downeastnc Posted June 10, 2013 Author Share Posted June 10, 2013 88 with a DP of 73, but apparently we dont have the upper support here in the east so no watch box for us.....I think we might see quite a few red boxes showing up over the next 3-5 hrs in the watch area, wouldnt be surprised to see 5-6 confirmed tornado's outta this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 The rain has kept the temps down here. I thought the sun peeking in and out after the rain might create more instability, but now we have steady rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Sun has been in and out all day here inbetween showers. Currently sitting at partly cloudy, 82/73. Looking foward to hearing some thunder! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 I take that back. Rain stopped and the sun is peeking through again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Just got put under a tornado watch. Yeah and the sun started peeking through right after I made that post. It still feels relatively cool outside though. SPC discussion made perfect sense, we probably won't see the same storm coverage in the western part of the state but those that do fire have an enhanced severe/tornado risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJF0602 Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Just read RAH weather discussion from this morning, they said potential for significant severe weather Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Not sure we're going to see much today except for rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 10, 2013 Author Share Posted June 10, 2013 Not sure we're going to see much today except for rain. Worst feeling day of the year here up to 90 with hazy skies and a DP of 72, tornado watches to my north and west, guessing they feel the energy in east Tenn that will help focus the tornado threat will arrive to late to make a impact on any storms that we get here. This is prolly a good thing cause all other parameters on the meso page show this area primed to go boom..... Way more sun today than I think they expected, placed between Columbia and Raleigh prolly have the highest chance of seeing tornados as the day goes on. Lots of breaks in the clouds now for most of NC and SC it all depends on how the upper energy plays out, its really a timing issue if it gets to the Columbia to Raleigh area before it gets worked over then it could get rough.... And this is prolly the best looking chance at a true severe day we have had maybe all year.... ...POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER ON THURSDAY... THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT: AN UNSEASONABLY AMPLIFIED PATTERN IS EXPECTED ON THU... CHARACTERIZED BY A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE LOWER MIDWEST...WITH A PRONOUNCED RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING WELL NORTH THROUGH THE UPPER MIDWEST INTO CANADA. DOWNSTREAM...NW FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE TN/OH VALLEY AND MID-ATLANTIC WILL ALLOW ROBUST SHORTWAVE ENERGY (AND AN ATTENDANT SFC LOW) TO TRACK EAST/SE ACROSS THE CAROLINAS/VA THU AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN ADVANCE OF THE SHORTWAVE...SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN AND ADVECT RICH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE INTO THE REGION ON THU...UNDERNEATH STEEP (7-7.5 C/KM) MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED WITH THE MODIFIED ELEVATED MIXED LAYER...YIELDING STRONG INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE VALUES AS HIGH AS 3000 J/KG DURING PEAK HEATING. ADDITIONALLY...STRENGTHENING WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IN ADVANCE OF THE SHORTWAVE WILL RESULT IN 0-6KM SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 35-45 KT (STRONGEST TO THE NORTH)...MORE THAN SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLULAR ORGANIZATION ESP. IN THE PRESENCE OF STRONG INSTABILITY AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. GIVEN EXCELLENT SYNOPTIC FORCING...STRONG DESTABILIZATION /ATYPICALLY FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMICS/ AND FAVORABLE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR...IT SEEMS REASONABLE THAT A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION THU AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AT THIS RANGE DETAILS ARE DIFFICULT TO PIN DOWN... ESPECIALLY GIVEN A POTENTIAL FOR ONGOING CONVECTION TO CROSS THE MOUNTAINS THU MORNING. FROM A PATTERN RECOGNITION STANDPOINT...THIS TYPE OF ENVIRONMENT WOULD SUPPORT AN ENHANCED THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AND A RELATIVELY NARROW WINDOW FOR DISCRETE CELLS PRIOR TO UPSCALE GROWTH INTO AN MCS GIVEN HIGH DCAPE /COLD POOLS/... STRONG INSTABILITY AND LITTLE OR NO CAPPING BY PEAK HEATING. IN THIS SETUP...THE BEST TORNADO THREAT WOULD LIKELY REMAIN TO THE NORTH ACROSS VA/DELMARVA...IN CLOSER VICINITY TO THE SFC LOW TRACK AND WARM FRONT...THOUGH THESE TYPE OF DETAILS ARE DIFFICULT TO PIN DOWN AT 72+ HRS OUT. AT THIS TIME WILL LEAVE THE FORECAST ROUGHLY AS-IS...WITH PRECIP CHANCES AT 50% AND HIGHS 90-95F...WARMEST EAST. LOWS THU NIGHT IN THE MID/UPPER 60S IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE AS THE SHORTWAVE AND ATTENDANT SFC LOW TRACK OFFSHORE THE MID-ATLANTIC. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/wfo/rah/flash-vis.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Rain stopped and the sun is out again. Just wonder if the sun is going to stay out enough to prime up things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 I have another question...(if y'all are getting sick of my questions, say so and I will simply lurk from now on) But: you see the shape of the storm from Linden to Pembroke...it's rather large. I am assuming that with this storm is a lot of clouds, therefore inhibiting instability in this localized area, therefore inhibiting the chance for svr wx? am I way off base? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Heard the first rumble of thunder for today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Just got put under a tornado watch. If a tornado is issued, conditions are favorable for the formation of tornadoes. Please stay indoors at all times and don't drive into the tornado if it is coming towards your area. If you stay in a mobile home, move to a more built structure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 If a tornado is issued, conditions are favorable for the formation of tornadoes. Please stay indoors at all times and don't drive into the tornado if it is coming towards your area. If you stay in a mobile home, move to a more built structure. Take your meds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Some mean storms now moving rapidly into the western NC piedmont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 10, 2013 Author Share Posted June 10, 2013 That cell NE of Charlotte could be trouble, same with the one north of Wadesboro if it keeps up...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 If a tornado is issued, conditions are favorable for the formation of tornadoes. Please stay indoors at all times and don't drive into the tornado if it is coming towards your area. If you stay in a mobile home, move to a more built structure. James Joyce and the stream of consciousness genre come to mind here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 10, 2013 Author Share Posted June 10, 2013 Radar looking cluttered which should help to minimize the tornado threat somewhat..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 10, 2013 Author Share Posted June 10, 2013 Surprised no tornado warning on that cell east of Lumberton showing a couplet now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 getting mad dark in Fayetteville....TOR warning just issued for Frederick and Winchester counties, VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJF0602 Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Storms looking quite strong in southeastern nc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Take your meds.I was giving you the heads up, so people wouldn't say they weren't warned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 James Joyce and the stream of consciousness genre come to mind here... Lol you knew exactly what I meant when I said that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 I was giving you the heads up, so people wouldn't say they weren't warned. I'm glad you stopped short of, "sewage in the streets". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 445 PM CDT MON JUN 10 2013 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... WEST CENTRAL RUTHERFORD COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE... WILLIAMSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE... * UNTIL 515 PM CDT * AT 443 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FAIRVIEW...OR 9 MILES WEST OF FRANKLIN...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... FRANKLIN...THOMPSONS STATION...TRIUNE AND EAGLEVILLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 TOR warning now for Franklin Co., NC Storm on top of Louisburg and headed towards Centerville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJF0602 Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 decent rotation on the radar too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 619 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013 NCC069-185-102245- /O.CON.KRAH.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130610T2245Z/ FRANKLIN NC-WARREN NC- 619 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL WARREN AND NORTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES... AT 618 PM EDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO ON THE GROUND ON ROUTE 561 AND FIRE RESCUE ROAD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... CENTERVILLE. TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE LIE DOWN IN A LOW LYING AREA. PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 James Joyce and the stream of consciousness genre come to mind here... Hahahahahahaha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Well, our tornado watch's wording of " 1 inch hail, and several tornadoes" ended up being a 100% bust IMBY. Just some rain, not much thunder at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Well, our tornado watch's wording of " 1 inch hail, and several tornadoes" ended up being a 100% bust IMBY. Just some rain, not much thunder at all. You should know by now that thunderstorms are small-scale phenomena and won't hit every square inch of the CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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