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Feb 13: The little storm that could (for some)


Ian

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  On 2/12/2013 at 12:30 PM, TUweathermanDD said:

The 6z runs have done that every night, I'd wait to see 12z

I hear ya. I have been all in all winter. Whats one more day of model hugging. One of these days I have to win right? ;) Maybe we trend better today for VDay, but more importantly PDIII...

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  On 2/12/2013 at 1:42 PM, WxUSAF said:

3z SREFs were the coldest I've yet seen. Plumes give an average of just over 2" at BWI and just under 2" at DCA and IAD. 9z should be out soon.

^This post will un-punt some punters.

My bar was set @ breaking the 2" streak @ dca no matter how messy it is. Seemed like a reasonable bar but ma snow gods seem to be unreasonable. Regardless, I'm hugging 3z srefs like a mom and a newborn.

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  On 2/12/2013 at 1:36 PM, stormtracker said:

I'm still in. Same for pd3. 12z will help determined my next move. Thump is the key

 

I don't think you can even punt a vort like this in mid feb no matter how loaded with issues it is. Seeing flakes come down is a decent chance for most folks. Hitting the 2" promised land is going to take some work. If we don't will I be banned for losing your kids' retirement fund? 

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  On 2/12/2013 at 1:52 PM, mapgirl said:

I still like where I sit with this storm - both GFS and NAM give me 2-3 inches or so of snow

Final call coming after the NAM, up at Towson waiting for class. Our map will be out later, but I can assume what we will put together, looking like most likely 2-4 for Towson-Cockeysville-DMW-FDK-HGR (maybe over to APG.) BWI/MTN/ just north of NAK likely 1-3 (1-2 south), DCA .75-1.5, IAD 1-2. 

 

These are ranges, exact numbers for fun to come shortly. 

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  On 2/12/2013 at 1:56 PM, TUweathermanDD said:

Final call coming after the NAM, up at Towson waiting for class. Our map will be out later, but I can assume what we will put together, looking like most likely 2-4 for Towson-Cockeysville-DMW-FDK-HGR (maybe over to APG.) BWI/MTN/ just north of NAK likely 1-3 (1-2 south), DCA .75-1.5, IAD 1-2. 

 

These are ranges, exact numbers for fun to come shortly. 

 

This still a rain to thump scenario?

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  On 2/12/2013 at 2:06 PM, mitchnick said:

12z is really looking nice thru 27 hrs

comparing it to the 0z, which I thought was the best run so far, it's better imho

Initially the 12Z NAM appeared rather warm, but temperatures soon crashed a fair amount, and then...

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