CooL Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 The 20-28th period will produce Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 The 20-28th period will produce I agree, it's just not going to be from what was origonally the main threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 I agree, it's just not going to be from what was origonally the main threat. Yeah this weekend is not the one. The models are starting to show legitimate blocking with lots of cold air still available under 10 days now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Yeah this weekend is not the one. The models are starting to show legitimate blocking with lots of cold air still available under 10 days now. One thing we know for sure, it loves to snow in and around President's Day on the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 One thing we know for sure, it loves to snow in and around President's Day on the east coast. Bluewave posted a table of the days it's most likely to snow and it falls pretty much during the mid February period...which is completely unsurprising based on the fact that our highest monthly snow average is February Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 The Canadian through 180hrs is enough to get any excited. Deep trough in the west and a nice storm organizing in the western gulf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 The Canadian through 180hrs is enough to get any excited. Deep trough in the west and a nice storm organizing in the western gulf. Has a cutter and a late re-developer after this from hours 180-240. New and upgraded GGEM to 240: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Has a cutter and a late re-developer after this from hours 180-240. New and upgraded GGEM to 240: The room is clearly there for this to dig south into the gulf. Even verbatim it's a nice miller B run for northern New Jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Is there a inverted trough potential possible with the 17th event? There is a good signal for flurries and light snow on most models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemurph44 Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Is there a inverted trough potential possible with the 17th event? There is a good signal for flurries and light snow on most models.. Oh god not again with trying to call for another norlun that won't happen lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 I think we still have to keep an eye on Saturday (and if the NAM and SREFs have any clue, maybe even Friday). Last nights Euro also showed some potential late Friday. With strong longitudinal baroclinitity, it wouldn't take much PVA to initiate cyclogenesis along the mid-Atl coast. As the SREFs and GEFS show, in these conditions, the slightest wave could iniative the storm development process. The spread is very wide, with a few quick hitting but potent waves in this time period. These wetter, western solutions are outliers, but they are indicative of the direction things could go considering possible model error. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisjmcjr Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 The 20-28th period will produce why is there no thread??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Hr 192 euro setting up a nice storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted February 13, 2013 Author Share Posted February 13, 2013 Hr 192 euro setting up a nice stormAgree. That storm definitely has potential IMO. Moreso than the PD "storm" which now looks like a non-event. Look at the monster blocking high to the north, and the 50/50 Low getting into place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Agree. That storm definitely has potential IMO. Moreso than this storm which looks like a non-event. Look at the monster blocking high to the north, and the 50/50 Low getting into place. Agree. That storm definitely has potential IMO. Moreso than this storm which looks like a non-event. Look at the monster blocking high to the north, and the 50/50 Low getting into place. please post the h5 map - that is the one that makes a difference! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 please post the h5 map - that is the one that makes a difference! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted February 13, 2013 Author Share Posted February 13, 2013 The ECMWF has a primary transfering to a secondary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 please post the h5 map - that is the one that makes a difference! please post the h5 map - that is the one that makes a difference! thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 If the HP is going to be as strong as currently modeled this storm would probably be a front end thump to drizzle...While these are rarely KUs NE can still stay mostly snow, and Philly/NYC can still get 4-8" snowstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted February 13, 2013 Author Share Posted February 13, 2013 Another thread has been started for the 21-22 system guys. That threat is different than this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leemhoc Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Some might say this threat is as real as manti teos girlfriend lol. But seriously how can u call it off when shortwave is not on land yet, so there is a real shortage of data from it. Also, some models are showing storms up coast, and euro has trended closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Another thread has been started for the 21-22 system guys. That threat is different than this system. 18z Nam has snow for saturday - its the Nam but its a start Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 18z Nam has snow for saturday - its the Nam but its a start Rossi Temperatures are in the 40's. It's rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatenWx Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 This looks pretty nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemurph44 Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 18z Nam has snow for saturday - its the Nam but its a start Rossi . That's not snow, look at the soundings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 This looks pretty nice. It's not. The storm is well out to sea on the surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Snow for the elevated interior with the Friday night wave on the NAM. As others have said, rain for most. A few of the SREF members go to town with this wave and eventually change the rain to snow from west to east. SREF snow probs are moderate for an inch and low/very low for 4" and 8" just west of the City. I could see this wave blowing up a bit and dropping some snow esp for the high terrain from EPA through NE. Unfortunately the stronger this wave, the lower the already low chances of a strong coastal forming as the last bit of vorticity rounds the base of the steep trof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 It's not. The storm is well out to sea on the surface Now the GFS has light snow on Saturday!!! I dont think its to warm? Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemurph44 Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Now the GFS has light snow on Saturday!!! I dont think its to warm? Rossi . Again, not snow. The threat for saturday is over, let's move on to the next threat around the 22nd which actually may have a chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Milford Highlander Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Somewhere in between now and April it may snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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