Zir0b Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Looks like NYC would get close to 0.70" of QPF on the 12z GGEM...nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 better look at the UKMET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 GGEM total QPF...almost identical to GFS. 0.5" line runs from just west of TTN to SMQ to MMU to Western Bergen County. Some 0.75" amounts on C/E LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Ggem close to .7 for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Would love to see the euro show something similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Would love to see the euro show something similar Your not the only one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 The models were clearly having problems resolving yesterdays system. Now that it's out of the way the models should be more focused. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 SNE has more snow climatologically than we do, for a reason. And we get slammed with this solution anyway. If the Euro jumps on board, this will definitely be interesting. Hopefully no jogs east. SNE has more snow climatologically than we do, for a reason. And we get slammed with this solution anyway. If the Euro jumps on board, this will definitely be interesting. Hopefully no jogs east. i think slammed is a bit excessive..its a 3-6"/4-8"...thats not slammed. They get 1-2'...thats slammed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Yea.. everything is being sampled better. I don't think there will be an east shift in future runs but could be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 i think slammed is a bit excessive..its a 3-6"/4-8"...thats not slammed. They get 1-2'...thats slammed Not set in stone yet. It isn't that far away from a bigger storm for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Not set in stone yet. It isn't that far away from a bigger storm for our area. Not that I care. But the Ggem is only model showing sne getting more qpf then us. Any snow is good snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Not that I care. But the Ggem is only model showing sne getting more qpf then us. Any snow is good snow. Not that I care. But the Ggem is only model showing sne getting more qpf then us. Any snow is good snow. oooh trust me the "beggers cant be choosers" mantra is in full effect - ill take what I can get its just a weird, convoluted and complicated pattern where a lot can go wrong pretty quick....waiting on the euro to get even a little excited, not falling for the same crap as we did this past week... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 oooh trust me the "beggers cant be choosers" mantra is in full effect - ill take what I can get its just a weird, convoluted and complicated pattern where a lot can go wrong pretty quick....waiting on the euro to get even a little excited, not falling for the same crap as we did this past week... Euro was right with this last storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 So GFS .75, GGM .70, UKie .75 - all at 48H - 60H...... Translation at showtime .16" QPF (After the models cut 2/3erds of the QPF inside 24H. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 The 4KM got more aggressive with the QPF on this run also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 I'm probably the only member on this board hoping for a miss. Have big Valentine's Day plans for Saturday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Euro was right with this last storm? Euro was right with this last storm? the one last night? it was more right than any other model...wasnt it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 So GFS .75, GGM .70, UKie .75 - all at 48H - 60H...... Translation at showtime .16" QPF (After the models cut 2/3erds of the QPF inside 24H. So GFS .75, GGM .70, UKie .75 - all at 48H - 60H...... Translation at showtime .16" QPF (After the models cut 2/3erds of the QPF inside 24H. post of the day...LOL this actually made me laugh! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 the one last night? it was more right than any other model...wasnt it? Perhaps moreso on the northern extent but it was too dry down here in NJ and was way too far south in the medium range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 The 4KM got more aggressive with the QPF on this run also. ptot60.gif The 4KM got more aggressive with the QPF on this run also. ptot60.gif and there has to be more precip after that point - the coastal hasnt formed yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 I'm probably the only member on this board hoping for a miss. Have big Valentine's Day plans for Saturday night. several inches of snow should not scrap any plans... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Perhaps moreso on the northern extent but it was too dry down here in NJ and was way too far south in the medium range. Perhaps moreso on the northern extent but it was too dry down here in NJ and was way too far south in the medium range. but it had you guys getting precip the last 60-72 hrs, correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 I'm probably the only member on this board hoping for a miss. Have big Valentine's Day plans for Saturday night. I have a big birthday party to go to . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Looking interesting, but we've seen how many times the models lose the solution slightly or drop the QPF significantly as we get within 36-48 hours of an event. Runs tonight will be very intriguing to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RockawayRowdies Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 I'm going snow tubing with my wife in Mahwah.. so snow should be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 I have a big birthday party to go to . Your sweet 16? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Looking interesting, but we've seen how many times the models lose the solution slightly or drop the QPF significantly as we get within 36-48 hours of an event. Runs tonight will be very intriguing to say the least. also have to watch this for models possibly bombing it too early....we are within 48 hrs, so that helps...but any trend North and East will have me worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Your sweet 16? You're not funny. My uncle and aunt are turning 50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 several inches of snow should not scrap any plans... Headed to Mt. Fuji in Hillburn, NY. Anybody that knows that place knows that its quite the mountain to climb and impossible in the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 It's very subtle, but it looks like the reason this run is closer to the coast is the trough is going neutral to negative tilt about 6-9 hrs faster than on the oz runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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