for the weekend? Dude, we're desperate. This isn't a normal winter. For me, this is it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Dude, we're desperate. This isn't a normal winter. For me, this is it. yeah i hear ya. at this pt it might be best to assume nothing good will happen and just be surprised if it does. of course we can't do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 yeah i hear ya. at this pt it might be best to assume nothing good will happen and just be surprised if it does. of course we can't do that. Think on the bright side it can't be any worse than tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 yeah i hear ya. at this pt it might be best to assume nothing good will happen and just be surprised if it does. of course we can't do that. Well end up wasting feb to nothingness and all bail first couple days of march because the models show grass cutting weather. And then on March 11th we get plastered with a fluke. Bipolar meds will be flying off the shelves like tic tacs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 you guys really looking at the nam for the weekend? I was going to say something, but just wanted to give him some space. Recognized the desperation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anyweather Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Accuweather still talking up the threat. I guess if they talk up every one they'll be right occasionally.. Or they're running out of winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 I was going to say something, but just wanted to give him some space. Recognized the desperation. He's right though. @ 84 the trough isn't the best on the front side but there's a vort coming down and some moisture getting pulled from the gulf that shows up 700 panel. GFS and euro basically bone dry...I need to seek help now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 This is going to sound so cliche, but the Feb 22-23rd storm is probably the best setup we've had all winter. Both euro/gfs ens show a pretty good HP parked over Great Lakes, this far out it's a pretty big signal. So long to go, but something to look forward to imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 That won't work... You'll get no answer. Maybe you can ask God if there will be a snowstorm..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 This is going to sound so cliche, but the Feb 22-23rd storm is probably the best setup we've had all winter. Both euro/gfs ens show a pretty good HP parked over Great Lakes, this far out it's a pretty big signal. So long to go, but something to look forward to imo. the models have basically no skill in that range.. which is why we're so often duped by them at that range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Hate to flood the thread with images, but I def see a pretty big signal here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 That won't work... You'll get no answer. of course not, when you neither want nor expect one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Psuhoffman got my hopes high for pd3. He failed me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Psuhoffman got my hopes high for pd3. He failed me There's a moisture starved clipper on the gfs this weekend. Should be all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Nada. Waste of cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 It's funny how the models all trend the wrong way. This is the worst run yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 It's funny how the models all trend the wrong way. This is the worst run yet i dunno.. we're pretty good at verifying flurries so at least we have something legit to look forward to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 The feb 22 event looks great now...I hate to see what it will look like on feb 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Psuhoffman got my hopes high for pd3. He failed me setup is there, were being screwed by a stronger northern branch vort coming across to our north right as the vort we need is digging down the backside of the trough. The vort in front steals all the energy and pulls the trough east and the second one gets squashed. If that front vort was weaker or not there this would have been a big storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 The feb 22 event looks great now...I hate to see what it will look like on feb 21 I have not punted that yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 I have not punted that yet But your kicking it into the net on the sidelines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 You know that giant cutter is verifying too. That's the funny part. Models are sick at nailing cutters outside of 6 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.