Hoosier Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I'd be more inclined to buy the GGEM's weekend threat if the GFS or ECMWF get on the same planet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I'd be more inclined to buy the GGEM's weekend threat if the GFS or ECMWF get on the same planet. NOcraps wasn't enough agreement for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 NOcraps wasn't enough agreement for you? negative Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 negative Better check with the Brazilian, JMA, and Korean then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 There is certainly room for a storm to cut west with weak NAO blocking...I still don't like that the ridging out west is on the flatter side, causing the trough to be a bit progressive and not allowing it to fully amplify till it is right on top of our region...but with no strong -NAO, a phase before the Apps would certainly make things interesting for the eastern Lakes and Ohio Valley...just too early to pin that down. GGEM has been consistent showing a more phased solution for a few runs now, although the Euro and to some extent the GFS have been just as consistent in saying no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 00z Euro still says what weekend storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 00z Euro still says what weekend storm? Booooo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 00z GFS ensemble members have some seriously dynamic looking solutions once this western troughing/negative height anomaly sets up at around 192-216 hrs, with one or perhaps multiple very impressive systems potentially. Keep an eye on this period, this might be a good time to look for a big one. They are cranking both the ST and Pacific Jets into high gear with phasing as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Well the euro is on board with the GFS system 1 on Tuesday next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 wrt to the "lol Canadian" run tonight, it appears that (1) CMC ENS member had that solution at 12z. I think... No way to tell just how much it deepened it though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Im not a religious a long range follower as some of you all...but I cannot remember when ive seen the gfs and ensembles so insistent on two big storms in the longrange. Thats gotta be worth something! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 And the euro also has system 2 on the gfs. Too bad it ended at 240hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Yup, one random snowy solution in the 12z CMC ENS. Figures that one solution would be the Op tonight, haha. Interesting clustering around D10-11 though. Looks like 5 members with at least somewhat of a snow event for Chicago. Could just be a Clipper for all we know, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 And the euro also has system 2 on the gfs. Too bad it ended at 240hrs. Might have temp issues around here but nonetheless one of the best fantasy runs (<10 days) for MBY that I can recall this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Might have temp issues around here but nonetheless one of the best fantasy runs (<10 days) for MBY that I can recall this winter. Yep.. Same here pretty much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I hate when you go to bed with ggem/nogaps/ncep visions of snowstorms dancing in your head only to wake up to a bucket of cold water thrown at you by the laughing euro. I suspect the hr 168 threat gets squashed and the 192 hr threat cuts far west....or vice vesa...we'll see. JB actually calling for a MORCH. The only time he nails longrange is when he is calling for warmth, so there might be something to this. I hope he's right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I hate when you go to bed with ggem/nogaps/ncep visions of snowstorms dancing in your head only to wake up to a bucket of cold water thrown at you by the laughing euro. I suspect the hr 168 threat gets squashed and the 192 hr threat cuts far west....or vice vesa...we'll see. JB actually calling for a MORCH. The only time he nails longrange is when he is calling for warmth, so there might be something to this. I hope he's right. And DT agrees....that would be 3 winters in a row of a Morch, no? That is pretty unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 zzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 zzzzz What you dont like Windy with dark skies, no precip and old crusty snow? Best weather ever and wonder why people are so miserable in this state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Waking up to a blizzard on Saturday morning will be awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 What you dont like Windy with dark skies, no precip and old crusty snow? Best weather ever and wonder why people are so miserable in this state. It's a major improvement over just above freezing and slushy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I never understand why people who live in a big city complain about weather.... ever. Try finding a job in a location that gets 150 inches a year.... not happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I never understand why people who live in a big city complain about weather.... ever. Try finding a job in a location that gets 150 inches a year.... not happening. ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I never understand why people who live in a big city complain about weather.... ever. Try finding a job in a location that gets 150 inches a year.... not happening. ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Waking up to a blizzard on Saturday morning will be awesome. Detroit looks to be in the bullseye for that run (3 frames of .25"+ QPF), so we know it ain't happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Long range models looks damn good... Best all winter. I always love when this happens right into March, guarantees a good long winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Amazing the way jonger creates a strawman about someone from a city complaining about not getting 150 inches and then ties it seemlessly into his long-standing anti-city rants. What a weirdo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I never understand why people who live in a big city complain about weather.... ever. Try finding a job in a location that gets 150 inches a year.... not happening. Buffalo would be the biggest city with a decent amount of jobs that would offer that experience. Or live 15 miles south of Buffalo and get 120 inches a year, or 25 miles south and get 200 inches per year, average commute for me to downtown is 20-25 minutes and I get to drive down the lake the entire time, its beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Long range models looks damn good... Best all winter. I always love when this happens right into March, guarantees a good long winter. I am writing it down and locking it in. We will have winter through march this year. The Jonger guarantee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I never understand why people who live in a big city complain about weather.... ever. Try finding a job in a location that gets 150 inches a year.... not happening. NW Lower is a prime example of this. I'm looking forward to Spring/Summer to hopefully find a seasonal part-time job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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