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Feb 13: The little storm that could (for some)


Ian

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Ok thanks, I doubt people ever go by those guidelines. They just go by what they see and perceive as light, moderate or heavy. Using those guidelines 90% of OBS posts are probably wrong every storm.

Official observing stations have illuminated landmarks so that they can be scientific about visibility.

Measuring at home doesn't have to be so rigorous but some sort of visibility estimate elevates

the rate estimate from a guess to something more scientific.

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Really? Euro didn't show that at all....couldn't resist.

PSU- I'm a good natured easygoing person and you probably know this but I like messin around too but snow is seareous bidness

No it did not. Can't argue that but none of the models did really. It's a convective band that set up on the nw fringe. Funny thing is after being the furthest south and dry all week today the euro was actually the only prog to pick up on that central pa band but at the last minute of course.

On the serious debate I think we differ in how we look at the model runs. The euro did have the system and then yes it totally lost it for 3 runs. Then when it came back the euro had a much better idea on qpf during crunch time the last 36 hours before the event. But the gfs was rock solid on track for a week so it wins that but it's a hollow victory to me because it was off so bad with its qpf. This is where it's subjective but the euro to me gave a much better glimpse at what the storm was going to look like the last 36 hours then the gfs did. The gfs held onto high qpf until the last second then bailed. Neither was good really but the euro was more useful to me.

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Official observing stations have illuminated landmarks so that they can be scientific about visibility.

Measuring at home doesn't have to be so rigorous but some sort of visibility estimate elevates

the rate estimate from a guess to something more scientific.

 

it's probably best to assume most hvy snow reports are mod at best. :P

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Official observing stations have illuminated landmarks so that they can be scientific about visibility.

Measuring at home doesn't have to be so rigorous but some sort of visibility estimate elevates

the rate estimate from a guess to something more scientific.

I'm really fortunate here that I am surrounded by farm land.  There's a shed 1/4 mi. to my south that's a good daytime landmark.  At night, there's a house across the road from it (about 3/8 mi.) that usually has a light on.

Looking east, a grove of apple trees is my 3/4 mile marker.  And I'm 10 miles from the crest of Hearthstone Mt. where Whitetail Resort is.  When I can see that clearly, I match the airport obs. :)

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