SR Airglow Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 So close, but yet so far on the NAM. Should be intresting to see if any of the other guidance picks up on the second low shown on the NAM, or if the NAM is out to lunch as it often is. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Stay the course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 it's so close to something more. The H5 position is a powderkeg, but little nuances are causing issues. Its a fragile setup with the orientation of that trough, There is not much room for error Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 last nights "storm" upton puts out a map 48hrs in advance for 5-7"... no snow for most.... saturdays "snow" upton puts out a map 48hrs in advance for 3-5"... most likely no snow.. what a joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I still say trough axis is too Far East and not enough spacing.... Just a mess and waste of a decent trough reminds me a lot of late feb and march 2010? Perhaps. 09 can't remember Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I still say trough axis is too Far East and not enough spacing.... Just a mess and waste of a decent trough reminds me a lot of late feb and march 2010? Perhaps. 09 can't remember '10. Wait till the cycle finishes though. Powderkeg H5 may yield surprises. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 '10. Wait till the cycle finishes though. Powderkeg H5 may yield surprises. Oh it is but there are many negatives. Sorta wish we could just go back to some arctic boundary snows grab a couple inches and move on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I still say trough axis is too Far East and not enough spacing.... Just a mess and waste of a decent trough reminds me a lot of late feb and march 2010? Perhaps. 09 can't remember I would hit that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Oh it is but there are many negatives. Sorta wish we could just go back to some arctic boundary snows grab a couple inches and move on its very strange to me how all 12z models show'd something significant. euro was advisory and ens look'd a tick better....and substantiall better for upstate nh/maine and now 18z crap'd the bed except the ggem. almost cruel , seems like anything is on the table now for 0z. on one hand wouldn't be shocked if i don't see another model run trot out a warning event for anywhere in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I wouldn't be shocked if the 12z runs came to life a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I wouldn't be shocked if the 12z runs came to life a bit. There is absolutely more than one way to get snow in this 48 hr period........ Lets play pic your vort max, arctic air should ring out some light snows at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 i wouldn't be surprised if the 0z runs rock'd the carolinas. they haven't had snow in eons. i want someone to get hit. seems like the se threads is most optomistic. snow goose said he wouldn't be shock'd if some flakes flew in parts of N fl....wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I wouldn't be shocked if the 12z runs came to life a bit. It's not far off, it looks a "little" bit like this scenario, but the alignment is just not there yet. First time I've ever referenced this date BTW. I don't see it playing out like this but I haven't really been paying attention to see which way this is trending nor will I until the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Presently OTS solution is far better than a lakes cutter. (only the NAM) This has the appearance of an Ocean Bomb clipping with CC getting clobbered. Window is still there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 i wouldn't be surprised if the 0z runs rock'd the carolinas. they haven't had snow in eons. i want someone to get hit. seems like the se threads is most optomistic. That run had grand strand written all over it snow goose said he wouldn't be shock'd if some flakes flew in parts of N fl....wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 There is absolutely more than one way to get snow in this 48 hr period........ Lets play pic your vort max, arctic air should ring out some light snows at least This is the key thing, there's like three or four different ways that this could become something nice, and would not be suprised to see multiple different ways depicted on the 0z tonight, with different models going with different interpretations, and some just missing all together. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 RGEM looks great and ready to explode Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 The GFS is doing what I mentioned about the SC low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 The GFS is doing what I mentioned about the SC low. LOL, congrats ern NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 The GFS is doing what I mentioned about the SC low. Strung out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 The GFS is doing what I mentioned about the SC low. Yeah it looks like that wants to detonate at the base of the trough...vortmax looks pretty good too on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 RGEM has the second low too after a nice period of initial snows it starts to develop a more sig snow near HSE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 That's a nuke s/w. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 ERN SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 12/26/04-esque. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Hey this may be good on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Can you imagine if every model pulled plug, and then collectively everyone said, "Toss it!" ...Oh wait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Wow...lol. What the hell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Not going to be great for down here, but some of you eastern people are going to like this run. Looks like it's about to blow up the second vort and it has the low over south carolina as a more important feature. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Wow, H5 looks really impressive on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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