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Feb 13: The little storm that could (for some)


Ian

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it cut my precip in half too. euro wins again

Well I would not really call it a euro win, but my fear has always been that the final result would end up a compromise between the euro and the other guidance that was more amped.  From the 0z guidance so far, NAM/RGEM/GFS, it looks like that is what we are heading for.  Euro was definitely too dry, but all the other models were too wet, and a compromise is no good for anyone, just hours of light rain with wet snow mixed in during burts even up in PA.  It was slowly slipping away for the DC/BWI area, but 0z kinda pulled the rug out for the rest of us also.  I would say punt but my foot is too tired from all the 3 and outs this winter. 

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No help from the 06Z GFS. Drier and weaker with the surface low compared to 00Z.

 

The one positive I can get out of all of this is that after the decent rain a couple of days ago the roads and my cars are now cleared from all the salt, ash and chemicals. Now if we can keep the authorities from panicking today maybe it will stay that way.

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Looks like we have enough runs left to go bone dry.

This is more than they gave me last night which is very surprising.

 

This is my updated forecast from the NWS: Tonight Rain and snow, becoming all snow after 1am. Low around 31. North wind around 8 mph becoming west after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

 

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This is more than they gave me last night which is very surprising.

 

This is my updated forecast from the NWS: Tonight Rain and snow, becoming all snow after 1am. Low around 31. North wind around 8 mph becoming west after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

 

 

I noticed that too.  The graveyard shift forecasters must love snow.  :)

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