dryslot Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 On 2/14/2013 at 8:39 PM, tamarack said: Must mean full-season climo (75"+?), because I'd think that 62" is well over climo thru 2/14. It's 7-8" over Farmington's avg thru today. One hopes that, after a nice weekend dump, we'll not be talking about "under climo" for a while. Seasonal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 NAM looks like a miss for everyone outside Cape Cod/Islands. WE TOSS. Go with GFS/JMA/UKMET. Great combo. //sarcasm// Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Total miss on the NAM. It's the long range NAM, so not too concerned, but still another way this could not work out. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 LOL, Phil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 On 2/14/2013 at 8:01 PM, Brian5671 said: who wants to bet the nam comes in for 12+ for all? Too late to get in on this action? Huge caution flags for CT for this event. We had one good set of runs at 12z...but obviously some note able hold outs. Hopefully we can get into some advisory snows, but it's certainly not a done deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 We'd be more concerned if the NAM showed a hit considering its history this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 On 2/14/2013 at 8:39 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: 12/26/04 http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/climate/snowrpts/DE2804 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 On 2/14/2013 at 8:41 PM, skisheep said: Total miss on the NAM. It's the long range NAM, so not too concerned, but still another way this could not work out. -skisheep you worry way too much/ This should be an eastern and notheastern new england deal...........coatings to a couple inches would be a huge score back this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Upton's snowmap if anyone is interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 On 2/14/2013 at 8:45 PM, Snow88 said: Upton's snowmap if anyone is interested. Nice, "jackpot" right over my house. They must be giving a decent amount of weight to the EURO, their discussion should be intresting when it comes out. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 On 2/14/2013 at 8:46 PM, skisheep said: Nice, "jackpot" right over my house. They must be giving a decent amount of weight to the EURO, their discussion should be intresting when it comes out. -skisheep Euro barely has anything over here. More precip in SNE though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 On 2/14/2013 at 8:44 PM, litchfieldlibations said: you worry way too much/ This should be an eastern and notheastern new england deal...........coatings to a couple inches would be a huge score back this way. Not worried at all, just stating facts. 24 hours ago this was nothing, so if we get anything, it's a nice suprise. -skishep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 On 2/14/2013 at 8:43 PM, CT Blizz said: We'd be more concerned if the NAM showed a hit considering its history this winter admit it, it scares you that the euro is not really on board. It is making me quite nervous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 It is a miss but there are some notable trends ... For one, there is stronger southern stream vorticity advection rounding the bottom of the trough around 60 hours. Two, there is a faster strong farther west cyclgenesis initialization around 57 to 60 hours... Eventually out in time, the low is reposition some 1000naut mile S of 12z ending positions. This could be a veiled attempt at a westward trend. It's just not strike on anyone, so I guess that doesn't count? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 On 2/14/2013 at 8:40 PM, CT Blizz said: Im trying to think back but I think every one of his forecast maps this winter have been too low for CT. Going all the way back to Nov. in some cases feet too low huh? i don't make maps for CT. hardly any of the state is even in view on the base map i use. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 On 2/14/2013 at 8:48 PM, Snow88 said: Euro barely has anything over here. More precip in SNE though. True, but everything else is warning snow here or close(except the new NAM, but don't think they would use it so far out), so they are buying the EURO to some extent. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 On 2/14/2013 at 8:50 PM, ChrisM said: admit it, it scares you that the euro is not really on board. It is making me quite nervous.If it hasn't trended massively twds Ukie , but it did so no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 On 2/14/2013 at 8:52 PM, CT Blizz said: If it hasn't trended massively twds Ukie , but it did so no It did not trend massively toward anything. It was slightly better looking than last night, but almost the same solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 On 2/14/2013 at 8:51 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: huh? i don't make maps for CT. hardly any of the state is even in view on the base map i use. I'm not even sure where CT is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 On 2/14/2013 at 8:51 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: huh? i don't make maps for CT. hardly any of the state is even in view on the base map i use.I see my county lol, would not make sense for you to anyways. LOL on the 04 analog, keep dreaming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 On 2/14/2013 at 8:54 PM, Zeus said: I'm not even sure where CT is.It's where every jackpot has been and you have not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 On 2/14/2013 at 8:53 PM, ORH_wxman said: It did not trend massively toward anything. It was slightly better looking than last night, but almost the same solution.Several mets said it looked much better at 500 than 00z. You saying this not true? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 On 2/14/2013 at 8:39 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: 12/26/04 Hope it's better than that up here - got 2". And the earlier suggestion of 2/3/2009 brought us "T". Could happen; that's what most models had for the foothills on their runs 24 hr ago. Looking lots better ATM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 On 2/14/2013 at 8:57 PM, CT Blizz said: Several mets said it looked much better at 500 than 00z. You saying this not true? I thought it looked slightly better...I wouldn't qualify it as a "massive trend toward the Ukie" like you did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 On 2/14/2013 at 8:57 PM, CT Blizz said: Several mets said it looked much better at 500 than 00z. You saying this not true? It got rid of an annoying s/w over NE Ny state, but otherwise it wasn't a huge improvement..just got better. I expect the other models to perhaps back down a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 On 2/14/2013 at 8:55 PM, Ginxy said: I see my county lol, would not make sense for you to anyways. LOL on the 04 analog, keep dreaming i hardly pay *any* attention to that area. i'll take a guess each time for contour continuity sake but honestly could care less. you guys have Ryan who does a great job for your area. i would never even bother trying to learn the finer details / micro-climates of the area. as long as it's not a KTOL jackpot, it's fine. '04 is highly underrated. overshadowed by 05 big brother. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 On 2/14/2013 at 8:56 PM, Ginxy said: It's where every jackpot has been and you have not You speak of a land which does not exist, because I always get the most snow in every storm. And beach weather in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Synoptically 01/26/11 is a decent match Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 box snow map is kind of meh but the probabilities are interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 On 2/14/2013 at 9:04 PM, CT Blizz said: Synoptically 01/26/11 is a decent match LOL 8-16" first call? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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