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Feb 17/18 Storm Threat - Discussion


mahk_webstah

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I think the cape and perhaps other portions of  Eastern New England are staring another blizzard down............epic

Don't think we're out of it yet down here, a bilzzard is not happening, but all we need is 50 miles west or so and we are looking at a 6"+ storm. Do I think it will happen, no, is it a possibilty and worth tracking, absolutley!

 

-skisheep

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I think Rollo nailed this last night, its very possible that Warning level BDL east with Blizzard condtions PVD East, Boston, CC and Eastern NH all of Maine get smoked. 

 

There is something that holds me back on this. Just think it could get kicked out of here with 3-6 for most. If 12z comes in robust, awesome...but that is my fear when looking at this.

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There is something that holds me back on this. Just think it could get kicked out of here with 3-6 for most. If 12z comes in robust, awesome...but that is my fear when looking at this.

Oh I totally agree that is why I said possible but man o man the potential is there and if I was on the south shore i would prepare today for power issues, that grid is fragile and with wetter snow and a pasting....

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Oh I totally agree that is why I said possible but man o man the potential is there and if I was on the south shore i would prepare today for power issues, that grid is fragile and with wetter snow and a pasting....

 

I obviously hope it comes in robust, but I'm prepared for the 12z runs to be sort of meh. 

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Although I would easily take a weekend long snow even if its a 3-6 in a friggin heartbeat and would not nor will not complain. Probably ground blizzards too, and man the extended is tantalizing.

Definitely, will not complain with 3-6. That's what my feeling is now over the region. Somewhere in that range.

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The 06z gfs shifted east with the northern stream. The overall longwave pattern was actually more amplified on the 00z euro than either the 00z or the 06z gfs. The embedded shortwave is considerably weaker so the strorm is strung out and developing until it gets too far north.

Yeah these little differences have such a big impact.

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