Mr Torchey Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Kgay special...if it materializes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 A little early for this don't you think! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Ugh Every station feels pressure to put out maps 48-60 hours away all the time now, it sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 A little early for this don't you think! Taking it and running, 4-8" here would be my second biggest storm since January 2011. (The 2013 blizzard being number one) Do agree that it's a bit early for a map though. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 That is ridiculous lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Think about it this way...if it was flipped and the NAM/Euro were showing heavy snow and the GFS had close to zilch, everyone would say "toss the GFS," except now I noticing many people are saying "toss the Euro." Even the HPC (apparently) is saying toss it. I'd be careful about that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Well if anything it's volatile and as is - a miss. Bright side is there only a dozen model runs to scrutinize, over analyze, run the gammut of euphoric ecstasy to depths of depression. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 even upton is bullish-has "snowshowers" for me from 9-3pm with 2-4 inches? Seem premature Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 even upton is bullish-has "snowshowers" for me from 9-3pm with 2-4 inches? Seem premature They were bullish on the Wednesday night storm and see how that worked out for them lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Think about it this way...if it was flipped and the NAM/Euro were showing heavy snow and the GFS had close to zilch, everyone would say "toss the GFS," except now I noticing many people are saying "toss the Euro." Even the HPC (apparently) is saying toss it. I'd be careful about that... Its interesting the nam got rid of the leading s/w all hope rests on coastal cyclogenesis according to the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 That was put out before the euro ran. The bigger question is why you would put out a snow totals map 60 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Frank did the BOX map. Solid met. Those maps are good starting point. Can adjust up if have to. What did folks think? That they start with 1-3? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Its interesting the nam got rid of the leading s/w all hope rests on coastal cyclogenesis according to the nam I'm not sure I buy the NAM completely either. Could just be another flukey 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Think about it this way...if it was flipped and the NAM/Euro were showing heavy snow and the GFS had close to zilch, everyone would say "toss the GFS," except now I noticing many people are saying "toss the Euro." Even the HPC (apparently) is saying toss it. I'd be careful about that... I agree but I'd argue the Euro has been wobbly at times in this pattern. If after the 0z we sill have a situation where the Euro is least optimistic...probably time to tone it down. But, the Euro itself isn't the benchmark it once was. I'd no longer say it's Dr. No, it's been downgraded to Dr. Maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 i see no benefit to putting out a map at this point. i guess you could hope for a first pitch fastball and go for the fences and look like you are really on your game, but i'd rather just work the count for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Channel 4 is how you should forecast this far out IMO. Put out two maps of what could happen, using words like several and few inches....not specific numbers. Will probably post a map at 11 or tomorrow morning, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 SREFS really amped up from 9Z. Someone suggested the SREF guidance more reflects the prior runs (in this case 12Z) vs a trend. Comments? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Frank did the BOX map. Solid met. Those maps are good starting point. Can adjust up if have to. What did folks think? That they start with 1-3? Lol That you don't make a map at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 I would tink you wait unitl 12z tomorrow to put out maps like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trat Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Pete Bouchard is going with 1-3" poss. 2-4"now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 This makes a lot more sense. "A few inches are likely, but more is possible," said Storm Team 5 meteorologist Harvey Leonard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Frank did the BOX map. Solid met. Those maps are good starting point. Can adjust up if have to. What did folks think? That they start with 1-3? Lol I would just say "Accumulations possible" at this juncture especially given the model spray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Pete Bouchard is going with 1-3" poss. 2-4"now. That's just as terrible of a call IMO. No need to mention amounts at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Most guidance supports at least a low end advisory snow for a good chunk of SNE. I don't mind throwing around those types of accumulation as a starting point but certainly pointing out the caveats involved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 That you don't make a map at all.Theres so many Sally's that are afraid to talk amounts or play it close to vest . You can't be afraid to lay it in the line and get something out early. It's what the public wants. Noone not one person wants to hear ,, Theres a chance of snow Saturday when its 36 hours away lol. The first question will be how much. You don't have an answer you won't be around long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 i see no benefit to putting out a map at this point. i guess you could hope for a first pitch fastball and go for the fences and look like you are really on your game, but i'd rather just work the count for a while. heck, even JB doesnt have a map out yet.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Most guidance supports at least a low end advisory snow for a good chunk of SNE. I don't mind throwing around those types of accumulation as a starting point but certainly pointing out the caveats involved. Exactly Will, 100% agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 That you don't make a map at all.Theres so many Sally's that are afraid to talk amounts or play it close to vest . You can't be afraid to lay it in the line and get something out early. It's what the public wants. Noone not one person wants to hear ,, Theres a chance of snow Saturday when its 36 hours away lol. The first question will be how much. You don't have an answer you won't be around long To each his own. Personally I think the type of evolution, model consistency and forecast confidence should dictate if/when you toss amounts on a map. This particular set-up is very low confidence, IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.