TUweathermanDD Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 The GGEM looks awesome.Yes, we get fookin destroyed. Edit to add that thing usually runs warm too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 The GGEM looks awesome. The problem is it has scored a coup like twice in history. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 If ITs not gonna snow then bring on sunny and nice... Just no more of this rain slop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 The GGEM looks awesome. who cares?...It is one of the least skilled models there is..I dont know why people care about it other than for entertainment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 who cares?...It is one of the least skilled models there is..I dont know why people care about it other than for entertainment agree 100%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 who cares?...It is one of the least skilled models there is..I dont know why people care about it other than for entertainment Just some model porn. I don't plan to hurl myself off a bridge if it doesn't verify. I wonder about some others here, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 agree 100%. I apologize for looking at it. Can you ever forgive me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Just some model porn. I don't plan to hurl myself off a bridge if it doesn't verify. I wonder about some others here, though. Glad i punted, i hate saying that word because i love bob and dont wanna offend him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 The problem is it has scored a coup like twice in history. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 for those who us who havent seen snow in 2 years, even seeing them on the models though they may not verify is exciting for me. As ive said before...here is a breakdown of my excitement with regards to snowstorms. 40% on paper 55% in the air and on the ground 5% after the storm is over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Odds just went up for random obs posts from se pa people we think we know but were not sure. gfs12precip.JPG I'll try to tone it down a bit.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 25% on paper (mostly fantasy anyway) 75% in the air and on the ground (reality is real) 0% after the storm (next) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 its funny how euro and gfs also show storms at 192-240 out....lose them for a few days and then bring them back. What causes this to always happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 I apologize for looking at it. Can you ever forgive me? maybe. send money Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 its funny how euro and gfs also show storms at 192-240 out....lose them for a few days and then bring them back. What causes this to always happen? I think it's because they aren't connected. What the models are calculating in the lr is totally different in mr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 its funny how euro and gfs also show storms at 192-240 out....lose them for a few days and then bring them back. What causes this to always happen? i'd say its probably more related to a subjective memory of occurrences that are biased towards that outcome...i know of no physical and/or numerical reason for it to occur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 GFS gives me a few inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 GFS gives me a few inches 1-3 for Bmore, closer to 3 for you katie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 1-3 for Bmore, closer to 3 for you katie. Where are you seeing 1-3? 2m's never get below 1.4 but are 3.4 for the majority while 850's are barely below 0 while they're .9 above during the bulk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Where are you seeing 1-3? 2m's never get below 1.4 but are 3.4 for the majority while 850's are barely below 0 while they're .9 above during the bulk.No, gfs clowns matte. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 GFS gives me a few inches Well you are beyond the required wait period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Well you are beyond the required wait period im sad it took someone 20 minutes to go there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 i'd say its probably more related to a subjective memory of occurrences that are biased towards that outcome...i know of no physical and/or numerical reason for it to occur. I have not done any research into this but perhaps it is possible as sw for a storm 10 days out enters a data sparse region that the models have problems picking it up until the energy re-emerges into an area it can be sampled better. I have thoght of that from time to time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Well you are beyond the required wait period im sad it took someone 20 minutes to go there Get a room. Also, just for fun: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 We all know the problems with this, but with a nice track its possible to get a quick thump snow at the end even into the cities. But most importantly, I do not think it is a coincidence that the runs that have a more amplified VD storm also show more potential for our PDIII event. Consider this the appetizer, be happy if we get a coating of snow from a thump of wet cement, and then look towards what I think is a real threat so long as this storm cam amp up and create the -nao signal that we need for the PDIII event. I still think we have a good chance to get one area wide 2" plus snow event before the season is out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Euro looks better so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 euro has precip into ky / sw va @ 48 but I can't remember what it had last night because I was half asleep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Very helpful analysis hereMy apologies, better height rises out in front, n/s vort dug in better, sfc low 100ish nw of 0z with more precip and a stronger s/w and low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 precip overhead @ 54. It's caving to the gfs rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 54 looks good 850s south of DC. Boundary above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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