Allsnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Pounds sne also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGod Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Sounds like GFS is running wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Wow GFS yep..but it is the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 GFS is .50-.75 for NYC http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=gfs&area=namer¶m=precip_p60&cycle=12ℑ=gfs%2F12%2Fgfs_namer_066_precip_p60.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 NYC .5+ on gfs and eastern Long Island is .75+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 yep..but it is the GFS lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 exciting trends, but it could trend back the other way too.hmmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 SV snow maps are 4-8 for entire area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 GFS is .50-.75 for NYC http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=gfs&area=namer¶m=precip_p60&cycle=12ℑ=gfs%2F12%2Fgfs_namer_066_precip_p60.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Appears whats happening is the models are moving away from focusing the main MSLP from being the one off the GA/FL coast in that trough line to being a new developing low off NC...still a dangerous setup if you ask me, if the models are off and that dominant low still wants to form more SE this is a miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 so whats the final snowfall total on the gfs since I am too lazy to look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 yep..but it is the GFS What about it - its better at 48 hours than the Euro in many instances!!! Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 so whats the final snowfall total on the gfs since I am too lazy to look 4-8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Sounds like GFS is running wild. yep..but it is the GFS Let's see what the rest of the 12z suite shows. Extrapolating the 12z RGEM would yield a similar outcome imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Fanatic 97 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 What a run! .50 + for all of Nyc metro and close to .75 in southern boroughs! .75-1.00 for most of CNJ extending to Trenton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 What? The event is 48 hours away dude? This is mega win right now, there are some huge rates along the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 The event is 48 hours away dude? This is mega win right now, there are some huge rates along the coast. Yep. Nam was close to this solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Very chaotic setup and the models could easily be keying on the wrong energy. I would wait this out before hopping on board any solution. With something this chaotic, models could go back to zilch in a second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 It's trying to come back to the original ECMWF look from about 8-10 days ago. Not quite there, and probably won't be, but it's trying. The trough axis is just a little too far east. WX/PT It's trying to come back to the original ECMWF look from about 8-10 days ago. Not quite there, and probably won't be, but it's trying. The trough axis is just a little too far east. WX/PT from 0Z last friday: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGod Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 What a run! .50 + for all of Nyc metro and close to .75 in southern boroughs! .75-1.00 for most of CNJ extending to Trenton Lets hope this is just the beginning of the trend in our favor. ;o) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 .75-1.00QPF for the area. Really nice run. H5 looks really good. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=gfs&area=namer¶m=precip_p60&cycle=12ℑ=gfs%2F12%2Fgfs_namer_072_precip_p60.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 This is encouraging as the gfs keeps trending in our favor and its under 2 days out. The air mass is much better than last night, looks to start near or just below freezing and rapidly drops into the 20s so much better ratios. We shall see what the other models have to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Very chaotic setup and the models could easily be keying on the wrong energy. I would wait this out before hopping on board any solution. With something this chaotic, models could go back to zilch in a second. I couldn't agree more especially after last nights fail (here). At this point it could be 10 inches or fail. Ill wait for tonight to make a call either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Warning snow or close for all on GFS. Want to see the EURO onboard, although I think it will come onboard to at least advisory. If we get advisory on the EURO, would expect to see upton start to raise probabilities for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Until Euro is aboard..very skeptical..lessons learned the hard way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 GFS snowmap has 6+ for NYC and 12 inches + for some parts of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Until Euro is aboard..very skeptical..lessons learned the hard way Euro has .20. It shows something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Lets hope this is just the beginning of the trend in our favor. ;o) If it trends better, it would turn into a MECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 It's trying to come back to the original ECMWF look from about 8-10 days ago. Not quite there, and probably won't be, but it's trying. The trough axis is just a little too far east. WX/PT Yeah the modeled upper levels have changed dramatically in the past day. The GFS, Nogaps, UK, and several of the SREF and other ensembles have gone back to elongating the upper level low over the Lakes and tilting the trof strongly negative... this was the theme of a few days ago, when several models had monsters. They use the initial Fri night/Sat wave but wait for the trailing energy in the trof to form a strong coastal low, albeit just offshore. If real, this could be a big deal. Much better chance for NE, but this could still shift further. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Here's the UKMET at 48...cannot see beyond that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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