IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 This run is actually going to end up a good bit wetter for most interests here. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 This run is actually going to end up a good bit wetter for most interests here. yup...we do solidly from now till early morning hours. Prob some thundersnow too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 0.75"+ most areas through 03z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Earthlight, your thoughts on how you think our area ends up faring? Seems like we are juuuuust west of where the best dynamics are, but that we'll do okay anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Nam is nice west with the precip and slightly colder faster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 For our friends down in the Philly forum, have no fear, the 18z NAM is here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Earthlight, your thoughts on how you think our area ends up faring? Seems like we are juuuuust west of where the best dynamics are, but that we'll do okay anyway. We will be fine...right on the western fringe of the best stuff. My forecast for our area has been 9-14" for the last few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Based on ratios. Northern NYC will see 12"+ of snow in 6 hours. That's 2"/hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The NAM is still a tad too weak Has this down to 988 at 00z Meanwhile she is already down to 986. The phase is taking place now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 12" of snow on top of a 1/4" of ice sounds good to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 We will be fine...right on the western fringe of the best stuff. My forecast for our area has been 9-14" for the last few days. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 One issue with the Sim radar presentation in that bright yellow glob is that there's going to be subsidence within there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Wow, didn't the 00z NAM show the phase happening basically in the same area or no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 we see an additional 0.25-0.5 from 10pm to 4am on the nam. This snow would likely carry higher ratios I would imagine. This is after a ton of precip frozen for probably the entire area from 4pm-10pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Look at that flow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 NAM is an extra 1-1.5"+ plus from about KMMU east to KEWR and then an extra 1.5"-2.0"+ eastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 NAM says the sfc low goes NNE or ENE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 it looks like the two pieces were meant to fit together. Their precip fields nearly line up perfectly. So amazing to watch unfold. Way more fun than a full snowmaker miller a with less dynamics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 we see an additional 0.25-0.5 from 10pm to 4am on the nam. This snow would likely carry higher ratios I would imagine. This is after a ton of precip frozen for probably the entire area from 4pm-10pm any idea when the NAM changes over to all snow?..still sleeting in many places..I would hate all this precip to go to waste Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 NAM is an extra 1-1.5"+ plus from about KMMU east to KEWR and then an extra 1.5"-2.0"+ eastward. Don't forget, NW will get better ratios to make it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Wow, didn't the 00z NAM show the phase happening basically in the same area or no? The model runs that gave us the biggest snows closed off down in the Delmarva, that has taken place. I still think there is more wiggle room, maybe by about 20-30 miles for this to come further NW since the best banding can often be just NW of where it's being progged. Even if that doesn't happen, it's still a MECS for all of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 any idea when the NAM changes over to all snow?..still sleeting in many places..I would hate all this precip to go to waste by 7pm temps have crashed almost everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 NAM is an extra 1-1.5"+ plus from about KMMU east to KEWR and then an extra 1.5"-2.0"+ eastward. That's unreal. That's at least 15"+ of additional Snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 33.4 with sleet and snow now...winds are starting to pick up...roads are slippery... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 any idea when the NAM changes over to all snow?..still sleeting in many places..I would hate all this precip to go to waste winds have shifted more northerly here in CT, so you may get a better drain of cold air shortly....good luck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 4KM NAM ripping tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 4KM NAM ripping tonight that looks great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Full changeover should occur within the next hour or so if nam is correct, total sleetfest here at 33f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 That's unreal. That's at least 15"+ of additional Snow here. yes. That's what the 0z NAM said last night for NYC metro, (minus the crazy 30+ amounts) but IF the NAM is right, someone will get 24-30". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Stuff all turning white from all the sleet I have gotten Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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