ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 looks alot better Dr. No strikes again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 lol at the typical contradictory one-liner early interpretations of the Euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 euro seems like gfs light wrt to totals. would like to know if it has as much energy primarily weighted of back side of trough like gfs and or the "look" of more potenial at mid levels etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Doesn't look all that dissimilar to the 00z run in terms of precip. Yeah not too far off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Dr. No strikes again! yup...need to wait another 12 hrs to get aboard any train.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 yeah but trending towards the others Looks like N CT tickles 0.3" liquid. Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 It's definitely getting there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Looks like advisiory stuff. Not bad.Phil may have been right earlier when he said Euro will be late and last to party. It's ramping up every run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Pretty similar to 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 So given the Euro more muted approach, mets...what do you put in your forecast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Dr. No strikes again! What does that mean??? Euro says no or Euro says yes. I can read this post either way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Euro trended a bit better, but not nearly like the other models. Might be an eastern NE special when verification time rolls around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Ryan buying Euro hook line and sinker lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Winter wouldn't be winter without Tip waxing poetic about Fox Hall... Euro moving to the rest? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 It's definitely getting there.there's less separation between that initial s/w and the energy digging south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Anyone saying "meh" over an advisory event when this thing was *nothing* prior to the last few model runs... I just don't know what to say. Can't have a blizzard every week (unless you were in DC a couple years ago). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 There is an outside chance that this can get cut off and hang around longer than modeled. I haven't looked at the ensembles yet, but I would be surprised if there weren't at least a couple of solutions that did that. There are a couple of deformation fields interacting: one aligned north-south through Ontario and the Great Lakes and the other aligned east-west across Newfoundland and Quebec. Both of these act as excellent blocks in the flow, but a little more strength in the Great Lakes deformation zone would lead to more energy being pulled southwestward, lowering heights on the backside of the trough, anchoring the trough over the Northeast. The primary shortwave is meanwhile turning northeastward around the trough, with heights getting pumped up downstream over Newfoundland, creating a block, and contributing to the deformation field over the Great Lakes ... self-sustaining system ... and the trough ends up closing up just off Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 there's less separation between that initial s/w and the energy digging south so do you think it trends towards the other models or they start to trend to the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Ryan buying Euro hook line and sinker lol Euro looks nearly identical 00z to 12z. Hard to go against it. These kinds of patterns generally aren't favorable for us in CT. Maybe a late bloomer is able to destroy E NE but I'm pretty cautious back here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Uh oh, another situation of EURO vs everything. Was hoping to get onboard for this, but with the EURO being not even advisory down here, not totally onboard. Looks better, but still can't get it done, hopefully it does at 0z. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Anyone saying "meh" over an advisory event when this thing was *nothing* prior to the last few model runs... I just don't know what to say. Can't have a blizzard every week (unless you were in DC a couple years ago). Hard to get excited about 2" or 3" when you just had 30"... but we'll see. Still early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 What does that mean??? Euro says no or Euro says yes. I can read this post either way Like its namesake, it means it puts the kibosh on and dampens the enthusiasm generated by the other models... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Uh oh, another situation of EURO vs everything. Was hoping to get onboard for this, but with the EURO being not even advisory down here, not totally onboard. Looks better, but still can't get it done, hopefully it does at 0z. -skisheep especially if it has the same run 2x in a row...NAM will probably show a 20 inch bomb for us at 18z.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWeiner_Hater Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 So given the Euro more muted approach, mets...what do you put in your forecast? You probably have to go with a Euro/GFS blend at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Dr. No strikes again! Euro says get that sh*t out my face? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Euro looks nearly identical 00z to 12z. Hard to go against it. These kinds of patterns generally aren't favorable for us in CT. Maybe a late bloomer is able to destroy E NE but I'm pretty cautious back here. Will,Scooter and Forky all said its getting there and trended better. Id bet ens are wetter and more amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 I would forecast 4+ for most of the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Euro looks nearly identical 00z to 12z. Hard to go against it. These kinds of patterns generally aren't favorable for us in CT. Maybe a late bloomer is able to destroy E NE but I'm pretty cautious back here. Understood, but it's better than nothing I guess. I also sometimes forget that you guys are in a different sub-region of SNE and aren't as well positioned for late bloomers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 lol at all the qpf worries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 You probably have to go with a Euro/GFS blend at the moment. Euro 3-5, GFS 6+. Hence my 4+ forecast. it seems clear that we're trending to at least a moderate event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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