IsentropicLift Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Kiss of death, the opposite will happen, the nam is really that bad of a model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 .20" for NYC on euro. Nice so probably .25" ish IMBY since I'm 30 miles or so NE of NYC, so 1-4" on EURO and 2-5'" on GFS. Not sure this is done yet though... -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemurph44 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 not weenie, how many times has the nam burned us this winter? It over juices literally every sw then backs off at the last second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 ARW nails us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 12z NAM agrees with most other Guidance. 0.25 line up to NYC more on LI north and east. This could turn into a nice 2-4 event. I like the trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 12z NAM agrees with most other Guidance. 0.25 line up to NYC more on LI north and east. This could turn into a nice 2-4 event. I like the trends so close...yet so far from being a major miller B bomb. kind of irritating looking at the H5 map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 so close...yet so far from being a major miller B bomb. kind of irritating looking at the H5 map Agreed but based on the fact that its showing up on every model I'm pretty enthused with at least something for Saturday. Whether it be 2 inches or 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 12z NAM agrees with most other Guidance. 0.25 line up to NYC more on LI north and east. This could turn into a nice 2-4 event. I like the trends The 12z Nam was worse for west of NYC, but better for LI. So, the trend isn't everyone's friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 NAM, .25 line is over my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 so close...yet so far from being a major miller B bomb. kind of irritating looking at the H5 map True, But JB seems to feel it may still be big - Lets hope he is correct! Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 The 12z Nam was worse for west of NYC, but better for LI. So, the trend isn't everyone's friend. The trend is your friend. NAM is just being the NAM with the sharp cutoff. Vort seems stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 True, But JB seems to feel it may still be big - Lets hope he is correct! Rossi is there ever a time when JB thinks something ISN'T going to be big? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 is there ever a time when JB thinks something ISN'T going to be big? Actually if you listen to him he does not hype as much now since he left accuweather. Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Just saw the NAM that's a good step. After a 50 degree day tomorrow , cold front slides thru and the northern short wave should form south of DC on the wave and move NE We are not far away from ths becoming a nice system But it's trended towards us in the last day and not away from us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Chaotic situation and system-hopefully today and tonight we have consistency in who gets hit and how. This could trend stronger with a better S/W, but could easily trend toward a sheared out storm as well. This could surprise in a good way also and we have to watch out since this should be a dynamic system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 It's trying to come back to the original ECMWF look from about 8-10 days ago. Not quite there, and probably won't be, but it's trying. The trough axis is just a little too far east. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 True, But JB seems to feel it may still be big - Lets hope he is correct! Rossi Hey Rossi - what is Alan"s thoughts on this storm and pattern coming up ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Don't like the look of the 12z GFS at 24 hours. It's too flat on the front-end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 12z RGEM looks intriguing @ 48 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Hr 48 light snow up to sandy hook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Hr 51 mod snow up to edison. Light snow to nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Hey Rossi - what is Alan"s thoughts on this storm and pattern coming up ? "From late Friday into Saturday morning, anything from a coating up to an inch or two of snow is possible." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Hr 54 mod snow for area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 "From late Friday into Saturday morning, anything from a coating up to an inch or two of snow is possible." He beat me to the punch - but he does feel it bears watching for a bigger system. Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 GFS looks west of 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Moderate snow at 57. Coastal is further west on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Hr 54 mod snow for area It turned out okay. I'm seeing trends that don't favor more inland locations and am concerned about bad orientation of the H5 jet. EDIT, WOW it phased in with that other vort! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Hr 60 still snowing. This is a great hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Hr 66 still snowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Wow GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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