TUweathermanDD Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 S/s wave a bit less digging on the gfs thus far, could be a tick S, which wouldn't hurt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Not around computer, BWI and/or MTN dave? Thanks. 0z NAM BWI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 0z NAM BWI Capture.JPG Sweet, 3.5 what source is that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I could be wrong, but gfs looking better and a nighttime start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Sweet, 3.5 what source is that Earl Barkers page Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 GFS is south of 18z comparing 39hrs to 45 hrs from 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 should be a nice burst after 48 hrs per this map http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=gfs&area=namer¶m=700_rh_ht&cycle=00ℑ=gfs%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_048_700_rh_ht.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 A trend "better" from the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Again, a great h5 pass from hrs 48-54 on the 00z GFS... and at 51 a tiny h85 low appears near ACY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 A trend "better" from the gfs. much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I'll take my chances with this run over 18z any day, the h85 doesnt hurt us. I like this run, complenents the nam too. Obviously a bit colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 much We may actually break our 2" streak if this is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 gfs is awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 We may actually break our 2" streak if this is right. you certainly will, but I'll be iffy but you need to move out of that "rotten" valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I would say this is a good trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Bit colder too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vern Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 To my untrained eyes this looks both wetter and colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 you certainly will, but I'll be iffy but you need to move out of that "rotten" valley You can road trip to my house, if you do some pro bono work for me . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 You can road trip to my house, if you do some pro bono work for me . Mitch would get 2" this run so much for the pro bono work! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 WSWs for 5-9 inches are up in W OK FWIW... figured we might want to keep track of that for future reference -- track of the low and h5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 12, 2013 Author Share Posted February 12, 2013 It's better further east but still is probably fairly mild. Should have some snow into the cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Colder than 18Z but still really warm at the surface. At 42HR before the precip really starts the surface temp is absolutely roasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 WSWs for 5-9 inches are up in W OK FWIW... figured we might want to keep track of that for future reference -- track of the low and h5 Your overall thoughts on the gfs? I guess you call it marked improvement relatively speaking, even mitch said much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 You can road trip to my house, if you do some pro bono work for me . moocher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 850 much better than 18z but surface did do much at all. Might be a bit worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Colder than 18Z but still really warm at the surface. At 42HR before the precip really starts the surface temp is absolutely roasting. I'll take a slightly colder trend each run to game time if we can. A nice thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 It's better further east but still is probably fairly mild. Should have some snow into the cities. So how much can we shave from soundings? 4-5? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 850 much better than 18z but surface did do much at all. Might be a bit worse. have to wait post 48hrs on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 850 much better than 18z but surface did do much at all. Might be a bit worse. Well I will stand up on my roof and catch the flakes with a freezer, that should give me 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Would be simply snowier because of the thump that happens. It would drop faster with the heavier precip, should overcome a last few kft if its coming down hard enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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