Buddy1987 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 H5 looks to be in the same spot at 33 hr 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 On 2/11/2013 at 2:09 PM, Ian said: In a few hours might have to put storm in quotes like v-day. much better than Nemo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 I think what we wanna see is a strong vort to our south with the main low just off the SE VA coast...that way we can potentially get into the deformation zone of the upper level low.thats how we get our snow in this set-up..I like the look on the NAM with the heavy precip in TX and OK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 On 2/11/2013 at 2:13 PM, Buddy1987 said: H5 looks to be in the same spot at 33 hr 12z It's a hair quicker with a little less ridging out in front of it but all in all it has a very similar look with only subtle changes. With less ridging I have to wonder if we see a slight adjustment once again to the south and east when it comes through our region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 And at 39 the vort at 500 instead of being over north central OK is now down on the border of northeastern TX and southern OK so at least it's a little south comparing 6z to 12z mind you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Doubt really it will do much, but hopefully these 50-100 mile nudges SW of the h5 vort will help us in the long run... like 42 shows (also a lil stronger) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 42 hr confirms it for me def a good but further south at 500 also pops a 1012 mb low In southern MS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 On 2/11/2013 at 2:09 PM, Ian said: In a few hours might have to put storm in quotes like v-day. This. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 On 2/11/2013 at 2:09 PM, Ian said: In a few hours might have to put storm in quotes like v-day. well you had to go and make a thread and jinx it... way to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 On 2/11/2013 at 2:27 PM, Buddy1987 said: 42 hr confirms it for me def a good but further south at 500 also pops a 1012 mb low In southern MS Tracks due NE from there though...though H5 at 48 hr is still a positive tilt trough.Itll probably be a little south of previous runs, but I dont think a lot...either way, good. Its the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Better defined SLP shows up at 48 with a better precip orientation it would appear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 At 51 on the NAM looks really close to hour 63 on the 0z GFS. Definitely stronger than the 6z GFS at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 I'm not sure it's a terrible/bad thing so far that the vort is a little south...looks it's starting to track NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 On 2/11/2013 at 2:30 PM, stormtracker said: I'm not sure it's a terrible/bad thing so far that the vort is a little south...looks it's starting to track NE thats a shock. The 84 hour NAM may not verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 With h5 vort being a little south tho at 51 if you look at the surface 850 line it actually has it south with it over my head where you guys up north are even more clear of that dreaded line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Better precip shield at 57... and the SLP is about 75 miles SE compared to 6z at the same time - 12z is in extreme SW VA while 06z was in NE KY... 850s are a lil better... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 I'm not sure I implied that. Anyway, precip sheild is definintely south so far..should start creeping NE On 2/11/2013 at 2:32 PM, Ji said: thats a shock. The 84 hour NAM may not verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Trough neutral or slightly negative at 54..Obviously still gonna pose some rain and mixing problems, but thats fine..Its slowly trending to a more SE solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Still shoving it into WV at 57 tho unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 At hour 60, looks to be going negative, probably going to pound PHYl/NY again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Nice to see the NAM keeping the trough open longer then previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 nice hit for Kentucky lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Yea I guess you guys are right does look better at 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 On 2/11/2013 at 2:35 PM, Buddy1987 said: Still shoving it into WV at 57 tho unfortunately Its basically over you at 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 all i really care bout the NAM now is that it dosent show a sheared s/w like the euro. It will trend south when it gets into its wheelhouse 6 minutes before the first flake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Not bad at hour 63, looks like just north of 0z GFS run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 NAM is moving towards the GFS as far as not being so far W Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 On 2/11/2013 at 2:35 PM, Buddy1987 said: Still shoving it into WV at 57 tho unfortunately what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 And it would be nice to let the run play out before calling things Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Bullseye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.