Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Are you guys adding up the SREFs? . plumes will be interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Are you guys adding up the SREFs? . plumes will be interesting I'm inclined to toss them, EURO, GFS, GGEM and RGEM all have .25"+ here, and they don't even get to .1. With their troubles this winter, I'm tossing them unless something else supports them. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I'm inclined to toss them, EURO, GFS, GGEM and RGEM all have .25"+ here, and they don't even get to .1. With their troubles this winter, I'm tossing them unless something else supports them. -skisheep The plumes were fantastic when 2013 walked in the door Friday. i would not toss anything including the NAM yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Like that the nam is keying in on tonight's snow down this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 RGEM looked pretty good on the 06z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Stay with the Canadians. They have brought us many good things, Molson Golden, Gordon Lightfoot, curling, peanut butter, am radio, the snowmobile and a great weekend storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Nam delivers a nice little event down here later tonight into tomorrow morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Nam delivers a nice little event down here later tonight into tomorrow morning 4km is a little further south. Someone should do pretty well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Man o man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I wish you luck Scott. Advisory at best I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Probably about .2" on the NAM down here for tonight, 1-3" would be a nice start to the weekend with hopefully the main event still to come! -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 One more run and Nam will be there and bombs away. So close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 a lot of models have that western band of precip from some mid-level action. wonder if we see 2 maxes...one running from C NJ up to the Berks. then another along the eastern shores. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Thinking this NAM run is going to get it done, or atleast be way closer than 6z. Good sign for the rest of 12z? -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Closing off a 516 to our west and a slight neg tilt, just time a sw, man o man is this close to being epic for some eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 a lot of models have that western band of precip from some mid-level action. wonder if we see 2 maxes...one running from C NJ up to the Berks. then another along the eastern shores. Yeah that's been a common theme since yesterday. The stuff overnight and into tomorrow may be MPMs stuff maybe even CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 a lot of models have that western band of precip from some mid-level action. wonder if we see 2 maxes...one running from C NJ up to the Berks. then another along the eastern shores.Been posting that all morning. That's how folks out west get their good snow, while those of us in ENE get the coastal fronto band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Yeah that's been a common theme since yesterday. The stuff overnight and into tomorrow may be MPMs stuff maybe even CT. yeah that might be Mitch to MPM. and of course snow always follows Will - so he'll be down in NJ still cashing in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Geez Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Been posting that all morning. That's how folks out west get their good snow, while those of us in ENE get the coastal fronto band :lol: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I like the RGEM look right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Been posting that all morning. That's how folks out west get their good snow, while those of us in ENE get the coastal fronto band Think that's a decent possibility that we(Fairfield county, Litchfield County, and the berks) end up under a band plus some from tonight and do well, KTOL and east does well from the coastal, and New Haven county and the valley get screwed.(They jackpotted in the blizzard, time to let someone else have the fun!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 :lol:???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 some of the srefs just scrape / or whiff with the coastal but some really hammer E MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Actually looks like 1/05 just displaced a bit. Which IMO is good http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=nam&area=namer¶m=500_vort_ht&cycle=12ℑ=nam%2F12%2Fnam_namer_042_500_vort_ht.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 ???? i like how you selectively pick your geographic location based on season / event / timing. in spring you are never ENE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Not sure if it gets tugged back, but this is further east than 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Actually looks like 1/05 just displaced a bit. Which IMO is good http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=nam&area=namer¶m=500_vort_ht&cycle=12ℑ=nam%2F12%2Fnam_namer_042_500_vort_ht.gif Thats the most impressive 5H since Jan 11. I am optimistic for a 4- to big event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Actually looks like 1/05 just displaced a bit. Which IMO is good http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=nam&area=namer¶m=500_vort_ht&cycle=12ℑ=nam%2F12%2Fnam_namer_042_500_vort_ht.gif 1/05 as in the blizzard? that was a pig of a vortmax coming through the ohio valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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