MJO812 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Holy smokes, is that really the ensemble mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Holy smokes, is that really the ensemble mean? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Yes GGEM is definitely on to something here. Would not count this out by a far shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 WOW at 132hrs that has to be the lowest SLP ive ever seen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Lol, the GFS ensemble mean takes the low from OBX to south of Long Island...992mb at 132 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leemhoc Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Wow!!! That's a huge step in right direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Yes can you post the h5 panel for the same time frame, please? much more important than the surface panel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 can you post the h5 panel for the same time frame, please? much more important than the surface panel. It's just as ridiculous looking at the vort on storm vista. Neutral going neg tilt over the MS river at 114 hours ..closes off overhead at 138. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 H5 on the 0z Nogaps Nogaps is really amped up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Game on fellas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 That is a god-like orientation of the H5 jet, wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 H5 on the 0z Nogaps Nogaps is really amped up the surface doesnt jive with that h5 panel at all...the slp is developing like 300 miles to far east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 H5 on the 0z Nogaps Nogaps is really amped up also, that shortwave crashing in the pacific NW will probably force the trough out instead of up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Ive never see the GEFS that more amped than the Op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 also, that shortwave crashing in the pacific NW will probably force the trough out instead of up... lol no H5 is closed off in the SE on that map are you kidding?? edit: it is the nogaps we are talking about though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I'm inclined to agree with ace given the ridge axis in the Central US (can't believe i'm sitting here analyzing the 120 hr nogaps) ... but check out the 108 hr panel at h5 if you really want a nice medium range model guidance pants tent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 there seems to be a discrepancy between what snow88 posted and what raleighwx has...its deep but its much further east at 132 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 there seems to be a discrepancy between what snow88 posted and what raleighwx has...its deep but its much further east at 132 That's the operational run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 there seems to be a discrepancy between what snow88 posted and what raleighwx has...its deep but its much further east at 132 Is that the GFS op? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I'm inclined to agree with ace given the ridge axis in the Central US (can't believe i'm sitting here analyzing the 120 hr nogaps) ... but check out the 108 hr panel at h5 if you really want a nice medium range model guidance pants tent. here it is.....the slp should have developed in like N GA further - it is an amazing h5 map...save this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I'm inclined to agree with ace given the ridge axis in the Central US (can't believe i'm sitting here analyzing the 120 hr nogaps) ... but check out the 108 hr panel at h5 if you really want a nice medium range model guidance pants tent. Yeah but it's the nogaps...All i focus on is if it's amplified and it is which is a big signal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 That's the operational run lol - the site is effed up...i click on the ensemble section and I get the op graphics...weird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Is 12/26/10 (Boxing Day Snowstorm) a good analog for this run of the GFS? The setup seems similar. No. 12/26/10 there was tons of blocking in the North Atlantic including a Greenland block and -NAO. The blocking slows forward movement down and helps troughs to sharpen and storms to intensify off the east coast. in this case according to majority of maps, these factors do not really exist. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Wow, that's a real flag for the storm That's an awesome look to the GFS ensembles, several members look to be real amped up. I think it's important if the Euro starts showing this potential.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 That's an awesome look to the GFS ensembles, several members look to be real amped up. I think it's important if the Euro starts showing this potential.. Exactly there must be some crazy members in there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I can't believe the look on the GEFS. Huge woof No. 12/26/10 there was tons of blocking in the North Atlantic including a Greenland block and -NAO. The blocking slows forward movement down and helps troughs to sharpen and storms to intensify off the east coast. in this case according to majority of maps, these factors do not really exist. WX/PT There is blocking evident for this storm, however, no where near the strength of the one for boxing day. And boxing day had 2 seperated pieces of energy that phased over the MS valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I can't believe the look on the GEFS. Huge woof There is blocking evident for this storm, however, no where near the strength of the one for boxing day. And boxing day had 2 seperated pieces of energy that phased over the MS valley Very little. Very very little, unfortunately. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 This has huge potential. The Nogaps keep on showing a big storm. It's not like the Nogaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 There wasn't much blocking with the recent blizzard. Lately, a half decent 50/50 low has been doing the job. I can't believe the look on the GEFS. Huge woof There is blocking evident for this storm, however, no where near the strength of the one for boxing day. And boxing day had 2 seperated pieces of energy that phased over the MS valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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