Anyweather Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Accuweather still talking up the threat. I guess if they talk up every one they'll be right occasionally.. Or they're running out of winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 I was going to say something, but just wanted to give him some space. Recognized the desperation. He's right though. @ 84 the trough isn't the best on the front side but there's a vort coming down and some moisture getting pulled from the gulf that shows up 700 panel. GFS and euro basically bone dry...I need to seek help now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 This is going to sound so cliche, but the Feb 22-23rd storm is probably the best setup we've had all winter. Both euro/gfs ens show a pretty good HP parked over Great Lakes, this far out it's a pretty big signal. So long to go, but something to look forward to imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 That won't work... You'll get no answer. Maybe you can ask God if there will be a snowstorm..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 This is going to sound so cliche, but the Feb 22-23rd storm is probably the best setup we've had all winter. Both euro/gfs ens show a pretty good HP parked over Great Lakes, this far out it's a pretty big signal. So long to go, but something to look forward to imo. the models have basically no skill in that range.. which is why we're so often duped by them at that range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Hate to flood the thread with images, but I def see a pretty big signal here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 That won't work... You'll get no answer. of course not, when you neither want nor expect one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Psuhoffman got my hopes high for pd3. He failed me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Psuhoffman got my hopes high for pd3. He failed me There's a moisture starved clipper on the gfs this weekend. Should be all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Nada. Waste of cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 It's funny how the models all trend the wrong way. This is the worst run yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 It's funny how the models all trend the wrong way. This is the worst run yet i dunno.. we're pretty good at verifying flurries so at least we have something legit to look forward to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 The feb 22 event looks great now...I hate to see what it will look like on feb 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Psuhoffman got my hopes high for pd3. He failed me setup is there, were being screwed by a stronger northern branch vort coming across to our north right as the vort we need is digging down the backside of the trough. The vort in front steals all the energy and pulls the trough east and the second one gets squashed. If that front vort was weaker or not there this would have been a big storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 The feb 22 event looks great now...I hate to see what it will look like on feb 21 I have not punted that yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 I have not punted that yet But your kicking it into the net on the sidelines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 You know that giant cutter is verifying too. That's the funny part. Models are sick at nailing cutters outside of 6 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 You know that giant cutter is verifying too. That's the funny part. Models are sick at nailing cutters outside of 6 days. ehh they are way off on some of those too but we dont notice the difference between 46 and rain and 52 and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 if the gulf wasnt closed and it was may.. oh man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 But your kicking it into the net on the sidelines we probably need something simple if we are going to get a snow this season. Anything that requires a phase is not likely to work. The northern branch is just not going to cooperate. The setup, if the models are even close to correct, with a nice 50/50 low and a cold high blocked in place with a potent stj system approaching is probably our best bet. We dont have to rely on complicated phase issues. Just have to get the high locked in and hope for a better track. Its probably the only type of setup that can work for us given the issues with the northern jet running interference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 GGEm finally gave up its rediculous solution, now has a weak wave, probably in one more run will have nothing at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 if the gulf wasnt closed and it was may.. oh man gfs_namer_183_500_vort_ht.gif May? That's our next snowmaker troll lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 GGEm finally gave up its rediculous solution, now has a weak wave, probably in one more run will have nothing at all The worst model ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 nice hit at 240 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 nice hit at 240 Gfs has show snowstorm 19 straight runs on feb 22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 May? That's our next snowmaker troll lol broad based trough ejecting into the plains.. outbreak city in ok and ks. woo. good luck with that snowstorm.. 500 matters. on that note.. SE ridge keeps popping up in uber long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Gfs has show snowstorm 19 straight runs on feb 22 another 5 runs and we start a thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 The worst model ever Tomorrow at 12z it becomes better than the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 I know everyone is burned out from chasing mangled flakes and cold rain, but the Feb. 21-22 threat has real potential strictly based on the pattern. Hang in there. I've brought out Sir Isaac Newton (a meteorologic giant) for good luck. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 I know everyone is burned out from chasing mangled flakes and cold rain, but the Feb. 21-22 threat has real potential strictly based on the pattern. Hang in there. I've brought out Sir Isaac Newton (a meteorologic giant) for good luck. MDstorm New 0z Euro says screw PD3........but hello Feb.22. . Any Presidents born on Feb 22? MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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