SR Airglow Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Total for BDR is .35" on the GFS, nice 3-5" advisory event strung out over 36 hours. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 well i know how to look at a map. lol Its impossible for a system to only graze Mt. Tolland or not give that area close to the jackpot...just remember that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 The location for the best stuff early tomorrow is too far west for the really good coastal stuff on early Sunday...That is a classic eastern 1/3rd of New England look on the GFS for the 2nd round. Lighter snows would get back to western SNE too, but the real good stuff is mostly east...you can see it easily on the mid0level features and omega. Hopefully it ticks west a little more. This could be a Kevin nightmare-misses the 1st round which is west of him and then misses most of the 2nd round which is too far east of him... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Total for BDR is .35" on the GFS, nice 3-5" advisory event strung out over 36 hours. -skisheep I think 3-5 with .35 is pushing it to say the least, especially since there will be some bl issues at the onset, add the fact that its spread out over a long duration and yes increasing sun angle and I think 2-4 would be prudent. It will be tough to accumulate at those rates and ratios..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 This could be a Kevin nightmare-misses the 1st round which is west of him and then misses most of the 2nd round which is too far east of him... Like I was thinking earlier, we pull an advisory event out of the first wave(although it's been trending stronger on every run, who knows where it ends up), CT/RI east gets warning snow from the coastal, and central/eastern CT and MA is left out on either side. Think there's a decent chance we could be pleasantly suprised tonight, each run of the models is trending stronger with that lead energy. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Its impossible for a system to only graze Mt. Tolland or not give that area close to the jackpot...just remember that.As I always say I don't care if I jack. Rarely do I jack. My area to your area generally is in a good spot for any coastal . Far enough in any direction to do ok. Except when its pike north marginal event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I think 3-5 with .35 is pushing it to say the least, especially since there will be some bl issues at the onset, add the fact that its spread out over a long duration and yes increasing sun angle and I think 2-4 would be prudent. It will be tough to accumulate at those rates and ratios..... the good news is that the bulk is at night time for both right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I think 3-5 with .35 is pushing it to say the least, especially since there will be some bl issues at the onset, add the fact that its spread out over a long duration and yes increasing sun angle and I think 2-4 would be prudent. It will be tough to accumulate at those rates and ratios..... 7-8:1 wont cut it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 How does it look for SNH? I might be just a touch to far west... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Check out this BOS sounding at 12z Sunday morning....doesn't get much better for snow growth than this. Blizzard of dendrites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 This could be a Kevin nightmare-misses the 1st round which is west of him and then misses most of the 2nd round which is too far east of him...The first event maxes out east of you lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 That's missing the snow tonight into tomorrow, New Haven is well above .25 total, probably about .35. -skisheep Select qpf amounts prior to 2/17 0z (first system): Boston: 0.24" Bridgeport: 0.25" Groton: 0.16" New Haven: 0.26" Providence: 0.18" Worcester: 0.37" Note: Not all that qpf is snow at some locations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 7-8:1 wont cut it Yeah, a couple to a few inches, I will take it! Low expectations with this one back here but super stoked to watch this puppy unfold out east...........cape is going to get la crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I think 3-5 with .35 is pushing it to say the least, especially since there will be some bl issues at the onset, add the fact that its spread out over a long duration and yes increasing sun angle and I think 2-4 would be prudent. It will be tough to accumulate at those rates and ratios..... Verbatim is .35" at BDR so 3" after BL issues, so verbatim it is 2-4". However, I'm not sure that it's done getting stronger, look at 18z GFS to 0zGFS to 6z GFS to 12z GFS, as well as the NAM and EURO, and the wave is getting stronger with each run. Would not be suprised to see that .35" actually be closer to .40-,45" at showtime.That is, assuming the EURO backs up this intiial wave idea, it did at 0z with about .25", should be intresting to see if it gets wetter. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 So back home could get 1-3 tonight and 3-6 Sunday morning while I get little to nothing up here. SNE winter continues? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWeiner_Hater Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 WOW GFS!!! Ok stay calm, wait for the Euro and proceed from there. Not good! Really don't want to be thinking about Blizzards for Eastern Maine! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Brian and LL: Assuming the EURO holds serve, think upton will throw up an advisory? Not sure if they will or not, 3" over 36 hours isn't advisory criteria, but it's close enough to the point where they might want to go with one, someone will probably get 4" out ot this, and they often go advisory for 2-4". -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Beauty out there today. As Don Kent would say "A storm breader" I'll stick to my Ocean Bomb with CC getting blitz. Lookin mighty fine except for Tolland. Major downer as in downsloping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Sounds like gfs was more like 1-2 back home lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Select qpf amounts prior to 2/17 0z (first system): Boston: 0.24" Bridgeport: 0.25" Groton: 0.16" New Haven: 0.26" Providence: 0.18" Worcester: 0.37" Note: Not all that qpf is snow at some locations. Thanks! -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 So back home could get 1-3 tonight and 3-6 Sunday morning while I get little to nothing up here. SNE winter continues? Considering the location Plymouth NH gets crappy winters snow wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Its impossible for a system to only graze Mt. Tolland or not give that area close to the jackpot...just remember that. Yes we forgot that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWeiner_Hater Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 These damn borderline events are what either make us look good when they happen or really freaking bad when they don't. Don't need another day like that Norlun that didn't pan out for us a few weeks ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Brian and LL: Assuming the EURO holds serve, think upton will throw up an advisory? Not sure if they will or not, 3" over 36 hours isn't advisory criteria, but it's close enough to the point where they might want to go with one, someone will probably get 4" out ot this, and they often go advisory for 2-4". -skisheep IMO-I'd say no advisory, but anything's possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 These damn borderline events are what either make us look good when they happen or really freaking bad when they don't. Don't need another day like that Norlun that didn't pan out for us a few weeks ago. you work for GYX? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Considering the location Plymouth NH gets crappy winters snow wise.Eh. I think they're in the low to mid 70s on avg. The more SWFEs the better they do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 So back home could get 1-3 tonight and 3-6 Sunday morning while I get little to nothing up here. SNE winter continues? LOL...you need a Nina winter of SWFE up there in Plymouth. They've gotten the big blizzard but aside from that it hasn't been all that much of a SNE winter. Just ask Eastern MA how it was going before the blizzard. Plus, it was hammered home that this pattern had eastern New England written all over it. It's pretty sweet to see the eastern sections have a change of luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Considering the location Plymouth NH gets crappy winters snow wise. I know lol. Ironically both MET schools in northern New England do (Lyndon). Technically they do better then my house (~75 vs. ~65) but they nickel and fine even more than ORH up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Eh. I think they're in the low to mid 70s on avg. The more SWFEs the better they do. All my sources tell me 73-75". Do you do better? 80"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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